MJO812 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Rgem is more amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 2:44 PM, NEG NAO said: I'll believe that when I see it Expand It’s been a long time southern nj got totals like that, the air is not artic yet and nothing to keep this from coming north so the more it amps I think the more nw it comes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 2:54 PM, MJO812 said: Rgem is more amped Expand It's coming. Could end up being an ideal coastal track actually. And to those who think we can't get a lot of snow in a fast moving system we picked up nearly a foot in 5-8hrs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 2:58 PM, SnoSki14 said: It's coming. Could end up being an ideal coastal track actually. Expand gotta keep that green liquid offshore - RGEM is maybe too amped ? BUT as one of the inlander"s mentioned AC has to be liquid for inlanders to get higher totals 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 3:00 PM, NEG NAO said: gotta keep that green liquid offshore - RGEM is maybe too amped ? Expand It's always too amped but pattern is quite progressive so don't think this will tuck and linger near the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 3:00 PM, NEG NAO said: gotta keep that green liquid offshore - RGEM is maybe too amped ? BUT as one of the inlander"s mentioned AC has to be liquid for inlanders to get higher totals Expand Even for nyc to jackpot which I am not necessarily even hoping for ACY usually has to at least mix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 2:33 PM, MJO812 said: Hi res is also coming in really good for coastal areas Expand ..is it too N & W..??..then we worry about it going over to rain/snain.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 For my area I always want it to be rain from southeast NJ to eastern Long Island. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 3:09 PM, sussexcountyobs said: For my area I always want it to be rain from southeast NJ to eastern Long Island. Expand Didnt you just get like 30”? Let us coastal have some fun RGEM looks like fun so far for pretty much the entire subforum 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Looking at the forecasts, I recall one of my favorite random, low key storms - 2/7/03. Two weeks before the Blizzard, it came up the coast like a bullet; nearly identical snowfall distribution. Is that an analog here? Boston got a foot out of out. http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2003/07-Feb-03.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 3:12 PM, hooralph said: Looking at the forecasts, I recall one of my favorite random, low key storms - 2/7/03. Two weeks before the Blizzard, it came up the coast like a bullet; nearly identical snowfall distribution. Is that an analog here? Boston got a foot out of out. http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2003/07-Feb-03.html Expand Was just thinking the same thing!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Would be a quick hitting smokeshow over here Sunday morning. Come on nam!! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 3:09 PM, sussexcountyobs said: For my area I always want it to be rain from southeast NJ to eastern Long Island. Expand i have to agree. There's very few storms that cover both extremes with snow. When it rains in SENJ and Montauk I'm happy, but I'm ashamed of my happiness, 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 3:09 PM, sussexcountyobs said: For my area I always want it to be rain from southeast NJ to eastern Long Island. Expand I'm sure, but you're not supposed to say that out loud here On LI we always have that rain threat in the back of our minds, keeping us from truly enjoying the runup to the big events until they are halfway done. Even on this latest storm you can see how it is gonna do its darndest to get that four letter word into the picture. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 1:27 AM, MJO812 said: Expand When are they not amped? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 3:17 PM, mikem81 said: When are they not amped? Expand Commack jackpot no surprise lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 3:12 PM, weatherbear5 said: Didnt you just get like 30”? Let us coastal have some fun RGEM looks like fun so far for pretty much the entire subforum Expand Yes, I did but no matter what you or I wish for, it doesn't affect what mother nature will do. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 3:12 PM, hooralph said: Looking at the forecasts, I recall one of my favorite random, low key storms - 2/7/03. Two weeks before the Blizzard, it came up the coast like a bullet; nearly identical snowfall distribution. Is that an analog here? Boston got a foot out of out. http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2003/07-Feb-03.html Expand That was a nice storm. New York City picked up just over 5” and there were widespread 6” or above amounts in the suburbs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 5, 2021 Author Share Posted February 5, 2021 I saw the 12z/5 NAM. I sure hope RGEM/GGEM CATCH UP... nice storm, no matter whether warnable or just advisable. NAM is definitely on the higher side and consistently so. Will review details for myself at 330P and then check back. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 3:17 PM, mikem81 said: When are they not amped? Expand Every model is getting amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 3:26 PM, wdrag said: I saw the 12z/5 NAM. I sure hope RGEM/GGEM CATCH UP... nice storm, no matter whether warnable or just advisable. NAM is definitely on the higher side and consistently so. Will review details for myself at 330P and then check back. Expand Rgem did catch up Walt, finally heh 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 3:30 PM, Wentzadelphia said: Rgem did catch up Walt, finally heh Expand Wide swath of 5-8 with 10” lollies scattered about for 95 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe4alb Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 GFS looking better at H5 through 30hr. bit more digging. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Nice hit on the gfs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 3:30 PM, bluewave said: Why does the Euro do well with tucked in lows like 1-31 to 2-3 but show too much suppression with more traditional BM tracks like this? Expand It was tucked a few days ago. Now models are trending toward euro before and euro is too far se. I’d expect it to come around at 12z at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 3:45 PM, MJO812 said: Nice hit on the gfs Expand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 I’m glad we have a little wiggle room left too. Almost every big storm for the region has ended up slightly north of guidance anyway in the immediate term Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Hopefully for comparison we get the v16 GFS today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 3:48 PM, weatherbear5 said: I’m glad we have a little wiggle room left too. Almost every big storm for the region has ended up slightly north of guidance anyway in the immediate term Expand Agree i think it’ll come a bit more nw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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