USCG RS Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 20 minutes ago, Rjay said: ARW is over Cleveland and the NMB is over Bermuda. Split the difference? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, eduggs said: Looks like the 0z NAM is going to be a little east and dryer. The H5 height field is slightly less favorable. Still a close call with plenty of time to nudge closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 @crossbowftw3 @Ericjcrash @snywx Think one of us can get 2 inches tomorrow (2.5) ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pstar3182 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 5 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: south jersey special, been a minute since we had that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 3k Nam seems west of 12k Nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Think this is just the NAM correcting to rest of guidance. It was obv a bit over amped. Once we get under 24-36 hours we can start seeing if the fronto band can get far enough N to get the heavier stuff into Philly/nyc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 10 minutes ago, sferic said: @crossbowftw3 @Ericjcrash @snywx Think one of us can get 2 inches tomorrow (2.5) ? with temps getting at least a few degrees above freezing not much will survive the morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 19 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: Not a bad spot at this time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 12 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Think this is just the NAM correcting to rest of guidance. It was obv a bit over amped. Once we get under 24-36 hours we can start seeing if the fronto band can get far enough N to get the heavier stuff into Philly/nyc. There really isn’t a consensus yet since this storm just jumped nw today on the models. NAM beyond 48 hours is unreliable in general. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Fine by me. I’d rather be on the northern edge of these than sweating the rain snow line. A few inches or so to build/refresh the pack works. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 51 minutes ago, sferic said: @crossbowftw3 @Ericjcrash @snywx Think one of us can get 2 inches tomorrow (2.5) ? Maybe, should be a nice burst. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 0Z GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 04 Feb 2021) The GFSv16 and HRW FV3 are again unavailable due to data flow problems at NCEP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 23 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: 0Z GFS Nice refresher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Cmc looking better. Looks like a scraper right now but there's time to correct NW. We've seen it all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 0Z GEM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 15 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: 0Z GEM Not that much cold air but any precip beyond light would be snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 We also haven’t really had many coastal scrapers in recent years, seems everything either trends west until a full hit or misses completely 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 UKMET just came in with a nice 4 to 6 inch snowfall, better than what the other models showed tonight. Euro going to be interesting. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: UKMET just came in with a nice 4 to 6 inch snowfall, better than what the other models showed tonight. Euro going to be interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Nice shift Euro 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 6z models looking good except for the regular Nam. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 6z gefs has a northwest lean West of 0z 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 5, 2021 Author Share Posted February 5, 2021 Friday the 5th - 649AM: Little change. Snow is coming and will continue increasing area seasonal snow totals higher (pushing normal or above by the start of the Super Bowl). I haven't checked seasonal normals except what I know for NYC (already above) and our area of nw NJ (at or above). Thinking the 06z/5 NAM may be a bit robust and since the GGEM/RGEM are keeping the bigger snowfall se NJ southward, therefore am reluctant thinking of warning amounts in our subforum, more generally a 1-5", 6-12 hour snowfall North to South. A pleasant refresher on an almost national holiday. Graphics are 1) NWS statistical ensemble chance of 2+" by the time the Super Bowl is complete (does not include this morning). 2) NWS snow forecast issued at 4am/5. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Sref really amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 7 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Sref really amped Sign we'll see some NW shifts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 13 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Sign we'll see some NW shifts? Doesn't seem to be much interest here in this one Ski; could be people are burned out from the big one ( cleaning that 18 inches with the sleet on top was exhausting: I was still cleaning yesterday as the snow came of my solar panels in an avalanche....and buried the snow blowers ) so maybe a 1-3 type deal isn't exciting enough....plus its raining today ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: Doesn't seem to be much interest here in this one Ski; could be people are burned out from the big one ( cleaning that 18 inches with the sleet on top was exhausting: I was still cleaning yesterday as the snow came of my solar panels in an avalanche....and buried the snow blowers ) so maybe a 1-3 type deal isn't exciting enough....plus its raining today ugh yeah who cares about 2-4 inches when you just had 18! LOL. Just kidding. NAM running now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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