rclab Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, weatherpruf said: I'm still mighty sore from Monday's event. But I'll gladly take a nice walk in a moderate snow in the morning. Can someone tell me what the devil a jebwalk is? I believe in the old, older forum it was used to describe a stroll taken in Arctic vodka cold temperatures. As always..... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shadowsintherain Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 I remember Jebwalks! Ahhhh. The good old days. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 10 minutes ago, shadowsintherain said: I remember Jebwalks! Ahhhh. The good old days. . Mid Atlantic forum poster, IIRC, during intense snowstorms he took walks to experience them up close and personal. Name was 'Jeb', obviously. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 What's with this 6-8 for Sullivan County now ? @crossbowftw3 @Ericjcrash @snywx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, sferic said: What's with this 6-8 for Sullivan County now ? @crossbowftw3 @Ericjcrash @snywx Just cause it likes to snow there? Anyway, those are some serious amounts for ELI and CT...doubt that verifies. They seem to think this one can over perform? That's my unprofessional guess.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 16 minutes ago, Ed, snow and hurricane fan said: Mid Atlantic forum poster, IIRC, during intense snowstorms he took walks to experience them up close and personal. Name was 'Jeb', obviously. Heh we've had some classic posters in the past, Mulan, Pamela....well I think the latter was banned but Mulan moved to FL. Hope he's ok. A few years down there you forget all about snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 6 minutes ago, sferic said: What's with this 6-8 for Sullivan County now ? @crossbowftw3 @Ericjcrash @snywx it looks like a bug with mapping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riverrat Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 5 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: Heh we've had some classic posters in the past, Mulan, Pamela....well I think the latter was banned but Mulan moved to FL. Hope he's ok. A few years down there you forget all about snow. I His handle was mulen. Fun poster. see ya 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lordsnot Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 So DT just cancelled the storm for NY Metro in his final call, just 2-3 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 12 minutes ago, sferic said: What's with this 6-8 for Sullivan County now ? @crossbowftw3 @Ericjcrash @snywx Thats through Tuesday. Another period of snow expected Tuesday especially north. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, lordsnot said: So DT just cancelled the storm for NY Metro in his final call, just 2-3 inches. Link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 6 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: Thats through Tuesday. Another period of snow expected Tuesday especially north. Oh ok, that's supposed to be rain for a lot of us so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 6 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: Thats through Tuesday. Another period of snow expected Tuesday especially north. Puts my guess to shame, lol, admittedly I had forgotten all about Tuesday’s clipper shot and thought it was simply bad mapping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lordsnot Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 23 minutes ago, lordsnot said: This could verify, but what is he basing this on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lordsnot Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: This could verify, but what is he basing this on? The LAST CALL map only features some minor changes from the previous forecast map. I have replaced the 5 to 8 inch snow band with the 4-6 inch snow band and I have shifted it to the South because most of the data on this Saturday morning and midday shows has trended this way. There is a clear shift southward of the 1 inch in snowline in West Virginia , central Pennsylvania , and eastern New York State. In addition. the high-resolution short-range models have shifted the heaviest snow band to the south of the big cities of I-95. This results in an increase in the snow amounts in the Northern Neck, southern Maryland. and across the central Delmarva into southern New Jersey. The forecast uncertainty is the Richmond Metro area but the latest and final model runs of the 18z NAM have shown an increase of up to 3.5 inches of snow in the Richmond Metro area. The last two previous 3KM NAM model runs actually showed all rain and no snow of any kind in the Richmond Metro area. From what I can see the best snows will be in a range from Roanoke to Lynchburg Charlottesville up into Fredericksburg Tappahannock Lake Anna then into the southern Maryland counties of st. Mary's and Calvert, and into the far Southern New Jersey and far Southeastern Massachusetts. Temperatures will be cold enough in Southwest Virginia as well as the central Virginia and Piedmont regions to support moderate to heavy snowfall early Sunday morning. Also be advised that there is a potential for significant ice storm in much of central and western Virginia , much of Maryland, into Southeast Pennsylvania, and the eastern panhandle of West Virginia on Thursday February 11th. More on this later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, White Gorilla said: This could verify, but what is he basing this on? He doesn't seem that far off from other forecasts or am I reading it properly? Looks like 4 for the area, on the lower range but I've been hearing 3-6 all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 21 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: He doesn't seem that far off from other forecasts or am I reading it properly? Looks like 4 for the area, on the lower range but I've been hearing 3-6 all day. He has NYC 2-4 inches with the 4 inch line way SE of the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 8 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: This could verify, but what is he basing this on? Every model shows 2 to 4, literally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lordsnot Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, White Gorilla said: He has NYC 2-4 inches with the 4 inch line way SE of the city If this is the end game, the twitter fight yesterday between Steve DiMartino and Adam Tocksin was all for naught as the latest forecast aligns with SDs thinking all week until he flipped yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 24 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Every model shows 2 to 4, literally I am at 1-2 up here. For all I know, it could just only flurry here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lordsnot Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Oddly, John Marshall's final call is 4-7" for NYC Metro, down from 6-9" from his previous forecast, but higher than anyone else at this point. Steve D, Adam T and Mike Masco are MIA since this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 31 minutes ago, lordsnot said: So DT just cancelled the storm for NY Metro in his final call, just 2-3 inches. He didnt cancel anything. Run after run has shown 3-6 inches as a safe call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 19 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: He doesn't seem that far off from other forecasts or am I reading it properly? Looks like 4 for the area, on the lower range but I've been hearing 3-6 all day. I think 3-5 for us but can see this busting IMO. LI will do well with 4-7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 26 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: This could verify, but what is he basing this on? Pretty much all the data heh. His call is spot on imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Instead of focusing on a particular forecaster, let's all nowcast and look at real time trends, upper air pattern, radar development and the high res short range (HRRR, Srefs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 13 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: I am at 1-2 up here. For all I know, it could just only flurry here. No way. 2-4 is most likely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 20 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: No way. 2-4 is most likely. I concur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lordsnot Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, jfklganyc said: He didnt cancel anything. Run after run has shown 3-6 inches as a safe call. Not saying DT ever "woofed" for this one, but going from a 5-8" plowable snowstorm to a 2-4" minor storm in less than 10 hours is a cancel in my book. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 22 minutes ago, lordsnot said: Not saying DT ever "woofed" for this one, but going from a 5-8" plowable snowstorm to a 2-4" minor storm in less than 10 hours is a cancel in my book. It definitely is a significant downgrade from 5-8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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