mappy Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Also, I hate sleet. Y’all can have that shit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 hour ago, Cobalt said: :/ I'm pretty sure I've had more winter storm watches than inches of snowfall in this pathetic winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 3 minutes ago, mappy said: Also, I hate sleet. Y’all can have that shit. Us low landers have grown to accept it, sleet is the poor mans snow. Watch for my sleetman pics on Thursday! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Nice thump for DC-Balt and over this way on the 18z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 35 minutes ago, T. August said: Icon sucked for anyone not 30-50 miles nw of the cities. Did DC and Baltimore move? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 19 minutes ago, mappy said: Also, I hate sleet. Y’all can have that shit. Wait, the other day you said you weren't picky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Did DC and Baltimore move? indeed, to the 2-4” zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 hour ago, WhiteoutMD said: I am trying to get a feel if this "storm" will actually materialize into something that represents the forecast as it's being portraying. Every other event this season has not really performed as expected or forecasted. 3 would be a meh event in my eyes other might disagree. Our really good storms usually trend better as we lead up to them. We havent had that yet this year until now. This one is trending better with just about every model run. Every other storm threat basically collapsed on the models around this timeframe from starting. Just a gut feeling. But I think this one ends up being a really nice event for just about all of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 9 minutes ago, T. August said: indeed, to the 2-4” zone. Given the advertised strong LLJ and the likely warming from 850-700mb, imo 2-4" is a win along/east of I95 before a flip to sleet/zr. This is far from an ideal set up for the lowlands. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Would now be a bad time to remind everyone in the storm thread that early mix has been a thing this year? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 6 minutes ago, CAPE said: Given the advertised strong LLJ and the likely warming from 850-700mb, imo 2-4" is a win along/east of I95 before a flip to sleet/zr. This is far from an ideal set up for the lowlands. Agreed, and the fact that it isn’t ideal is why I am “concerned” about the drier area shown for the cities. We are already not in the best spot. .2-.4 less depicted precip than north and south (horseshoe) isn’t gonna help. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 34 minutes ago, T. August said: indeed, to the 2-4” zone. Good thing this is false. You seem not to know where the cities are though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 I’m good with 1-2” of snow followed by a sleet bomb. Those can be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Good thing this is false. You seem not to know where the cities are though. Looking at TT, 2.5” of snow for Baltimore followed by sleet, and 3.5” for DC followed by sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, T. August said: Looking at TT, 2.5” of snow for Baltimore followed by sleet, and 3.5” for DC followed by sleet. Oh, you're using the one outlier model. Well, I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: Oh, you're using the one outlier model. Well, I guess. You responded to me complaining about the icon lol. I thought that’s what we were talking about the entire time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 5 minutes ago, T. August said: You responded to me complaining about the icon lol. I thought that’s what we were talking about the entire time. Correct, you said it sucked 30-50 NW of the cities. It doesn't. You backed it up using snowfall maps? From the ICON? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Correct, you said it sucked 30-50 NW of the cities. It doesn't. You backed it up using snowfall maps? From the ICON? I said anyone NOT 30-50 miles NW. I stand by what I said. In my opinion, it’s not a good run UNLESS you are a decent jog NW of 95. I think you misunderstood my original post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 hour ago, GATECH said: Us low landers have grown to accept it, sleet is the poor mans snow. Watch for my sleetman pics on Thursday! Looking forward to it! 1 hour ago, CAPE said: Wait, the other day you said you weren't picky. Not sure I ever said that. I’ve commented before how much I hate sleet/ice. I’m not picky on snow amounts though. But blah to sleet. The worst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 3 minutes ago, mappy said: Not sure I ever said that. I’ve commented before how much I hate sleet/ice. I’m not picky on snow amounts though. But blah to sleet. The worst. Eh its frozen in the end. I hate it when I am expecting all snow and I start to hear the pingers. In this setup, I would take it over freezing rain, and given the uncertainty, even up your way I would be prepared to see more than you expect or want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 agree with the comments in the main that it is actually a nice change to have cold air moving in quickly well ahead of the event for a change. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Its 26 degrees with a 16 degree dewpoint as even MORE ZR gets ready to unload in South central Texas. Roads are snowpacked. I really do not think I will be doing any jebwalking tonight. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, CAPE said: Eh its frozen in the end. I hate it when I am expecting all snow and I start to here the pingers. Given this setup, I would take it over freezing rain, and given the uncertainty, even up your way I would be prepared to see more that you expect or want. Agree about freezing rain, I’d take sleet over that every time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 minute ago, North Balti Zen said: agree with the comments in the main that it is actually a nice change to have cold air moving in quickly well ahead of the event for a change. Absolutely. But we need the precip to come in quick and heavy for some decent snow, because there is no denying the warming aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, CAPE said: Absolutely. But we need the precip to come in quick and heavy for some decent snow, because there is no denying the warming aloft. Yeah I’m expecting sleet at some point, but maybe get a decent thump before the flip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 minute ago, mappy said: Agree about freezing rain, I’d take sleet over that every time. Dammit you quoted my post before I fixed my homophone abuse. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 I hope you get a decent thump of snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 3 minutes ago, CAPE said: Dammit you quoted my post before I fixed my homophone abuse. lol here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, mappy said: lol here I'm blaming the alcohol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Hoping folks that haven’t cashed in much this year get some lovin from this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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