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February Banter 2021


George BM
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Just now, EHoffman said:

Literally just having a good time.  People here so emotional over their snow.

I'm mostly taking the Bob Chill approach this year - so I hope this was not targeted at me. Cover my grass so I can't see the blades and I'm happy. Yes - a HECS is fun - but snow is fun. I've turned into more of a severe guy myself. 

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Just now, Kmlwx said:

I'm mostly taking the Bob Chill approach this year - so I hope this was not targeted at me. Cover my grass so I can't see the blades and I'm happy. Yes - a HECS is fun - but snow is fun. I've turned into more of a severe guy myself. 

I approve of this message.

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Does anyone on here remember/know if DC has even recently had a storm drop 3+ inches of sleet? I vaguely recall a March storm a few years ago that was supposed to be a sleet bomb, but did that fizzle out? I guess I'm wondering what a sleetstorm accumulating at the rate of an inch/hour for 3+ hours would actually look like. 

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8 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

Whether models are cold or warm, 

As the 18z NAM run 36 hours from onset goes, so goes the storm.

 

I have that creeping dread forming again based on the last 4 storms. If this storm is going to shit the bed it will start tonight. 

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30 minutes ago, 66degreesnorth said:

Does anyone on here remember/know if DC has even recently had a storm drop 3+ inches of sleet? I vaguely recall a March storm a few years ago that was supposed to be a sleet bomb, but did that fizzle out? I guess I'm wondering what a sleetstorm accumulating at the rate of an inch/hour for 3+ hours would actually look like. 

Probably the best example is feb 14 2007, it has been thrown about lately.  Was supposed to be a big ice storm, but we got a nice thump of 2-3inches of snow, then about 3 inches of sleet, then a glaze of ice.  It was like a glacier.  Happened at night, so not much to see.  I was in a big sleet storm in Georgia in the 80’s, poured sleet, pretty miserable to be out in.

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34 minutes ago, 66degreesnorth said:

Does anyone on here remember/know if DC has even recently had a storm drop 3+ inches of sleet? I vaguely recall a March storm a few years ago that was supposed to be a sleet bomb, but did that fizzle out? I guess I'm wondering what a sleetstorm accumulating at the rate of an inch/hour for 3+ hours would actually look like. 

I don't know what DC got but the Valentines sleet bomb of 2007 was one of the craziest things I've seen with hours of heavy sleet accumulating 4-8 inches in central MD.  It was pouring off our roof after the gutter was full and left a 20" deep ridge just outside the garage door.  Some places got a period of freezing rain at the end that solidified it so bad that cars were cemented in place.

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3 minutes ago, CAPE said:

I know where my yard is. I tracked this thing and contributed, but now is the time to stay in banter for me. I will take my sleet, fr rain, and probably plain rain, and like hate it. 

It's actually the dry air /subsidence gremlin that has me spooked. We have yet to get to OMG RATES MISSLES PARACHUTES for even five minutes this year at my hood. We've had poor snow growth for each system and falling sand for the most part. Main reason we keep capping out in Balt City below 5 inches (perpetually). Hard to see good bands so close and miss. The tell has been on even the good runs for storms that there is an area of slightly less qpf over balt city each time. Would like to see a qpf bomb for everyone to try and overcome that my way, but distribution of precip will be an issue again, apparently. 

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Just now, mappy said:

You know you can hit the multi quote button, come to the banter thread and go make a post and it shows up, right? You don’t have to copy the text then add the member name to do that :) 

I have often wondered how people do that. After 11 years here, no, actually, did not know how that worked. Thanks!

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6 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

It's actually the dry slot /subsidence gremlin that has me spooked. We have yet to get to OMG RATES MISSLES PARACHUTES for even five minutes this year at my hood. We've had poor snow growth for each system and falling sand for the most part. Main reason we keep capping out in Balt City below 5 inches (perpetually). Hard to see good bands so close and miss. The tell has been on even the good runs for storms that there an area of slightly less qpf over balt city each time. Would like to see a qpf bomb for everyone to try and overcome that my way, but distribution of precip will be an issue again, apparently. 

Yeah this has trended colder at the surface, at least. The warm nose aloft is one issue, and that is a beast on the NAMs, the other is how this storm is morphing from a nice front end thump to a one-two punch sort of a deal. There will likely be an area that largely misses out on both if that verifies. The front end is where it is at for places further south/east because there will be legit cold/dry air in place. Just need the goddamn precip to come in hot and heavy to mitigate the warming aloft for a few hours. If it is delayed or light, forget it.

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