WinterWxLuvr Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 31 minutes ago, notvirga! said: Historically we’ve stated most threads 2-3 days before an event. I get that models have not been able to pinpoint exact locations of heaviest precip but when you have 2 events in 4 days it makes threads easier to read. Tradition needs to die. We have to try something. Not one event has trended better. Let’s try a different method. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Check out this cold smoke forecast for Dallas. They have forecast highs of 32 or below 5 of the next 7 days. DCA won't have one 32 or below max this entire winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kgottwald Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 52 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Some posters would be disappointed in March ‘93. I was. Historic amounts were predicted and in Vienna/Tysons we got six inches . . and then drizzle. Edit: I seem to remember predictions that it might equal or surpass 2/11/83. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 14 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'm easily bribable, but I can't take less than a Grant We can make that work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 I'm starting to think that if we want snow in DC or Fairfax County we need a nuclear winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kgottwald Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: I'm starting to think that if we want snow in DC or Fairfax County we need a nuclear winter. Or a Yellowstone supervolcano eruption. I wonder what the climate around here was like in 20,000 BC when the glaciers reached to Central PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Just now, kgottwald said: Or a Yellowstone supervolcano eruption. I wonder what the climate around here was like in 20,000 BC when the glaciers reached to Central PA. Probably still grappling with 850 issues lol 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Just spitballing here. But Would any of you mets like to do a zoom session, I know, I'm sick of zoom too, on the 101 of models. Then perhaps another session on the Mid-Atlantic climo? I admit, I'm a longtime lurker/poster, but have gotten lazy and just look at the pretty pictures you guys post. I'm a visual person. But I guess it would help to understand what I'm looking at to either discount what the model is saying or to trust it. Broadstrokes are fine. Maybe 30 minutes or so. Edit, then perhaps we can post the session on the site for reference. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 4 minutes ago, adelphi_sky said: Just spitballing here. But Would any of you mets like to do a zoom session, I know, I'm sick of zoom too, on the 101 of models. Then perhaps another session on the Mid-Atlantic climo? I admit, I'm a longtime lurker/poster, but have gotten lazy and just look at the pretty pictures you guys post. I'm a visual person. But I guess it would help to understand what I'm looking at to either discount what the model is saying or to trust it. Broadstrokes are fine. Maybe 30 minutes or so. Edit, then perhaps we can post the session on the site for reference. I was just sharing a similar sentiment about reading models in the other thread. I had suggested somebody making a YouTube video or something, lol It's a bit difficult to find this stuff just by searching the internet. I know I'm a person who needs to see the pictures (and in motion, in some cases) so it can make sense how things move and interact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Ice Storms... I'd rather stick my deck in a fan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kleimax Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Oklahoma can get a foot of snow, but we can’t. FFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Alright DC Metro folks, if we all stand facing north and blow really hard we can maybe draw that 1" up to our area tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Glacial downsloping causing dryslots from Mappyland to Charlottesville? Rare footage of prehistoric dinosaur weenies making their way to the Panic Room. Apparently the Reaper caused them to go extinct! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Sorry to hear on the snow - hoping some rates and cold air still work in overnight for you all. This whole region is always on such a knife's edge with snowfall...I'm hearing wave 2 is trending north...that would be nice.Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 21 minutes ago, Kleimax said: Oklahoma can get a foot of snow, but we can’t. FFS you wanna know what is even crazier? If memphis actually can get 6+ inches from that. I lived there from 1996 - 2009. It was EXCEEDINGLY hard to get real snow into Memphis. They were forever missing it in all directions but just a county or two. A foot of snow there with cold temps would be crippling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 6 minutes ago, alexderiemer said: I'm hearing wave 2 is trending north...that would be nice. Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 2 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: Some posters would be disappointed in March ‘93. Talk about a nightmare. I lived in Calvert for that and we got 5 or so inches of wet snow followed by driving rain and a spike to 52 degrees. Watching news coverage from N&W of the city was heart breaking. It played a role in me picking NW suburbs when I locked into a long-term job based in DC. I just didn't go quite far enough NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 I will trade my snow for other's thunderstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 That jayyy dude might not mean it (and I mean *might*), but his posts really don't come off well. Definitely tries the whole big d!ck snow swagger thing and is pretty condescending over all. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Killing time here and pulled up the old regional weenie intellicast radar. It's kind of like 1999 imagining that the snow out near Charleston is blossoming and coming this way. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 30 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: getting old sucks...pretty sure I just tore my rotator cuff throwing a snowball Sorry to hear about the rotator cuff. It may limit some of your favorite nightly activities. 48 is young. I can still do it 4 or 5 times a day....... throwing snowballs that is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 hour ago, mattie g said: That jayyy dude might not mean it (and I mean *might*), but his posts really don't come off well. Definitely tries the whole big d!ck snow swagger thing and is pretty condescending over all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
09-10 analogy Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 2 hours ago, Kleimax said: Oklahoma can get a foot of snow, but we can’t. FFS So that means, in exchange, we get an outbreak of EF3s-5s this spring? Or a June 23, 1944 outbreak redux, displaced 100-200 miles or so to the east? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 We get the full gamut of precip types for next Tuesday in the LWX point forecast! Everything but hail! Now to be fair, at this point what else can you do, honestly? Monday Night A chance of snow before 1am, then snow, freezing rain, and sleet likely. Cloudy, with a low around 26. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Tuesday Rain, snow, freezing rain, and sleet. High near 34. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Two quick things for up this way: 1. The trees and pretty much everything else (chain link fences, sides of buildings, dogs who move too slow) are absolutely plastered in snow still. It is unbelievably gorgeous. Most of it fell here right around 32 degrees or just a hair under, and then it stayed crazy overcast today and temps held around 35 or under and everything is still plastered. I've rarely seen it quite this pretty up this way for this long. It looks like Vermont amongst the trees. 2. On that note, trees and limbs are already bowing, at least one tree was down from the snow weight on my walk just now, and the temp isn't really going anywhere over the next 36 hours until the theoretical Saturday ice event. If it hangs on the trees like this until then and we actually get an ice event, there will be trees/limbs down and power line issues. Guessing even with cold temps tomorrow the sun will help head some of that off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 This is offensive to me... 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 hour ago, dailylurker said: If we're going to have boring a$$ freezing rain I hope it at least causes some destruction. What good is ice without crashing and booming. I hope people don't get hurt of course but I wouldn't mind some tree damage. Free firewood and I can charge to remove it. Let's face it. Most of us are here for extreme weather of any kind. Indeed! I mean Bob Chill has been waiting for his foot of ice. For me an ice storm w/ at least one inch of ice accretion would be nice. Afterwards, hopefully we can score a legit areawide severe event and/or decent tropical event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_K76 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Snowing and sleeting in Glen Allen Va. near Short Pump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 6 minutes ago, George BM said: Indeed! I mean Bob Chill has been waiting for his foot of ice. For me an ice storm w/ at least one inch of ice accretion would be nice. Afterwards, hopefully we can score a legit areawide severe event and/or decent tropical event. Absolutely! I'll take destructive weather year round. Glad the NAM came back around to the ice idea. Hopefully it's not some lame coating. I want to hear stuff smashing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Brian_K76 said: Snowing and sleeting in Glen Allen Va. near Short Pump Short Pump: This week's epicenter of double entendres and model-hugging forecasts. Good luck tonight! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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