deer Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 5 minutes ago, DanTheMan said: I cant wait to use the salt from all the MD peoples tears to clear the massive piles of snow off my porch It's getting worse for your area too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Forecasting this winter has gotten pretty simple - people are looking at which model has done "better" and at what leads. That's not the way to do it. From near as I can tell, you want to look at the models 36 hours before the event, see where Balt City is - take a blend of the two showing the LEAST for that area, and then look at what they are showing for your area in relation to it. Step 2. Start a Facebook winter weather page. Step 3. Profit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, DanTheMan said: Not meant to be taken literally, altho admit it comes off off pretty snarky. Guess the deb mood is getting to me If they rubbed it in our faces every time then this place wouldn't be fun at all cause they win more times than the southern people. Be like Barry Sanders when he scored a TD. Just hand the ball to the ref and go to the sideline. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, North Balti Zen said: Forecasting this winter has gotten pretty simple - people are looking at which model has done "better" and at what leads. That's not the way to do it. From near as I can tell, you want to look at the models 36 hours before the event, see where Balt City is - take a blend of the two showing the LEAST for that area, and then look at what they are showing for your area in relation to it. Step 2. Start a Facebook winter weather page. Step 3. Profit. I'd shorten it to 24 hours. Thats when we've seen the bottom fall out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, DanTheMan said: Not meant to be taken literally, altho admit it comes off off pretty snarky. Guess the deb mood is getting to me Lol. It's the internet, which is a terrible place if you want to decipher people's moods based off of their posts. or maybe i suck at taking hints? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanTheMan Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, Deer Whisperer said: It's getting worse for your area too... It was a joke! Agree the next runs could flip everything entirely! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, H2O said: I'd shorten it to 24 hours. Thats when we've seen the bottom fall out Fair. Our weather page is gonna rule. Water Zen's Wintry Mix. Gonna need a wheelbarrow for all our Facebook and YouTube monies... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, DanTheMan said: It was a joke! Agree the next runs could flip everything entirely! My bad then. No hard feelings 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, DanTheMan said: It was a joke! Agree the next runs could flip everything entirely! i hope it ****ing fails and you get nothing. see? I can joke too. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanTheMan Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, H2O said: If they rubbed it in our faces every time then this place wouldn't be fun at all cause they win more times than the southern people. Be like Barry Sanders when he scored a TD. Just hand the ball to the ref and go to the sideline. Amazing metaphor and fair point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanTheMan Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, mappy said: i hope it ****ing fails and you get nothing. see? I can joke too. Gahh! Ok ok I learned my lesson guys 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, mappy said: i hope it ****ing fails and you get nothing. see? I can joke too. Audible laughter here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, DanTheMan said: Gahh! Ok ok I learned my lesson guys but you were just joking? what lesson is there to learn if you were just joking? we all got jokes. my joke is that centreville va is the snowasshole of VA and gets nothing but virga and high clouds. SEE JUST KIDDING 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, North Balti Zen said: Fair. Our weather page is gonna rule. Water Zen's Wintry Mix. Gonna need a wheelbarrow for all our Facebook and YouTube monies... We need to practice to get inside the 60 sec tikTok clip limit. Gotta reach the young kids too. Can you renagade? We have to pick our background music carefully. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanTheMan Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, mappy said: but you were just joking? what lesson is there to learn if you were just joking? we all got jokes. my joke is that centerville va is the snowasshole of VA and gets nothing but virga and high clouds. SEE JUST KIDDING I was trying to lighten the mood, not rub the situation in everyones faces. I can see I read the room poorly and I apologize for that. Sometimes I forget that this place really lives and dies by every cycle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, mappy said: but you were just joking? what lesson is there to learn if you were just joking? we all got jokes. my joke is that centreville va is the snowasshole of VA and gets nothing but virga and high clouds. SEE JUST KIDDING I've seen centreville. Its the strip mall mecca of the snowasshole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 9 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: What if we have been looking at qpf maps all along for whatever area we live in? Can we be disappointed then? Of course, don't be so sensitive to my comments...i'm not talking to you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, DanTheMan said: I was trying to lighten the mood, not rub the situation in everyones faces. I can see I read the room poorly and I apologize for that. Sometimes I forget that this place really lives and dies by every cycle. lol we really do. and we don't use other peoples tears to melt our snow. thats not very nice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, DanTheMan said: I was trying to lighten the mood, not rub the situation in everyones faces. I can see I read the room poorly and I apologize for that. Sometimes I forget that this place really lives and dies by every cycle. No worries, hope someone in the region gets raked, and your area historically struggles too, so hope this one hits for you guys. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, H2O said: I've seen centreville. Its the strip mall mecca of the snowasshole. its not bad. got some relatives that live in the area. very little yard space though in their 'hood. i'd hate that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanTheMan Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Im truly happy to see my town be bashed if it helps everyone feel better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, mappy said: its not bad. got some relatives that live in the area. very little yard space though in their 'hood. i'd hate that. It still gets more snow than me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, H2O said: It still gets more snow than me. well, you live in the tropics. 40 and rain for you. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXW176 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, H2O said: I've seen centreville. Its the strip mall mecca of the snowasshole. Dude, I’m a Wildcat graduate. Tread lightly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, mappy said: well, you live in the tropics. 40 and rain for you. i have more yard. Palm trees flourish 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, FXW176 said: Dude, I’m a Wildcat graduate. Tread lightly. Chantilly is better 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXW176 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, H2O said: Chantilly is better F you. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 16 minutes ago, H2O said: I'd shorten it to 24 hours. Thats when we've seen the bottom fall out This is what gets me the worst this year... We've seen plenty of 48-72h trend fails over the years... but this year takes the cake of ripping my heart out within 24h. I was conditioned to wait until inside-36h to start feeling good but this year has shattered all that. Thats why I'm just not buying this one. I am going to expect this to keep trending S until I finally complete my Baltimore snow hole. Its looking good to the N, but to the S is lacking a bit. If this storm comes through for me and drops 6-8" of powder from Rt. 50-south, the great AACo Snow Hole of 2021 will be glorious. The 00z Sunday NAM had my house at 3" within 9hours of precip onset. I ended up with a slushy half inch. Maybe it wasn't quite in its "wheelhouse" yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, caviman2201 said: This is what gets me the worst this year... We've seen plenty of 48-72h trend fails over the years... but this year takes the cake of ripping my heart out within 24h. I was conditioned to wait until inside-36h to start feeling good but this year has shattered all that. Thats why I'm just not buying this one. I am going to expect this to keep trending S until I finally complete my Baltimore snow hole. Its looking good to the N, but to the S is lacking a bit. If this storm comes through for me and drops 6-8" of powder from Rt. 50-south, the great AACo Snow Hole of 2021 will be glorious. Your comparison in the other thread was instructive - and the dry air horseshoe style "bite" toward balt city on even the good models is what has my attention...really riding a line here for our area up to PSU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, FXW176 said: F you. GO WESTFIELD!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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