LP08 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 minute ago, H2O said: As much as I’m trying to not get bummed by lack of snow seeing obs after obs of snow is...a bummer. I told myself to enjoy what falls so gotta stick to that. Could be a good idea to go do other stuff for a while. Good luck to those in the same boat! I was excited for some frozen precip. Still holding out hope that the stuff SW hits us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ovechkin Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 I would rather 55 and sunny all winter across the entire country than this crap while everyone else scores big time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Can't say I've ever seen sleet this heavy before. Looks like pouring rain. Pretty cool 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 9 minutes ago, H2O said: As much as I’m trying to not get bummed by lack of snow seeing obs after obs of snow is...a bummer. I told myself to enjoy what falls so gotta stick to that. Could be a good idea to go do other stuff for a while. Good luck to those in the same boat! Agreed. At least there's a new coating of white out there, especially on the trees. I half-expected this outcome but I'm not gonna deb over fresh frozen. EDIT: The ++PL that just moved in is SO heavy, it's scouring snow accums off of trees and cars. WOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 minute ago, vastateofmind said: Agreed. At least there's a new coating of white out there, especially on the trees. I half-expected this outcome but I'm not gonna deb over fresh frozen. We needed it to come in hot and heavy, and that was a major fail. I just threw the Para out of bed. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 13 minutes ago, H2O said: As much as I’m trying to not get bummed by lack of snow seeing obs after obs of snow is...a bummer. I told myself to enjoy what falls so gotta stick to that. Could be a good idea to go do other stuff for a while. Good luck to those in the same boat! It's absolutely a bummer. That's why I wish I could have selective ignore during certain kinds of storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 I"m going to be a crappy teacher today. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Even my phone is taunting me now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, nw baltimore wx said: I"m going to be a crappy teacher today. I have a class starting next week. I won't have as much time to track the next fail. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Question for the red taggers - I'll tag a few in hopes that I can get an answer. @high risk @WxUSAF @MN Transplant - How does NWS account for the balloon launches drifting in the wind? In other words, say that in a very strong wind the balloon has drifted tens of miles by the time it samples a warm nose in today's case. Not sure if that's even realistic - but when that data is ingested into the models - does it treat the entire sounding as if it was directly above IAD/LWX - or does it account for the data at different levels being taken at potentially different geographic locations? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 hour ago, diatae said: Night shift banter is always a gift. 52 minutes ago, diatae said: Day shift banter is always a gift. So...I suppose all banter is a gift then!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 9 minutes ago, EHoffman said: Even my phone is taunting me now Well, at least your phone is fully charged! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CorgitoWX Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 I'm calling this one Winter Storm Skip 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Made it downtown to the office. Almost no one on the slush covered roads, so that was nice. 26 and light mist downtown Balt. I am not putting this in obs because it is such a sad thing that it belongs in banter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 40 minutes ago, mattie g said: I wish I could selectively put some folks on ignore during these kinds of storms so I don't have to see their obs. Yeah, and some were the same people who were all freaking out yesterday that the models looked like they were getting "too dry" for them, etc. But whatever. I don't mind too much seeing the photos and seeing some reports though. I was surprised, honestly, to wake up to nothing but sleet. I really thought we should get a few hours of good snow before flipping, but I don't think I've even seen a flake here thus far. Sleet hasn't been overly heavy, but at times I can definitely hear it hitting the windows, and there's a decent coating. I'm not even sure if we'll see a "sleet bomb" and a 2" layer of concrete. Is what it is, I suppose. I'm actually a bit worried about ice later on (freezing rain), so will see how that evolves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 9 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: Question for the red taggers - I'll tag a few in hopes that I can get an answer. @high risk @WxUSAF @MN Transplant - How does NWS account for the balloon launches drifting in the wind? In other words, say that in a very strong wind the balloon has drifted tens of miles by the time it samples a warm nose in today's case. Not sure if that's even realistic - but when that data is ingested into the models - does it treat the entire sounding as if it was directly above IAD/LWX - or does it account for the data at different levels being taken at potentially different geographic locations? It absolutely accounts for balloon drift. The GPS sensors in the sonde relay lat/lon info at each level, and the data is assimilated at the actual location. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Please don't let this band to the south spilt D.C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 20 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: I"m going to be a crappy teacher today. You all disappoint me more then the crappy frozen ice pellets falling outside my window right now! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 16 minutes ago, CAPE said: I have a class starting next week. I won't have as much time to track the next fail. I'm trying to finish up grades for current term and spending too much time in banter/obs for this storm. A student just asked for a grade status, which is a tad embarrassing. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 I heard that WxUSAF hates teachers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 6 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Please don't let this band to the south spilt D.C. Oh we getting split son Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, high risk said: It absolutely accounts for balloon drift. The GPS sensors in the sonde relay lat/lon info at each level, and the data is assimilated at the actual location. 12 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: Question for the red taggers - I'll tag a few in hopes that I can get an answer. @high risk @WxUSAF @MN Transplant - How does NWS account for the balloon launches drifting in the wind? In other words, say that in a very strong wind the balloon has drifted tens of miles by the time it samples a warm nose in today's case. Not sure if that's even realistic - but when that data is ingested into the models - does it treat the entire sounding as if it was directly above IAD/LWX - or does it account for the data at different levels being taken at potentially different geographic locations? @high risk is correct. Most offices utilize a Sippican GPS radiosonde that has 1 sec or less response with GPS coordinates updated to the nearest 0.0001 of a degree, so it's insanely accurate when properly calibrated. We go through a process prior to sending up the sonde to make sure it's within tolerance levels specified via the company involved. The Upper Air process is very very thorough to have the most accurate data possible for a specific geographic region. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ovechkin Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Models, tracks, etc, all BS. simply put snow in DC is guilty until proven innocent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 I will admit that snow affects my mood - sorry if that makes me a bad person. I will also note that many of the lectures on how snow should not affect mood come from people who live in areas where a butterfly farts and it snows. In any event, and to sum up, I wish it would snow more readily over this way. It used to. The snow is here now in downtown Balt. That is helping my mood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 11 minutes ago, high risk said: It absolutely accounts for balloon drift. The GPS sensors in the sonde relay lat/lon info at each level, and the data is assimilated at the actual location. I figured - but wanted to get the true answer! Thanks! 2 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: @high risk is correct. Most offices utilize a Sippican GPS radiosonde that has 1 sec or less response with GPS coordinates updated to the nearest 0.0001 of a degree, so it's insanely accurate when properly calibrated. We go through a process prior to sending up the sonde to make sure it's within tolerance levels specified via the company involved. The Upper Air process is very very thorough to have the most accurate data possible for a specific geographic region. The red taggers on here never disappoint. So in "theory" that warm nose being sampled on the LWX/IAD sonde could have actually been sampled a bit away from the launch site? I assume for the purposes of a day like today, it wouldn't have drifted TOO far - and would probably still be representative of the atmosphere above the site? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CorgitoWX Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I really hate to do it, but you know it must be done. You know it's bad when we're past the Ji level Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 That sleet blob SE of DC is literally tracing itself around the DC border...we definitely live in a simulation right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, Kmlwx said: I figured - but wanted to get the true answer! Thanks! The red taggers on here never disappoint. So in "theory" that warm nose being sampled on the LWX/IAD sonde could have actually been sampled a bit away from the launch site? I assume for the purposes of a day like today, it wouldn't have drifted TOO far - and would probably still be representative of the atmosphere above the site? This is correct. Wx Balloons have specified mins for launch and we increase the amount of He in a balloon based on wx elements during the launch process. It takes less than 10 mins to reach between 850-700 mb, so even with a powerful LLJ, it won't be too far removed from the geographic launch point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
insanegrenade Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 I just went outside and it’s downright disappointing to have temps in the 20s and get ice and sleet in Arlington yet again. I’m over this Winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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