LP08 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, mappy said: Yes. It gives me .5 qpf, its the best model ever. At this rate, you might need to borrow some of "Dan the Mans" tears to melt your snow up there . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, Bob Chill said: Ready to flip to rooting for a south trend again? Good thing thats a lock to happen. I was today years old when a sudden south shift saved the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 It truly is amazing to see such a flip in a short lead time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 NAM. Just keep repeating that until you feel better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 8 minutes ago, jewell2188 said: It truly is amazing to see such a flip in a short lead time. It's not really. It's basically a crawling warm front with opposing forces. The breadth if very well defined now but what happens inside of that is impossible to nail within a tight 50 mile spread. I'm not surprised at the mid level warmth on the nams. Every time we have deep southerly midlevel flow, warmth will typically punch further north than first thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Oh man, so glad to see you back @Bob Chill! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 13 minutes ago, LP08 said: At this rate, you might need to borrow some of "Dan the Mans" tears to melt your snow up there . Ohhh, good point. Hope he has some to spare. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Honestly, this talk about how the models will always pull back from the big snow run that we seem to always get 72 hours out this year kind of agrees with something Ji said a storm or two ago: "Which model run will be right? The one that gives us the least snow." LOL. For all of Ji's problems, that was a word of wisdom there that has turned out to be quite correct lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ovechkin Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just walked over to children’s. Sun is out. Very pleasant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 @mappy re: your post in the main on lack of coordination between weather service offices --- I guffawed at the image of 8 inches of snow piling up in Hanover then the state line and it drops off to one inch immediately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Also re: people's frustrations, @Bob Chill - there have been years (every so often) where systems actually improve within 36 hours up to gametime. People probably have residual memories of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: @mappy re: your post in the main on lack of coordination between weather service offices --- I guffawed at the image of 8 inches of snow piling up in Hanover then the state line and it drops off to one inch immediately. I know. Its humorous when it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 7 minutes ago, mappy said: I know. Its humorous when it happens. People on the Maryland side angrily gesturing at the people facing them 3 feet away on the PA side as the PA side piles up snow and the Maryland side gets pixie dust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: People on the Maryland side angrily gesturing at the people facing them 3 feet away on the PA side as the PA side piles up snow and the Maryland side gets pixie dust l Pretty much. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 27 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Also re: people's frustrations, @Bob Chill - there have been years (every so often) where systems actually improve within 36 hours up to gametime. People probably have residual memories of that. while this is 100% true, wx is subject choas and complicated forces. While there is some truth to seasonal trends, it's always best to drop all bias and look at each event in a vacuum before pulling on old memories. Bias is the deathknell for forecasters, stock traders, and any other field that cannot be pinned down basically ever until it's happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 11 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: while this is 100% true, wx is subject choas and complicated forces. While there is some truth to seasonal trends, it's always best to drop all bias and look at each event in a vacuum before pulling on old memories. Bias is the deathknell for forecasters, stock traders, and any other field that cannot be pinned down basically ever until it's happening. I get it. But there are reasons why people might still have instinctual reactions looking for improvements up to game time. But maybe not so much in a Nina...even one with negative infinity sigma AO departures... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 It's time we get rid of this La Nina. Here is this blowtorch I have right here which will be used to warm up the Pacific ocean so La Nina is gone once and for all 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 I’m actually kind of glad for this overnight event lol. Should be snowing when I go to bed and when I wake up it will mostly be over for better or worse. No hours of stressing over radar and crappy snowflakes. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 8 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I’m actually kind of glad for this overnight event lol. Should be snowing when I go to bed and when I wake up it will mostly be over for better or worse. No hours of stressing over radar and crappy snowflakes. See you at 4am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 For DC metro, time to fold wave 1 and 2 and go all in for wave 3 on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 I think i'm just going to play this one by ear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanTheMan Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 This storm fizzled faster than my comedy career 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 4 minutes ago, GATECH said: For DC metro, time to fold wave 1 and 2 and go all in for wave 3 on Saturday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, DanTheMan said: This storm fizzled faster than my comedy career! between the storm thread and your post I'm not sure which jinxed things most. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Gfs looks good for the Richmond to Charlottesville 10” jackpot wonder if my totals get lowered in the First Final Call Map 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Fort Lauderdale looking pretty warm for February standards. Highs near the mid-80s for the rest of the week in Davie, which is the town west of Fort Lauderdale that I will be moving to. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 I think it's funny when the Northern Tier or the I-81 crew get screwed on snow they actually are pretty tantrumy compared to H2O Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, JakkelWx said: Fort Lauderdale looking pretty warm for February standards. Highs near the mid-80s for the rest of the week in Davie, which is the town west of Fort Lauderdale that I will be moving to. My ex wife lives down there, avoid at all costs....just sayin 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 We have a lot of people from the westminster area on this forum it seems. What's it like up there? I'm looking for some new places to drive up to for a day to see with my kids. Never been there. What are some of the attractions I should visit if I head up that way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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