Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: After last week, I’m skittish as ****. If the Euro/uk holds then yeah, NAM can eat it Yeah, pretty much agree...though obviously not good to see it jump on being farther north now. Wasn't it a lot better just 12 hours ago with its 00Z run? Tells us how tricky this setup can be, I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 I will say this - from the Snow Anus (SnAn) it is hard to watch people who have cashed in all year way way more than we have inside 695 celebrating south or north shifts that purple and pink them and leave Balt scrambling again from run to run. LIke, say, the I-81 happiness over the recent ICON. Gosh, I sure do hope it works out for those crazy kids again, i know how snow starved they must be... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 35 minutes ago, ovechkin said: Yeah, not a good start to the 12z suite. NAM being insistent on the warmth is not a good sign, especially in a season where the immediate metro has struggled mightily with cold. Yuck. lol. Kinda over-exaggerating here? So far, the NAM is still on it's own. It's not ideal, but it's definitely not woe is me yuck! type deal either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ovechkin Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: lol. Kinda over-exaggerating here? So far, the NAM is still on it's own. It's not ideal, but it's definitely not woe is me yuck! type deal either. Yeah, fair point. Just some PTSD from the last two storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: lol. Kinda over-exaggerating here? So far, the NAM is still on it's own. It's not ideal, but it's definitely not woe is me yuck! type deal either. The NAM was also a fair amount colder that its 6z run... the icon and rgem are encouraging at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 33 minutes ago, stormtracker said: After last week, I’m skittish as ****. If the Euro/uk holds then yeah, NAM can eat it Understandable. It seems like we can't get model agreement even hen the precip is overhead, but I won't worry about the NAM until and unless other models support it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 GFS has a Baltimore jackpot this run. We know we can easily toss that solution. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Can we start a thread? Wonder when warnings will come out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Can we start a thread? Wonder when warnings will come out? Only if Baltimore jackpots... if you do, you get no thread, sorry... that's the new rules around these parts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 8 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Euro/Icon says I stay home, GFS says I go to Sykesville NAM says close the blinds and eat cheetos So the NAM is basically describing a traditional Tuesday night for me 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, Yeoman said: Can you zoom in to see the green spot over DC proper? I did, its over Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 This might be the busiest tracking period in over 5 years. We've got overrunning, a follow up wave, a potential weekend coastal and arctic air, plus long range pattern looking good. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Winter forecasting is easy. You pick a time, pick the snowiest model at that time, and then express your disappointment when it doesn’t happen. Easy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 When was the last time we have had a period like this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Imagine trying to make plans for travel or something perhaps outside for this coming Thursday. Anyone here really have an idea what's about to happen? I sure don't 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 5 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Imagine trying to make plans for travel or something perhaps outside for this coming Thursday. Anyone here really have an idea what's about to happen? I sure don't We can give you the Alaska style forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 don't worry guys i'll take care of your snow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: We can give you the Alaska style forecast I mean all I need to know is should I stay or should I go....plink plink plink...if I go it would be trouble...If I stay it will be double. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, leesburg 04 said: I mean all I need to know is should I stay or should I go....plink plink plink...if I go it would be trouble...If I stay it will be double. BTW, it just happened. Have you read it yet? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: BTW, it just happened. Have you read it yet? It's like a script Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Also guys, we're gonna tighten up on the discussion here. I tried casual like yall wanted and it was a bit of a disaster. So much less banter, more talk of powder. The kind where rolled paper money is not needed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 We've got a little something to watch Wednesday night/Thursday... Maybe a little follow up something Friday... Then the possibility of something over the weekend... With brutal cold infiltrating the country but we're not sure exactly how that airmass will interact with this train of systems? The possibility exists for every type of precipitation we know of, including dry outcomes, and it all starts in less than 72 hours. My head hurts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, Steve25 said: My head hurts Same here, the high barometric pressure (1032 mbar) is absolutely killing me, and making my hangover worse. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Awilson Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 what is banter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 I'm pretty sure Tom Cruise just posted in our sub forum 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 52 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Imagine trying to make plans for travel or something perhaps outside for this coming Thursday. Anyone here really have an idea what's about to happen? I sure don't You can say cold rain and have over a 90% chance of being right. Cold and dry, warm up and rain, cold and dry, warm up and rain. Rinse and repeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, Awilson said: what is banter? Personal opinions that don't really provide "information" about upcoming weather. Or anything that doesn't really provide information. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, BlizzardNole said: You can say cold rain and have over a 90% chance of being right. Cold and dry, warm up and rain, cold and dry, warm up and rain. Rinse and repeat. What? I've had barely any cold/dry days this winter. Have had quite a few days with snow falling recently. Hasn't accumulated much but it certainly hasn't fit the "warm up and rain" formula. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ovechkin Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 NYC now at 32.5 for the season. DCA 3.8. Yeah, not exactly the same climo, and central park isnt an airport, but that difference is still insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 16 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I'm pretty sure Tom Cruise just posted in our sub forum Iceman has been here for years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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