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1/31 - 2/2 Obs. / Nowcast


TheSnowman
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2 minutes ago, Fozz said:

That's an infuriating gradient. 8 miles between 4" and 12", just because of a few degrees. And here I thought the difference between me and Will was frustrating.

Reminds me of some marginal mid-Atlantic storms that I've seen.

yeah, I've had it good on the coast for a while. And the worst part is, I'm snowing so hard, but with ground temps at 33 degrees, it's melting as it accumulates. Maybe we'll get some more with the final band coming through.

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2 minutes ago, Fozz said:

That's an infuriating gradient. 8 miles between 4" and 13"+, just because of a few degrees difference. And here I thought the difference between me and Will was frustrating.

Reminds me of some marginal mid-Atlantic storms that I've seen.

Can’t believe you only have 6”. That’s some cruddy luck being barely south of the goods. I bet some place like Bellingham has at least 9-10”

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4 minutes ago, Fozz said:

That's an infuriating gradient. 8 miles between 4" and 13"+, just because of a few degrees difference. And here I thought the difference between me and Will was frustrating.

Reminds me of some marginal mid-Atlantic storms that I've seen.

Sounds like NNE mountain towns.  Definitely harder to swallow in SNE, where there's less variation.  I still think the QPF in 4" vs. 13" is likely the same, which has some benefits to both sides.  Sloppy paste to cold snow.

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6 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

I was wondering which model captured what happened in PHL/NYC/NJ best so far? I wasn't really paying attention to what the models were saying for down there.

I'd say NAM and Euro... kept the best forcing farther northwest of Philly arcing into NNJ

RGEM and GFS blasted Philly area with 20-30" iirc

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Just now, wxsniss said:

I'd say NAM and Euro... kept the best forcing farther northwest of Philly arcing into NNJ

RGEM and GFS blasted Philly area with 20-30" iirc

A blend was best. Euro was too generous for CNJ putting up 2.5” qpf all snow in Mercer, Monmouth, and Middlesex counties. Canadians too generous for extreme SEPA. 

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7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Can’t believe you only have 6”. That’s some cruddy luck being barely south of the goods. I bet some place like Bellingham has at least 9-10”

I think the CF ruined it here. It's had a tough time accumulating around 32-33, and had it been a few degrees colder we'd be talking double digits here.

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5 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said:

yeah, I've had it good on the coast for a while. And the worst part is, I'm snowing so hard, but with ground temps at 33 degrees, it's melting as it accumulates. Maybe we'll get some more with the final band coming through.

Incredibly frustrating, even more so with such a promising mid level setup... been a while since we've snowed this hard, now going on 6 hours, but ground truth is so poor

Literally 1-2F BL temp was the difference between 15-20 inches and a few inches of slop

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KBED 020334Z 02016G24KT 1/4SM R11/2400V2800FT +SN FZFG VV005 M01/M02 A2976 RMK AO2 PK WND 03027/0256 P0005 T10061017
KBED 020324Z 03017G25KT 1/4SM R11/2600V3000FT +SN FZFG VV004 M01/M01 A2977 RMK AO2 PK WND 03027/0256 P0004 T10061011
KBED 020251Z 03021G26KT 1/4SM R11/2400V3000FT +SN FZFG VV005 M01/M02 A2981 RMK AO2 PK WND 03026/0249 SLP110 P0008 60017 T10061017 56032
KBED 020247Z 03016G24KT 1/4SM R11/2400V3500FT +SN FZFG VV004 M01/M02 A2981 RMK AO2 P0007
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