Drz1111 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 What’s the latest Euro showing for the Son of Blizzard tomorrow in Maine? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Where is the crash meme. Think J Paul was hitting the wine in John Paul’s chamber Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 31 here. NE winds picking up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Wasn't expecting to wake up to 2" already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowBrosForever Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 14/6 broken cloud cover. Eager for afternoon's beginning snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmj16725 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 2.25" overnight here ( SW HFD county). 19/17. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx37 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 22 here in Medford. Will be riding the line here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Looks like some sort of weenie band worked out there over the west. That may help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 15F. ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 25 minutes ago, dendrite said: It’s pretty much all the same thing once it gets up here. The mini “firehose” so to speak. The waa is coming into the midlevels from the east. It looks like a meh storm for us no matter how you slice it unless the wildcard happens...we need those CMC models to verify with the tertiary low backing in toward the seacoast. Some of the other models are trying to do that now too, but they’re too far offshore. Yes but why would we be forecasted for 6-8 on a 1"+ qpf. What I don't understand in the snow hole in Merrimack county with more to our immediate east and our immediate west. We don't get shadowed or down sloped in east flow, but do in nne flow. sorry for another question. GYX: Starting first with the main band...later today into tomorrow morning, upper level jet dynamics will phase well with mid-level mesoscale forcing along a warm frontal axis sailing north over the region...producing a band of moderate to heavy snowfall. This band crosses the Mass border into southern NH by this evening with heavy snowfall (rates of 1-2"/hr) and impacts to the evening commute. The band will track north through the area overnight, reaching the international border by mid-day Tuesday. The strongest forcing and thus highest snowfall totals with this band will be over southern zones and along the coast, closest to the mid- level circulation near the Mid- Atlantic coast. Hires model guidance gives 1-1.5" of QPF for these areas... with snow ratios around the climatological norm, this produces up to around a foot of snow for southern New Hampshire into southwest Maine with 6-8" a good bet elsewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like some sort of weenie band worked out there over the west. That may help. It was huge fluffy Dendrites. Was pure arctic fluff. It let up around 5:15. Now picking up again and viz has come way down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, 512high said: 15F. ... And overcast. Looks like snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Some of these models are cranking 50+ wind gusts interior and 65+ coast. Not Sue if that’s legit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 We're being taken to Poundtown right now. Gorgeous fluffy snow coming down. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 31 here. NE winds picking up. Same. 31F here too. 37F rain will be tough to take, knowing just several miles inland will be approaching a foot. Oh well, the coastal jacks will be back soon enough as inland sucks on exhaust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Radar refuses to cooperate, everything dries out as it gets here. Hope that changes soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 -5°F / -11°F here just south of Burlington. Probably not much mixing with the storm here. :^P Virga is now only 3 counties to the south away. It’s going to be a long day of radar hallucinations waiting. For those of you struggling with the NWS “upgrade” of the radar page, here’s my favorite mosaic from Univ of Washington. Change the number of frames there in the link for longer or shorter loops and to auto if you want it to auto refresh every 6 minutes: https://a.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/wxloop.cgi?radar_us_full+30+-noauto And, if any of you want to pass the virga watching time and read up on Froude numbers for blocked flow, here’s an excellent primer from the team at NWS Burlington: https://www.weather.gov/btv/froude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kocab Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 light snow just started with winds 16 mph NE off the bay. 31/26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said: Radar refuses to cooperate, everything dries out as it gets here. Hope that changes soon. Yeah, that needs to fill. Had me worried last night and it's still lurking this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Some of these models are cranking 50+ wind gusts interior and 65+ coast. Not Sue if that’s legit Sell inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 16 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Yes but why would we be forecasted for 6-8 on a 1"+ qpf. What I don't understand in the snow hole in Merrimack county with more to our immediate east and our immediate west. We don't get shadowed or down sloped in east flow, but do in nne flow. sorry for another question. GYX: Starting first with the main band...later today into tomorrow morning, upper level jet dynamics will phase well with mid-level mesoscale forcing along a warm frontal axis sailing north over the region...producing a band of moderate to heavy snowfall. This band crosses the Mass border into southern NH by this evening with heavy snowfall (rates of 1-2"/hr) and impacts to the evening commute. The band will track north through the area overnight, reaching the international border by mid-day Tuesday. The strongest forcing and thus highest snowfall totals with this band will be over southern zones and along the coast, closest to the mid- level circulation near the Mid- Atlantic coast. Hires model guidance gives 1-1.5" of QPF for these areas... with snow ratios around the climatological norm, this produces up to around a foot of snow for southern New Hampshire into southwest Maine with 6-8" a good bet elsewhere. You’re not in that 1” QPF zone...it’s MHT south. Some of the models are giving us under 0.50” QPF. Firehose is a bad term to use with this...it hasn’t really looked like that for awhile. We have a quick moving arc of fronto moving through that gives us some snow and that’s about it. There may be some coastal front goodies near the coast, but up here the low level flow is more NE which is downsloping for us. The more E flow is in the mid levels. Sometimes the snow hole gets overdone by the models, but it’ll be there to some extent. Just pray to the RGEM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 About a half inch of pure Arctic fluff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Getting flakes here despite nothing in radar. Real tricky forecast for this area. Hopefully we thump before any changeover30/24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Gorgeous scene out there. Eyeballing about 2.5” still frigid, 22F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 41 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: HRRR looks amazing but doubt we get that Well I do already have 3 inches at my shop in the valley..didn't expect that this early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: About a half inch of pure Arctic fluff. Yeah, this stuff is dry as a bone. Accumulating really well here considering the rate of precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Yeah I feel like some of those weird holes won't happen...at least in CT anyways. Maybe a smaller min. but I don't see how someone only gets 5-6". I think this is widespread inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxFreak11 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Nothing yet in East Greenwich RI. Just waiting for the column to saturate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 7 minutes ago, Hoth said: Yeah, that needs to fill. Had me worried last night and it's still lurking this morning. Radar is beginning to blow up over NJ. Hoping it does the same here ASAP. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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