mississaugasnow Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 16 hours ago, Stevo6899 said: I dont think it matters who starts a thread. I honestly had no issue with brian d starting a thread to mix it up since SE MI needed something to shake things up but so much for that idea. Just one of those winters. And lol @ josh who said earlier today winters only half over. Its 75% over. Cant count on snow in march, maybe the first week. I cut March into 1/3rds haha. The 1st/3rd is reliably winter, mid way is difficult to get a good snow storm but happens and after about March 25th it becomes exceedingly rare for Toronto to get a snowstorm over 6". It has happened but its just as likely to be 50F and sunny or 1-3" and 32F. Id argue by late March its easier to get to 60F and sunny instead of a 6-10" winter storm. So overall I stop following snow chances right around St.Patricks day 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Where are we going to put all this snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Going off on the 12z euro, the weaker this next wave is (feb 3,4), the better chance the next threat can come NW with the southeast ridge. Looks to be some phasing going on with northern stream also which enhances the threat. Ill leave the potential phasing with the event to the red tags to elaborate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 I just spent like three minutes trying to find where the hell you guys got that run from before realizing it was like 5° Kuchie ratios 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fyrfyter Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, Chicago WX said: Where are we going to put all this snow? I'll gladly take additional inches of snow down here. Still down -4.8 for the season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEILwxbo Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 46 minutes ago, Chicago WX said: Where are we going to put all this snow? Just start throwing it in the drainage creeks like NIU is doing https://twitter.com/luke_8817/status/1356015413688197128?s=21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 ride it 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobertSul Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 8 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: you have a long way to go before knowing how things work around here. . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 paraGFS keeping hope alive 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 While I doubt this is a big storm, potential for a wave to ride the front seems to be gaining steam. Could be a very cold snowfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobertSul Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 5 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: While I doubt this is a big storm, potential for a wave to ride the front seems to be gaining steam. Could be a very cold snowfall. The storm before that looks like it’ll be a very wet snow with a few inches possible, so hopefully that’ll stick to everything and the colder, drier snow can just accumulate on top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 15 minutes ago, RobertSul said: The storm before that looks like it’ll be a very wet snow with a few inches possible, so hopefully that’ll stick to everything and the colder, drier snow can just accumulate on top. That would be nice. Over the years and outside the belts, more often than not SE MI has been a jackpot for snowfalls and snowcover wrt what else is going on in the sub (remember SE MI snowmagnet lol?) but looking outside right now we are the absolute screwzone. Again, not so much in terms of season totals because we had a better start than most, but the snowcover is thinnest in a narrow line from DTW to CLE right now. can't win em all but with two potentials ahead of vodka cold, if neither pans out you will see me really bitch. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 The 6z EPS bumped back north and with tighter clustering. Many of the members look like the 6z parallel GFS. Ratios should be decent, so this wouldn't take much qpf to drop several inches. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 5 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: That would be nice. Over the years and outside the belts, more often than not SE MI has been a jackpot for snowfalls and snowcover wrt what else is going on in the sub (remember SE MI snowmagnet lol?) but looking outside right now we are the absolute screwzone. Again, not so much in terms of season totals because we had a better start than most, but the snowcover is thinnest in a narrow line from DTW to CLE right now. can't win em all but with two potentials ahead of vodka cold, if neither pans out you will see me really bitch. U know its a sh*t winter when Josh is even remotely close to bitchin about it. Slowly wearin you down. If this next wave performs anything like the gfs is showing that will give northern Wisconsin there big snow leaving pretty much metro Detroit as only area this far north in the region without a respectable snowstorm. Maybe Toronto but havent really paid much attention to canada as most dont lol. As frustrating as its been, its even worse that the northeast might get its 3rd foot plus storm in a winter where it looked promising the midwest would have a possible historic winter and east coast not much. Just goes to show winter outlooks are useless. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 3 hours ago, Stevo6899 said: U know its a sh*t winter when Josh is even remotely close to bitchin about it. Slowly wearin you down. If this next wave performs anything like the gfs is showing that will give northern Wisconsin there big snow leaving pretty much metro Detroit as only area this far north in the region without a respectable snowstorm. Maybe Toronto but havent really paid much attention to canada as most dont lol. As frustrating as its been, its even worse that the northeast might get its 3rd foot plus storm in a winter where it looked promising the midwest would have a possible historic winter and east coast not much. Just goes to show winter outlooks are useless. Toronto I believe had a 10 inch snowstorm around xmas 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 12z GFS: 12z Euro & UK: ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Euro shows 2-3” for SEM with no support Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 8 minutes ago, Spartman said: 12z GFS: 12z Euro & UK: ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ Euro and UKMET have a system in the subforum (and likely to be a higher than average ratio snow). If you're going to flood us with maps all the time, what's 2 more? 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Just ban the dude. He’s being willfully stupid now. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 4 hours ago, Stevo6899 said: U know its a sh*t winter when Josh is even remotely close to bitchin about it. Slowly wearin you down. If this next wave performs anything like the gfs is showing that will give northern Wisconsin there big snow leaving pretty much metro Detroit as only area this far north in the region without a respectable snowstorm. Maybe Toronto but havent really paid much attention to canada as most dont lol. As frustrating as its been, its even worse that the northeast might get its 3rd foot plus storm in a winter where it looked promising the midwest would have a possible historic winter and east coast not much. Just goes to show winter outlooks are useless. I've got SEMI beat wrt "most pathetic winter". Y'all don't know what horrid is, trust me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 4 minutes ago, RogueWaves said: I've got SEMI beat wrt "most pathetic winter". Y'all don't know what horrid is, trust me. What is your YTD total? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 5 hours ago, Stevo6899 said: U know its a sh*t winter when Josh is even remotely close to bitchin about it. Slowly wearin you down. If this next wave performs anything like the gfs is showing that will give northern Wisconsin there big snow leaving pretty much metro Detroit as only area this far north in the region without a respectable snowstorm. Maybe Toronto but havent really paid much attention to canada as most dont lol. As frustrating as its been, its even worse that the northeast might get its 3rd foot plus storm in a winter where it looked promising the midwest would have a possible historic winter and east coast not much. Just goes to show winter outlooks are useless. I don't see why it's a surprise that I am complaining? You seem to think that all I like is nickles/dimes. Yes, snowcover is what I like best but I still expect a respectable storm every Winter. Once our historic stretch ended in 2015 we still have had respectable storms every Winter except this one (so far). It's been apparent for some time that regardless of what happens this is not going to go down as a good Winter for really anyone. Even those seeing a great stretch in the western sub were snowless past Christmas. Just have to hope next good stretch is ours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 1 hour ago, WestMichigan said: What is your YTD total? I cannot speak for his total but there's been plenty of small snowfalls this year so it may be misleading lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Back to Feb 6/7 potential. Still a lot of interesting possibilities, but since models suck I don't like getting into it too far out wrt details but its always nice to be in the middle of a range of solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 36 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: Back to Feb 6/7 potential. Still a lot of interesting possibilities, but since models suck I don't like getting into it too far out wrt details but its always nice to be in the middle of a range of solutions. I think 2 to 3 inches is a good call 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 4 minutes ago, dmc76 said: I think 2 to 3 inches is a good call With how cold this air mass will be in place, this looks like a decent high ratio event. I think we can get more than 2-3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Just now, Stebo said: With how cold this air mass will be in place, this looks like a decent high ratio event. I think we can get more than 2-3. Wrong storm. I meant the one on Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 6z para GFS was legit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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