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Obs and nowcast Major Nor'easter near blizzard Sunday afternoon Jan 31 - Sunrise Wednesday Feb 3


wdrag
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2 hours ago, RU848789 said:

And just got in from our fourth and maybe last shoveling - can't imagine doing it all at once.  Anyway, From 5 pm to 9 pm we got another 1.0 inches! That brings us up to 16.0". It's been snowing fairly lightly, but with temps still slightly below freezing (31F) and at night, every flake accumulates. I could see getting another inch or so overnight, looking at the radar and the HRRR.  

Last post of the night on the storm. As of midnight, we now have 16.5", as we got another 1/2" over the last 3 hours. Radar has quieted down, although models are still showing several more inches of snow being possible through tomorrow. We'll see.

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1 minute ago, RU848789 said:

Last post of the night on the storm. As of midnight, we now have 16.5", as we got another 1/2" over the last 3 hours. Radar has quieted down, although models are still showing several more inches of snow being possible through tomorrow. We'll see.

Thanks for your efforts, I usually go by your measurements as a rough guide to over here in Colonia, but this time I measured and it was 14.5 back around 3 pm; my gut tells me by eyeballing it we have more than 16 otg but I'm not going out tonight again to measure. Will check in the morning. Great storm that didn't quite measure up due to hours being lost to sleet ( as per usual ) but still the biggest event hands down in years. Cheers.

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Well today was a wild ride. I have about 18" and it's still snowing lightly. 

If it didn't sleet we would have easily exceeded 2 feet.

I see the HRRR/Nam and other models giving us a general 2-4 tonight through tomorrow so that could put us over 20" when all is said and done. 

Congrats to those who broke the 2' barrier. This was easily the best storm since Jan 2016. 

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14.9" storm total in Smithtown.  May or may not be some additional bonus snows on Wednesday.

This was a storm when we might have recorded close to 20" by wiping a board every 6 hours.  I wiped at midnight Sunday and at midnight Monday.  Total as of 7:30 PM was 14.6".  An additional 1.7" of snow and sleet accumulated on cleared surfaces between 7:30PM and midnight but the depth on the snowboard only increased by 0.3" and I recorded the 14.9" total. 

Since this was a long duration storm, wiping once per 24 hours was appropriate rather than waiting to the end.  I use midnight for snow totals; most Cocorahs types use around 9AM but it can vary.  Of course I measure more frequently than once per day...hopefully no Central Park-type measurement hijinx here.

I know a lot of people still wipe the board (or picnic table or deck) more frequently.  I am not philosophically opposed to wiping the snow board more frequently, but I am doing it the way we are currently supposed to.  I do believe that it would be more appropriate to wipe the board at a phase change, which is also not currently part of the protocol.  So if someone wants to say we got 16", I won't argue it, but 15" goes in the books (plus any bonus...).

Splits were 1.3" on January 31 and 13.6" on February 1.

Temperature went above freezing in the past 30 minutes (~1am 2/2).  Currently 32 with the barest hint of drizzle.  Freezing drizzle and very light IP occured before that.

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6 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said:

Anyone near dover have latest official measurement? Looks like we will have light snow with moderate bursts through most of the day. My guess is we could get another 1-3” , regardless it’ll make for a very scenic day with 2ft+ on the ground 

Mostly time dated (not up to date) but I'm sure you'll see something in the Mt Holly updated statement by sunrise. From their 1220AM issuance. 

Mendham                      30.0 in   0720 PM 02/01   Public               
 Mount Arlington              28.5 in   0959 PM 02/01   Trained Spotter      
 Randolph                     25.8 in   0700 PM 02/01   Trained Spotter      
 Marcella                     22.5 in   0930 PM 02/01   Trained Spotter      
 2 NNE Brookside              22.5 in   0845 PM 02/01   Trained Spotter      
 Lake Hopatcong               22.0 in   0710 PM 02/01   Trained Spotter      
 Millington                   20.0 in   1037 PM 02/01   Public               
 Montville                    20.0 in   0930 PM 02/01   Public               
 Lincoln Park                 18.5 in   1047 PM 02/01   Trained Spotter      
 
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Data suggests this is/was a top 10 snowstorm for the region of NYC west through NJ and sw to Allentown. I spot checked calendar day records via XMACIS for NYC CP, Allentown, and Sussex NJ. If there need to be corrections, please let me know.  

 

NYC CP for 2/1/21     14.8" not only[ a daily record, but ranked #10 highest.  POR back to 1869.

Allentown for 2/1/21  22.4" not only a daily record but ranks top 2 or 3 depending on your data interpretation,-basically behind January 23ish, 2016 and ahead of January 9, 1996. Their 2 day is 26.9, ditto again #2 or 3 depending on your interp.  POR back to 1912.

Sussex NJ 2 day (used my 25.0) but thats unofficial and subject to downgrade. Probably around 5th-9th heaviest event.  POR back to 1893.

All of this in the Period of Record (POR).

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Todays storm, with 16.8 inches in Central Park as of midnight, has cracked the top 20 at number 17 all time in NYC. The totals if any today will still be added to this storm which should have an excellent shot at cracking the top 10.

Top 20 Snowstorms All Time
Central Park in NYC
(through 7 PM February 1, 2021)
Rank.Amount..Date

1……..27.5…..January 23, 2016
2……..26.9…..February 11-12, 2006
3……..25.8…..December 26-27, 1947
4……..21.0…..March 12-14, 1888
5……..20.9…..February 25-26, 2010
6……..20.2…..January 7-8, 1996
7……..20.0…..December 26-27, 2010
8……..19.8…..February 16-17, 2003
9……..19.0…..January 26-27, 2011
10…..18.1…..March 7-8, 1941
11…..18.1…..January 22-24, 1935
12…..18.0…..December 26, 1872
13…..17.7…..February 5-7, 1978
14…..17.6…..February 11-12, 1983
15…..17.5…..February 4-7, 1920
16…..17.4…..February 3-4, 1961
17....16.8...Jan 31-February 1,  2021
18…..16.0…..December 19-20, 1948
19…..16.0…..February 12-13, 1899
20…..15.3…..February 9-10, 1969

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2 hours ago, wdrag said:

Data suggests this is/was a top 10 snowstorm for the region of NYC west through NJ and sw to Allentown. I spot checked calendar day records via XMACIS for NYC CP, Allentown, and Sussex NJ. If there need to be corrections, please let me know.  

 

NYC CP for 2/1/21     14.8" not only[ a daily record, but ranked #10 highest.  POR back to 1869.

Allentown for 2/1/21  22.4" not only a daily record but ranks top 2 or 3 depending on your data interpretation,-basically behind January 23ish, 2016 and ahead of January 9, 1996. Their 2 day is 26.9, ditto again #2 or 3 depending on your interp.  POR back to 1912.

Sussex NJ 2 day (used my 25.0) but thats unofficial and subject to downgrade. Probably around 5th-9th heaviest event.  POR back to 1893.

All of this in the Period of Record (POR).

No way Newton has 32 inches on the ground 

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5 minutes ago, rgwp96 said:

I guarantee in those 30 inch amounts that there no way near 30 inches on the ground 

You would be correct here. Compaction is keeping pace with additional accumulation especially since last evening and over night snow was of more dense nature which is enhancing compaction of the fluff underneath.

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17 minutes ago, jdt said:

You would be correct here. Compaction is keeping pace with additional accumulation especially since last evening and over night snow was of more dense nature which is enhancing compaction of the fluff underneath.

Yup my total ground is 22 , no doubt I had many more inches as what I shoveled  after it was cleared was at least 6 more inches .  Aren’t we supppose to report what’s on the ground ? My brother in law  lives in Hamburg and says he got 30 because he saw Newton’s report . I bet him 1000 dollars he doesn’t have 30 on the ground . He shut up real quick lol 

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