Obs and nowcast Major Nor'easter near blizzard Sunday afternoon Jan 31 - Sunrise Wednesday Feb 3

[allgame830]

If so @snywx when do you think a possible dry slot could reach up my way?

[NorthShoreWx]

Smithown, NY 1PM 2/1

28.9F S+, 11.6" measured on the boards.

Note, as of 1:05p mostly nice dendrites, but some graupel/rimed snowflakes observed to be mixed in.  No observation of any sleet so far.

[brianinhboro]

Heavy sleet/rain here in Hillsborough, not one flake of snow in the air.  Pretty sad it had the potential to be record breaking.  I fear this will eat into my snowpack.

[nesussxwx]

15.4" but gonna round up to 16". Heavy snow continues, best of the storm is about the begin.

[weatherpruf]

3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

The next 8-12 hours are going to be the height of the storm. System has begun to pivot as evidenced by the band of snow moving Southeastward back towards the Lakewood/Toms River area.

You don't think the sleet will hold? Lots of CNJ into steady sleet now....

[HVSnowLover]

4 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

The next 8-12 hours are going to be the height of the storm. System has begun to pivot as evidenced by the band of snow moving Southeastward back towards the Lakewood/Toms River area.

Agree I think this far from over in terms of accumulating snow 

[Rjay]

18 minutes ago, patrick05 said:

1pm

LGA: 10"

JFK: 9"

ISP: 9"

Snow has lightened up here but no pingers yet.. i'm closer to 10" as well.. really hoping to reach 12" but that dryslot is very menacing

My wife says she measured 12" but I'm not there so I'll take your word for it.  

[nesussxwx]

4 minutes ago, snywx said:

Snow has picked up in intensity.. The show is beginning up here

Storm is just getting started for us. Gonna dump the next several hours. Poconos should see 30".

[justinj]

Just now, Rjay said:

My wife says she measured 12" but I'm not there so I'll take your word for it.  

10” holbrook just north of vets highway 

[weatherpruf]

Just now, brianinhboro said:

Heavy sleet/rain here in Hillsborough, not one flake of snow in the air.  Pretty sad it had the potential to be record breaking.  I fear this will eat into my snowpack.

If its rain and sleet, I would tend to think, based on experience, our bigger accumulation chances are largely over in those regions....damn sleet is always under-predicted. Still a nice storm with a ways to go. Still who would turn their noses up at 12+? After the last 3 years?

[tim]

...as of 1pm.

30.9*.

snow has lightened up.

took many readings..alot of 10's & 11's.

as of 1pm 10.5" snow OTG.

[bluewave]

Snow got really light here in SW Suffolk and the temperature dropped to 30.6°.

[dmillz25]

Still all snow here in bed stuy Brooklyn 

[A_Status]

Light sleet now in Flatbush.

[winterwx21]

1 minute ago, weatherpruf said:

You don't think the sleet will hold? Lots of CNJ into steady sleet now....

When I watched the RGEM color loop last night, it showed us changing over to sleet for a couple hours around midday before going back to snow. There have been some hints that we would get a period of sleet, but it shouldn't last too long. It will be going back to heavy snow.

[jm1220]

Light snow again, no sleet here.

[Nibor]

Ah, the sweet sounds of shovels, snowblowers, and stuck cars.

[MikeS]

Still absolutely puking snow in Wayne with near white out conditions

[weatherpruf]

Just now, winterwx21 said:

When I watched the RGEM color loop last night, it showed us changing over to sleet for a couple hours around midday before going back to snow. There have been some hints that we would get a period of sleet, but it shouldn't last too long. It will be going back to heavy snow.

Saw that in Jan 2011; wound up with 19 total. It actually rained for a period in that storm, then went to sleet and later back to snow. So it can happen. I too have forgotten how longer events can unfold, again with so many progressive patterns in recent years.

[janetjanet998]

It looks like central park may miss the sleet at least this surge

if they can still in the pivot without getting dry slotted  may hit 20+ for NYC??

may be a matter of miles

[TheManWithNoFace]

14 hours ago, HailMan06 said:

 

Flflemington130pm straight sleet homey

[cleetussnow]

30 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

got anything in Area 51 that can change the track of the 700mb low?

 

I should put my real town.  Hawthorne NY.  

[gravitylover]

Man its dumpin' out there. Its been like this since about 11:30. Just coming down!

[SnowGoose69]

Central Park 13.3 total.  11.3 today  

[omo_yankee]

it is sleeting like hell here. this will reach essex next why does it always mix when they say no mix

[nycsnow]

Don’t see how anyone in the metro gets 20 now actually this sleet came in fast and we are about to dry slot 

[BedStuySnow]

5 minutes ago, dmillz25 said:

Still all snow here in bed stuy Brooklyn 

Same at my place in Bed Stuy/Clinton Hill... About 1/3 mile viz here, whatever that means, was below a quarter about twenty minutes ago.

[HVSnowLover]

Just now, omo_yankee said:

it is sleeting like hell here. this will reach essex next why does it always mix when they say no mix

Mid level warming always underestimated. NAM and rgem did have sleet up to central nj and touching south shore 

[MikeStorms]

10 OTG in Ossining, 1.5 in the last 45 mins.


.

[psv88]

4 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Light snow again, no sleet here.

Hanging on to moderate snow on the southern edge of this band, but this might be the end of the accumulating snow for us, i do see some bands trying to develop offshore, but they look pretty light for the most part. I don't think we get to 18", but 14" is doable when all said and done. Temp ticking back up again, 28/7, S+