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Obs and nowcast Major Nor'easter near blizzard Sunday afternoon Jan 31 - Sunrise Wednesday Feb 3


wdrag
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Just now, NJsnow89 said:

No one expected sleet here in Piscataway. Kudos to the HRRR for showing this. 

Yup. I think it's the mid level lift pivoting away from some and therefore no/fewer snowflakes can form. Lower level lift would cause sleet pellets to form. If there's a heavier batch it probably goes back to snow. It's not warm air surging in at mid levels this time IMO. 

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Snow is much lighter in Whitestone. I'm about to head out with the dog so I'll see how much has fallen, I'd guess about 11-12" based on area reports. 

It looks like we won't hit those 20+ inch totals in and around the city, or even 15+ unless these bands pivot through which seems unlikely if the storm stalls and eventually occludes.

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I'm pretty sure many have forgotten just how long a duration this storm is going to be. It's going to pivot and heavy returns will make its way back through. Patience folks. Currently puking snow here in Flushing Queens.

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