Obs and nowcast Major Nor'easter near blizzard Sunday afternoon Jan 31 - Sunrise Wednesday Feb 3

[SI Mailman]

Already have a dusting here on Staten Island

[Blizzardo]

Just now, HVSnowLover said:

Is it though? Looking at webcams on Jersey coast not much is happening 

I am in Sayreville and the ground is covering already!

[SnowGoose69]

I think what will happen is that next band over WNJ might briefly give the area some light snow 19-21Z which will then stop with the main area moving in 23-00

[SI Mailman]

Just now, Blizzardo said:

I am in Sayreville and the ground is covering already!

Yep, 5 miles to your NE and can confirm.  

[sussexcountyobs]

First flakes starting to fly here. 18.0°

[Sn0waddict]

5 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

This is coming in way earlier than modeled. Bolds well for huge amounts.

This is just some WAA stuff from the dying primary.  The good stuff comes once the true primary gets going off the coast, which we still a little while away from.

[HVSnowLover]

1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said:

I think what will happen is that next band over WNJ might briefly give the area some light snow 19-21Z which will then stop with the main area moving in 23-00

Yea looks like the band now that jumped north into PA and NJ is not part of the main storm if I’m seeing it accurately 

[eduggs]

10 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

This is coming in way earlier than modeled. Bolds well for huge amounts.

Yes. Getting things started without a significant delay is usually a good sign.

But it's possible there could be some pullback of the returns at some point today as dry air erodes the initial overrunning and things start to shift to the developing coastal.

[ADKNYCPA]

24/14 Allentown, PA - nice big flurries covering up sidewalks and sticking to everything

[ForestHillWx]

22/11. Flurries started at 12:30; light steady snow now. 

Just took a quick ride out; kids skating on the pond at Chubb Park, the Black River is frozen solid above the damn. It looks like deep winter; this storm will make it even better. 

Good luck everyone!

[Brian5671]

cloudy and 22 here-some dim sun still visible

[Northof78]

Looking at radar/overall surface map seems this might end East of most models , very light snow has begun, radar looking much more robust than thought at this time 

[chrisNJ]

Moderate snow. 1/2” or so. 

[SnowGoose69]

 

You can see that typical dry push now on radar....snow advancing further NE in NJ west of EWR with that usual struggle zone right near SI where that dry air funnels down from CT.  Probably will see snow in FWN before it snows at LGA/JFK

[BlizzLuv]

Coating on all surfaces in Hillsborough NJ. 25 degrees

[wdrag]

1 hour ago, HVSnowLover said:

Very cold start rare to have temps in the low 20s pre evaporational cooling as precipitation arrives for a big storm like this

se flow 850 mb lift - waa...  helps.  It's spurt. Looks nice.

 

[wdrag]

SB Wantage (this part) around 135P.  just flurries right now.  18.3/5.2 t/td. 

[sussexcountyobs]

Just now, wdrag said:

SB Wantage (this part) around 135P.  just flurries right now.  18.3/5.2 t/td. 

Same here. Flurries 18.3°

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

4 minutes ago, wdrag said:

se flow 850 mb lift - waa...  helps.  It's spurt. Looks nice.

 

The 1996 storm it was high single digits when it started. Ratios even in NYC were 15 to 20:1 in that storm. 

[eduggs]

Nothing so far near Morristown. Radar looks good but so far too dry.

[wxman]

Solid inch down with steady light to almost moderate snow.  Temp 22.

[eduggs]

3 minutes ago, wxman said:

Solid inch down with steady light to almost moderate snow.  Temp 22.

That was fast! I'm not too far north of you and still nothing. I'm always a little anxious about the start.

[MikeS]

Nothing in Wayne yet either. Radar looks good, but nothing reaching the ground. 

[MJO812]

Flurries starting in south Brooklyn

[wxman]

I was looking at that on radarscope, not sure why you're not snowing been snowing here for a while.

[Northof78]

Very Light snow with large flakes, looks like excellent snow growth and ratios at least at the start

[RU848789]

Surprisingly, as of 2:30 pm, in Metuchen, we already have 1/2" of light, fluffy snow - gorgeous dendrites - and it's 23F.  

[wxman]

[SnoSki14]

Yeah it looks like a half inch at least.

[wxman]

Just now, SnoSki14 said:

Yeah it looks like a half inch at least.

Pushing 1.5" now, I took the photo a while ago but I couldn't figure out how to shrink it so I could post, LOL, thank god for google.