donsutherland1 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 9 minutes ago, wdrag said: NYC CP officially 2.0" yesterday. Jan 2.1 Presume that's not near the record low snow for Jan. The record low in January is 0.0”, which occurred in 1890. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 HRRR is still insisting of bringing in sleet during the morning hours in NYC. Hope it is wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 4.7” as of 3:45am. Sparta, NW NJ. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fishmn Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Currently not precipitating. Just shoveled the driveway fpr round 1. Started to sleet heavily for 15 minutes then stopped doing anything. The AccuWeather Channel keeps saying only 6 more inches today for my area. Starting to worry about a bust low. 25F 6.5" calm winds in Western Hunterdon Co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Dover NJ, I never measure for some reason. I suspect I will have no way to eyeball this one. I forgot how much more wind you guys get up this way. I have drifting already this is going to be wild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 23 minutes ago, MJO812 said: HRRR is still insisting of bringing in sleet during the morning hours in NYC. Hope it is wrong. It's not. Getting sleet in north central NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: It's not. Getting sleet in north central NJ. Rgem has no sleet at all Nam has no sleet at all The rain snow line is supposed to stop around Central NJ and then collapse down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: Rgem has no sleet at all Nam has no sleet at all The rain snow line is supposed to stop around Central NJ and then collapse down. If there's an explosion of precip like the Rgem/Nam or Euro show then yes that'll collapse down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: If there's an explosion of precip like the Rgem/Nam or Euro show then yes that'll collapse down. Gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Gfs upped the ante Fun afternoon ahead Time to get some rest Be back in a few hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Gfs upped the ante Fun afternoon ahead Time to get some rest Be back in a few hours Haha I have the same issue. Our weenie minds don’t let us sleep. Try to get as much as you can now. I got 3 or 4 hours tonight so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 13 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gfs upped the ante Fun afternoon ahead Time to get some rest Be back in a few hours The parallel has double the snowfall through 18z for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 2 hours ago, lee59 said: Temperature up to 28 degrees here, it was about 23 at 9pm. A few inches on the ground and snowing lightly. ...same here 23* @ 9pm..temp now 29.7* @ 5am..think the c/o is inevitable..about 2" OTG..probably looking @ the lower end of the 5-8" of snow here on ELI..hope i'm wrong but thats my gut talking.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 for giggles anyone have the gfs snow map? off to bed for a few hours. Yonkers 22F very light snow 3.5” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tek1972 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 ...same here 23* @ 9pm..temp now 29.7* @ 5am..think the c/o is inevitable..about 2" OTG..probably looking @ the lower end of the 5-8" of snow here on ELI..hope i'm wrong but thats my gut talking..31 in Mastic. Changeover is definitely comingSent from my SM-N986U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: The parallel has double the snowfall through 18z for NYC. What are your thoughts on the models? Is the benign HRRR out to lunch here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 I favor the higher ones. The ECMWF has a good track record. The NAM and RGEM are within their best range. The GFSv16 has been very consistent and did well with the December storm. Sometimes the HRRR takes time to “catch on.” The GFS is a caution flag, but not enough to think the forecast is in trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Getting smacked under these ocean bands. Massive flakes. love seeing the NAM give LI 30”. Wow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Moderate snow and big flakes falling currently. Haven't measured yet but looks like a few inches or so. Fun fun day upcoming. 6z models all have upwards of 17-20" to come for my backyard through NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Eyeballing 6” here in bed stuy Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 13 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: I favor the higher ones. The ECMWF has a good track record. The NAM and RGEM are within their best range. The GFSv16 has been very consistent and did well with the December storm. Sometimes the HRRR takes time to “catch on.” The GFS is a caution flag, but not enough to think the forecast is in trouble. Hopefully that's the case. The latest HRRR only gives us another 6-8" which isn't bad of course but would be a significant bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxnyc Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Don’t kill me for saying this , but precipitation looks very spotty. I don’t see this all coming together as modeled or planned. Radar is not impressive at all this early morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, Wxnyc said: Don’t kill me for saying this , but precipitation looks very spotty. I don’t see this all coming together as modeled or planned. Radar is not impressive at all this early morning. The coastal is in the process of forming. Fgen band still hours away from forming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 ...up to 30.2*..slop fest incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 8 minutes ago, Wxnyc said: Don’t kill me for saying this , but precipitation looks very spotty. I don’t see this all coming together as modeled or planned. Radar is not impressive at all this early morning. You might want to wait a few hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 29 degrees heavy snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just measured @ 5:45am. 4.6" so far. Temp. 17.1° Mod/heavy snow falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Snow has really lightened here for the moment. Estimating 8" (maybe 9") of accumulation. Current temp 27/DP 25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Snowing at a pretty decent clip here in Flushing Queens... surprising when looking at the radar. In any case the snow totals seems to be way ahead of schedule for a big chunk of the sub-forum, considering the main event hasn't even started and the main event is quite long at that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northof78 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Looks to be about 6” to 7” with heavy snow, coastal really starting to crank per radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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