Festus Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 6 minutes ago, sauss06 said: we went to full out dump mode now, damn Awesome! I'm actually in a lull with nothing falling right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Radar looks like the lsv will be in the main Ccb for awhile as it forms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Sky is brightening here in northern lancaster. Probably not the greatest sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mshaffer526 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, Jns2183 said: Radar looks like the lsv will be in the main Ccb for awhile as it forms . Patience. The system is getting fired up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 NYC Special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 11 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: 9:00AM OBS PL 28.2 degrees Total snowfall (includes sleet) 5.2" Same here 5.2”. Temp 25.7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 when does the suicide happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 1, 2021 Author Share Posted February 1, 2021 Cleared my one board for a 24hr snowfall, which is 4.7". Light to moderate snow and 25ºF. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Sky is brightening here in northern lancaster. Probably not the greatest sign.Mine brighten earlier, but starting to see visibility dropping again.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 8 minutes ago, paweather said: NYC Special. Yup. NNJ too. Someone out there gets more than 2 feet, easy, imo. I'm skeptical we get any of the CCB in HBG. I think we'll be too far SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, canderson said: Yup. NNJ too. Someone out there gets more than 2 feet, easy, imo. I'm skeptical we get any of the CCB in HBG. I think we'll be too far SE. Very skeptical at this point just look at the radar. Easily 2 FT up in the NNJ NYC area. Damn. I got sucked into one model and it let me down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Looks like on the NWS radar loop the dry slot Harrisburg has been in is starting to fill in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 minute ago, paweather said: Very skeptical at this point just look at the radar. Easily 2 FT up in the NNJ NYC area. Damn. I got sucked into one model and it let me down. we're still in for a solid event here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, sauss06 said: we're still in for a solid event here. I hope your right. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Pretty excited for the Berks County area! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 1, 2021 Author Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, canderson said: Yup. NNJ too. Someone out there gets more than 2 feet, easy, imo. I'm skeptical we get any of the CCB in HBG. I think we'll be too far SE. I cautioned last night about the widespread nature of big totals getting back deep in C-PA on models like the 12k NAM while also noting that near term stuff like the HRRR probably wasn't seeing the deform shield well enough.. which looks reasonable so far this morning. I think some bigger totals do get back into C-PA but probably in a narrower area within most of the Sus Valley into the central counties seeing more moderate gains today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, sauss06 said: we're still in for a solid event here. It's already a solid event! I pinned my hopes on 6" - we're getting that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Once again, for the umpteenth time...nothing definitive can be said. The ups and downs are dizzying. - We never had any sort of model consensus (including the Euro) - We knew (or should have by now) that both a dry slot AND mixed precipitation was going to occur in the LSV) - We know the history of how delicate a Miller B set up is - implications with the transfer, the location, strength, direction, etc. This is a storm that was and still is virtually impossible to predict. And that is why I defended Tom Russell 48 hours ago. His guess (which is what it was, a guess) was just as good as any out there. And he might end up nailing it for the LSV. He also might end up way off. We don't know. Let's wait, watch, and see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 minute ago, MAG5035 said: I cautioned last night about the widespread nature of big totals getting back deep in C-PA on models like the 12k NAM while also noting that near term stuff like the HRRR probably wasn't seeing the deform shield well enough.. which looks reasonable so far this morning. I think some bigger totals do get back into C-PA but probably in a narrower area within most of the Sus Valley into the central counties seeing more moderate gains today. I know you did Mag my apologies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, canderson said: It's already a solid event! I pinned my hopes on 6" - we're getting that. exactly. that's what I'm saying. Its been snowing since yesterday. when was the last multi day event? No science behind my guess here, but i bet we crack double digits for the event in our area till this is all said and done. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Once again, for the umpteenth time...nothing definitive can be said. The ups and downs are dizzying. - We never had any sort of model consensus (including the Euro) - We knew (or should have by now) that both a dry slot AND mixed precipitation was going to occur in the LSV) - We know the history of how delicate a Miller B set up is - implications with the transfer, the location, strength, direction, etc. This is a storm that was and still is virtually impossible to predict. And that is why I defended Tom Russell 48 hours ago. His guess (which is what it was, a guess) was just as good as any out there. And he might end up nailing it for the LSV. He also might end up way off. We don't know. Let's wait, watch, and see. Very true. I been doing this hobby forever and for me i should have known better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, canderson said: It's already a solid event! I pinned my hopes on 6" - we're getting that. Just now, sauss06 said: exactly. that's what I'm saying. Its been snowing since yesterday. when was the last multi day event? No science behind my guess here, but i bet we crack double digits for the event in our area till this is all said and done. Yes. Well done fellas! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 hour ago, Superstorm said: Starting to flip to snow in south Jersey and Philly area. . Just got to office in Etown. 9:30 am Akron - snizzle Manheim - sleet to -sn Etown - sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 51 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: You guys sleep? In last 2 days my longest stretch of sleep has been 2 hrs. Gonna crash hard one of these nights 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Good morning all. Earlier when I first went out to check my board and gauge I was a little surprised to see the gauge covered in a layer of ice. As best I could tell, about 0.3" of snow/sleet had fallen between midnight and 9:00am this morning. I cleared the board and melted the mess down. It looks like I got about 0.07" of freezing rain since I had 0.10" total liquid. At 9:00am the transition back to snow began. Right now it is snowing lightly with big snow bombs falling from the sky. They really look like little bombs mixed in with some finer snow. It's all very light and not barely accumulating so far. So my storm total of mainly snow and a little sleet is now 4.0". It would be great if the 12z NAM snow totals materialized out this far west. I guess we just watch and wait. Temp now 26.1 degrees with almost no wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 I got new hopes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 11 minutes ago, canderson said: It's already a solid event! I pinned my hopes on 6" - we're getting that. Yeah I came into this storm at 6-12. Looks like we're gonna get that. It's easy to see the crazy amounts the models put out and then your hype get deflated when they get close to nothing like that. Decembers storm taught me a lesson lol but that's because I was excited since it hadn't snowed in 2 years 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matrix961 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Here in Mechanicsburg we did get a very light glaze on top of what we had overnight. I measured about 5”. Right now it’s 28 and a very fine snow coming down. Last hour got a light dusting on areas I cleaned off earlier in the morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 minute ago, paweather said: I got new hopes! They're out of prison? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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