Cashtown_Coop Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: We are real close. I am calling 6 here. If that crazy nam output came to fruition then we will break a foot. Yeah that would be great. I’m half way to my 12” goal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Guess what just woke me up? Sleet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Guess what just woke me up? Sleet!Quiet here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Steady light to moderate snow in Marysville with 4 inches on the ground as of 11:50 pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 1, 2021 Author Share Posted February 1, 2021 Light to moderate rate currently I got a uniform 2.5" on my measuring spots. I put a second board out to clear at 24 hrs tomorrow morning. A lot of this afternoon had pretty light snow but 2.5" in about 15 hrs is definitely playing the slow game lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 54 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Back to the discussion at hand, namely the ongoing storm... I still think the focus of the biggest totals will be that Lehigh Valley area of far eastern PA in northern half of NJ/NYC. And really the NAM still reflected that.. but the 0z run really hooked up with the major deform band reaching far back deep into C-PA. I'm a bit suspect of such a widespread area of a foot plus so far back like the 12k NAM has, but I do think the deform shield is probably being undermodelled on near term guidance like the HRRR. But remember.. HRRR goes out to 18 hours except for the 0,6,12,18z runs and we're still not really at the time when this deform from the deepening coastal gets flung back into PA at the end of the regular HRRR runs. And I'm more looking at other short term guidance for anything out past that anyways. The major features (850/700 lows) are well placed to go along with a very robust 850mb jet pointed into eastern PA so there's likely going to be a stripe of more significant totals.. just not sure on how widespread. It's funny. Way back when I lived in the Lehigh Valley, a lot of the best snowstorms were in the Poconos and the coal region. Now, after 5 years in AZ, the past 20 years most times featured the best snowstorms in the Lehigh Valley and not so severe (relatively speaking) up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Here's my daily report summary from Carlisle for 1/31/21. Total snowfall = 3.7". Total Liquid Equivalent = 0.34". Snow to Liquid Ratio = 10.9 : 1. With only light snow mainly falling between 9:30pm and midnight, only an additional 0.5" was recorded over that 2.5 hr period. The measurement at 11:00pm was 3.6" (which I did not report). Have a good night all. Looking forward to seeing you again in the morning. I hope to get up by 7:30 or so with my next update. ---Stephen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just went outside to measure. So far 3.75 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 I have 5.25 just outside harrisburg. It never really stopped snowing all day just got a tad lighting. All day I had pretty big flakes tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Here is the 0z Euro QPF & Kuchera map. We still have a long way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 2 hours ago, canderson said: GFS is tucked with little NW precip field. Don’t get it. It is all about how far west the model runs are sending the upper level dynamics - the runs that are sending it west are the ones spitting out the higher numbers on the snow maps and the ones that are not look like this GFS map or the much lower HRRR solution. The upper level dry air showing up so well on current water vapor imagery already as well as the model runs worries me (as in need under banding for good snow or face dry slotting), but will have to see how things shake out tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 I'm going to try not to panic, but that dry slot pushed farther north than I thought it would. I figured we'd have light snow throughout the night until the coastal took over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 57 minutes ago, Voyager said: I'm going to try not to panic, but that dry slot pushed farther north than I thought it would. I figured we'd have light snow throughout the night until the coastal took over. Starting to fill in here in Lanco. Should be up your way soon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 NAM looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 10 minutes ago, Superstorm said: . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 10 minutes ago, Superstorm said: NAM looking good can you post? also when will we see the precip field fill back in? . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, Ruin said: And still more to come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 God dang the precip field better fill in. how about movement speed does it slow down more? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Staring to fill in now.On the NAM it looks like a complete stall.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 3k is just a maulin. Loop is just crazy. Deform just hammers us till it runs outta nails. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 how many frames does she stall for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 3k is just a maulin. Loop is just crazy. Deform just hammers us till it runs outta nails. Man, if that comes to fruition it will be insane in a few hours.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 minute ago, Superstorm said: Staring to fill in now. On the NAM it looks like a complete stall. . Dude it’s just perfect. LP sits 50 miles off south Jersey for hours on end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Staring to fill in now. On the NAM it looks like a complete stall. . maybe i shouldnt say frames but hours for the stall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 It just seems to meander off the coast for at least 40 hours.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 wait wait wait what? so does it pump snow back into our area harrisburg lancaster all that time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Looks like it is snowing at least 30 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ruin said: how many frames does she stall for? I counted 29 hrs that mslp does a 25-50 mile loop off de/snj coast. It’s a beaut Clark. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 so about 10 tuesday shocked face it goes from mon night ending to 3 am now to like 10am lol omfg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 minute ago, Ruin said: wait wait wait what? so does it pump snow back into our area harrisburg lancaster all that time? We lose first couple frames to sleet but transition to s+ by mid morn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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