Jns2183 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Will give them credit they are keeping on top of things.Add in the 2” already on ground and a 10-14” storm total is pretty much what they started with and technically within the 12”-18”. Whoever is in the band when the stall happens will see 16” maybe more. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 It’s really filling in SW of our area. Can’t wait for part 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 hour ago, daxx said: Yea I’m feeling pretty damn good about this. Overachieving on the front side is a big help. We are around 4” here and seeing the 18z gfs and euro open and ens holding the line is fantastic. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, pasnownut said: We are around 4” here and seeing the 18z gfs and euro open and ens holding the line is fantastic. I agree. I’m about 4 and on. Local news needs some sort of change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Flake size has increased a bit, and every now and again a gust whips up and blows the snow off the roof, so I'm guessing changes are afoot. Earlier it was quite calm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 You gotta love the primary out there spinning. Come on Coastal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gosnow Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Quick question? Lancaster showing wintry mix keeping down amounts. Do the thermals support that? Also with the globals showing high amounts in lsv nws seems to believe the lower values from other models. Is it better to be conservative from their pt of view when there is a difference? Thanks in advance for any replies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 8:45PM OBS -SN 25.4 degrees Current storm total snowfall: 4.3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 1, 2021 Author Share Posted February 1, 2021 Looks to be up over 2" now, moderate snow. On the southern end of some enhancing on the radar. Best snow has seemed to be residing in the north-central between UNV-IPT and NW of that line a bit so far this evening. Also another band of imbedded heavier snow working up from Frederick up toward York/Lancaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 It looks like the nam finally catching on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, MAG5035 said: Looks to be up over 2" now, moderate snow. On the southern end of some enhancing on the radar. Best snow has seemed to be residing in the north-central between UNV-IPT and NW of that line a bit so far this evening. Also another band of imbedded heavier snow working up from Frederick up toward York/Lancaster. Watching that like a hawk. Might miss me just to my west. If it does, looks like I might not see much in the way of accumulations for some time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, daxx said: It looks like the nam finally catching on. Look at you paying attention to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 8 minutes ago, daxx said: It looks like the nam finally catching on. Yeppers. Nice changes. Holds taint back a bit but ticked south w deform bands right over eastern pa. Snow maps should look better as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mshaffer526 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 The NAM caved! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Look at you paying attention to it. You bet, hell l even look at 84 hours. Look is the key word. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Oh brother. The naming has arrived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, Mshaffer526 said: The NAM caved! Shocker don’t even need to look at it the Euro was all over this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mshaffer526 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Speechless 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 I was just looking through the NAM panels...that was more than just a little change. That was a freaking NAM'ing! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 If the NAM is to be believed it will be ripping snow Monday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, paweather said: Shocker don’t even need to look at it the Euro was all over this. Gotta say you’ve been rock solid. You must have secret sources or one helluva poker player. Hehe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMDEW80 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 just hit 3 inches with the heaviest snow of the day falling. 21 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Gotta say you’ve been rock solid. You must have secret sources or one helluva poker player. Hehe I just had that feeling when the EURO locked in through the years it locked in. I have been doing this hobby way too long lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, paweather said: I just had that feeling when the EURO locked in through the years it locked in. I have been doing this hobby way too long lol. I get ya but the euro hasn’t been rock solid so when you’re playing poker next....I’ve got some $$ for ya. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 7 minutes ago, pasnownut said: I get ya but the euro hasn’t been rock solid so when you’re playing poker next....I’ve got some $$ for ya. The EURO does know Miller B’s every storm is different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 33 minutes ago, paweather said: I just had that feeling when the EURO locked in through the years it locked in. I have been doing this hobby way too long lol. When I saw the nooners showing the sharper trough axis I quietly felt that we were good. Didnt make sense for easterly solutions and to me and better qpf being thrown back into CTP seemed like only a matter of time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Here in Carlisle, at 9:30pm I have light to moderate snow falling. Since my last report back at 7:00 I have recorded an additional 0.8" of snow bringing my storm total to 3.2". It has now been 12 hours since the storm began. This equates to an average of 0.25" / hour over the past 12 hours. My temperature is 23.0 degrees with a dew point of 22.0 degrees. If the timing of the GFS is correct the banded heavy stuff should be here around dawn. Then the serious stuff begins. Lets hope any mixing does not make it above the mason dixon line. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: When I saw the nooners showing the sharper trough axis I quietly felt that we were good. Didnt make sense for easterly solutions and to me and better qpf being thrown back into CT’s seemed like only a matter of time. I thought the same thing but was afraid to jinx it. I'm tired. Too many late Euro nights this past week, and a big day tomorrow. Last obs for today: -SN 25.0 degrees 4.9" of snow. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: When I saw the nooners showing the sharper trough axis I quietly felt that we were good. Didnt make sense for easterly solutions and to me and better qpf being thrown back into CT’s seemed like only a matter of time. Yeah lots of surprises coming. Most people that don’t follow the weather will look at this radar and say what? I can’t wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 And I’m in to seeing the transfer happen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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