paweather Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, Atomixwx said: CTP keeps lowering totals. Some places may lose warnings at this rate. Nobody knows what to do with the coastal. Honestly it will be real time on what happens. I feel bad for those in there having to choose a forecast right now. But I wouldn’t just drop numbers like every 4 hours either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just after 4:00pm it continues to snow lightly to at times moderately here in Carlisle. The heavy stuff an hour ago only lasted about 15 minutes before diminishing. At 4:00pm I measured 0.4" of additional snowfall bringing the storm total to 1.4". The temp has dropped further down to 26.4 degrees and the dew point is 24.0 degrees. Nice to read some encouraging news after the gloom and doom earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 CTP moved MDT down to 6-10”. The map has 9”, down from 12” 4 hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 3k looks a bit better and showing me so bands starting to penetrate true central. Should make a few feel better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 7 minutes ago, canderson said: CTP moved MDT down to 6-10”. The map has 9”, down from 12” 4 hours ago. If they are relying on the long range HRRR....I don’t know what to say....but they are the experts, so we will see how it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 If you go look at all the short range models they have some spread. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 27 minutes ago, paweather said: It’s already filling in to our Southwest. Yeah just noticed that. Pleasant surprise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Ramping back up now to nearly heavy with larger flakes. Temp continues to fall slowly now 25.9 degrees. My cul-de-sac street which was just wet earlier is starting to cave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 MDT will need to avoid the dry slot to break 10”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 25 degrees, lite snow. Haven't measured but grass is covered. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 GFS has sucked me back in, lmbo.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Go look at happy hour GFS. He knows we r day drinking and wants to party. Can’t wait for snow panels. Gonna be better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 That's why I kept my expectations in check for this storm. They're calling 6-10 inches here now. Hilarious when you see bigger places calling 12-18in lmao in the morning they bumped up totals to 10-14 but then later today 6-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 3 minutes ago, Superstorm said: GFS has sucked me back in, lmbo. . Dude I did NOT expect that but totally dig it..... see what I did there? Lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Is that a deform band starting to appear just north of lwx? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 4:55PM OBS -SN 27.2 degrees Total snow: 2.5" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Hoping that heavy band of returns down near hagerstown can make it up to the camp hill area. It was ripping here like 15-20mins ago but has slowed down again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Really hoping we perform well with this. Got burnt with the december storm with them calling 18+ inches here and we only got 8. It feels like it's happening all over again...maybe it'll do the reverse this time or maybe I'm being pessimistic lol either way having it snow for this long a duration is exciting though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcfox1 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: 4:55PM OBS -SN 27.2 degrees Total snow: 2.5" About the same here went from mod to light now. Edit: As soon as I posted it went to Mod lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, dcfox1 said: About the same here went from mod to light now. I go for precise measurements. My numbers should always be close to yours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 30 miles will separate 8” from 20”. Have fun predicting that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 That is going to be one sick band tomorrow. Someone is going to score very, very big. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 At 5:00pm in Carlisle, light snow is falling after spending about 30 minutes moderate and about five minutes heavy (lol). All of that added up to an additional 0.4" over the past hour. Storm total now at 1.8". Temp 24.8. Man, the GFS really cranks up the CCB over the LSV early tomorrow morning. 1"/hour+ rates for over 6 hours. Keeping my fingers crossed. I wonder if NWS will have to bump their numbers back up again? haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 16 minutes ago, TheDreamTraveler said: That's why I kept my expectations in check for this storm. They're calling 6-10 inches here now. Hilarious when you see bigger places calling 12-18in lmao in the morning they bumped up totals to 10-14 but then later today 6-10 It’s a roller coaster with CTP... I sure their forecast will change five more times before the event is done. The results will probably be right around where they started out earlier today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Our friend Roger just informed the Philly thread to expect 8-50". 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 That is going to be one sick band tomorrow. Someone is going to score very, very big.Juicy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Our friend Roger just informed the Philly thread to expect 8-50". Lmbo.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, CarlislePaWx said: At 5:00pm in Carlisle, light snow is falling after spending about 30 minutes moderate and about five minutes heavy (lol). All of that added up to an additional 0.4" over the past hour. Storm total now at 1.8". Temp 24.8. Man, the GFS really cranks up the CCB over the LSV early tomorrow morning. 1"/hour+ rates for over 6 hours. Keeping my fingers crossed. I wonder if NWS will have to bump their numbers back up again? haha I was thinking the same thing. How awesome would that be. Verbatim GFS less mixy in LSV. I’m huggin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
medmax Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Is there a coastal SFC low yet? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 So far the original NWS forecast for this afternoon was 1-3". I'm right in the middle at 2". For overnight they originally were calling for 2-4 but lowered it to 1-3" I'm willing to bet I'll exceed 3" of new snow by 7:00am tomorrow morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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