Dabuckeyes Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 3.2” now. Rocking these 0.25”/hr rates. Only has to keep those up for 12 more hours to get in the 6-12 range 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AACOUNTYMD Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 still snowing here. . . albeit gently. . .I don't hate that. And it looks like it will continue for a while. So, here's hoping that the low stays tucked in and goes NNE and instead of ENE. . . Thanks for everyone here for giving me something that makes me look like I know what I am talking about to my family and friends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Dabuckeyes said: Only has to keep those up for 12 more hours to get in the 6-12 range That’s the spirit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 hour ago, Chris78 said: What's your thoughts on the CCB tomorrow? Seems we are a bit to far west. Frederick east looks to have a shot. We should still see some lighter snow/ snow showers throughout the day. Man...that is a tough one but agree with Fred east being in a better spot. I still feel like there will be some surprises with the banding. No doubt any banding will be eastern PA's leftovers but a solid period of light to mod snow I think is 50/50 even out this far west. Wouldn't surprise me if we have true CCB over the forecasted spots and then a light/mod band further west with subsidence in between. Some modeling has shown this idea.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
digital snow Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Idk this was a huge bust in NOVA. I am sitting at 2 compacted inches after 15 hours of snowfall. Pretty soul crushing after days of double digit fantasy maps 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just measured and yup, I'm at 2" sharp. DCA is actually beating me in Germantown hahaha. Today was fun though. The snow is super fine, you can blow on it and it will blow away. It's pretty neat. The crystals themselves are like little fine needlepoints. it's pretty wild. Lots of sledding with the 5 year old. Snowman making was an absolute no go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Pretty heavy SN in Westminster now with a good batch training over us. Could get to 6” tonight if we stay in this for a few hours. Radar to the west looks solid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Final total was 2.4” IMBY. It’s currently raining and melting everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 I'm not really sure what these flakes are but the nighttime snow in the lights feels heavier. Good storm if you didn't know what a model was or what other people are getting 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Primary low is down to 1008. DIE, MoFo, DIE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherQ Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Extreme NE MD (Elkton). Beautiful fine powder falling. 27F and falling. 1.2” on ground at Hospital 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 hour ago, Bob Chill said: It was earlier this week but imo how it's happening on the ground is an old rerun at this point. That's prob not a coincidence. Deep under the hood might be unusual. Ground truth is not. I think we can agree there. GFS is going to win this one for our yards. Every time I looked at it I envisioned this type of outcome (and it made a lot of sense even if I didnt like it) but I never compared any run over run changes in the upper levels or any fine detail at all really. I just broad brushed looked at runs in isolation when I had time click thru them. Primary is in OH now. That's def not suppressed. Euro had a horizontal brick wall just north of our region earlier this week when it was exciting. Now the firehose is rocking NYC/CNJ/CPA. That's not suppression either. Maybe technically in the fine details it still all is but it's really hard to defend suppression looking at everything in it's entirety as it's happening/going to happen. The suppression in New England moves out just in time for the wave to amplify along the coast. Problem is it de amplified the wave west of us first then because the ridge is east of the Rockies it reamplifies a bit too late. The slp track is fine. Transfer to NC then up. But we’re sitting under the dry slot ahead of the mid and upper level lows as the secondary passes through our sweet spot so it’s ruined. The mid and upper lows take too long to get their act together and phase in too late. Not sure suppression would have helped that. We’ve had some really awesome miller b hybrids with a primary into Ohio so long as the secondary develops south of us. But those cases (feb 10 2010 was one) the trough was amplifying not weakening on approach. The stall then wait to phase of the upper lows kills us because we sit under the dry SW flow at the mid levels as the coastal passes us. The runs that crushed us the trough didn’t open up and weaken as much it held and amplified to the coast without the weaken/open up/stall nonsense. Imo that was when it went wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Snowing moderate to heavy in a band in Dundalk coming northward to the 695 beltway. 29 degrees and very adverse road conditions for the amount of snow we’ve seen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, digital snow said: Idk this was a huge bust in NOVA. I am sitting at 2 compacted inches after 15 hours of snowfall. Pretty soul crushing dyer days of double digit fantasy maps Never, ever depend on a Miller B at our latitude 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 CC shows mix line pretty much right along I-95 up to near Laurel/Bowie and other than that mainly south of BWI to Rock Hall. Pretty standard line for climo purposes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherShak Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Puking sleet. Took the Jeep to pick up some forgotten groceries for wife for dinner and roads are awful. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Rates picking back up in Reisterstown. 25/24 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just a light mist/drizzle and just under freezing here (31.7/30.8) and has been like that for most of afternoon. Snow eased up before noon, and the final total here is 6.0 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 It's looking like maybe a brief period of heavy sleet/rain before being dryslotted, saving a lot of my snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDSnowyWxTracker Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Man super fine grain snow here in Urbana. Thought it was sleet at first coming down at a pretty good clip now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanTheMan Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 I got burned by the dry slot pretty bad in Centreville. Most of the accumulating snow was over by about 10. Just misty the rest of the day. Probably had about 2 inches before compaction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 hour ago, nw baltimore wx said: I need to know how many pills have you taken today? Is this one of your “good” days? mm.. I can do anything. It's snowing all the way back to Illinois though, dry though. Good midWinter -NAO setting up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Rates a little better now here in Dundalk. Stuff recovered again. Probably around 3” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Parkville- Breezy, light snow. Got close to 3 inches today. The pixie dust snow was a bit disappointing today cutting down on accumulations, but I expected 2-5 today so wound up in that range. If I'm not misunderstood, we should still get light/moderate snow tomorrow afternoon, maybe a few more inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, StormchaserChuck! said: mm.. I can do anything. It's snowing all the way back to Illinois though, dry though. Good midWinter -NAO setting up I was kidding. You mentioned a pivot. What were you referring to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Moderate snow 2.2 so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 18 minutes ago, Ruin said: sometimes when echos just vanish or just come out of no where I wonder if the radar wasnt just acting up sometimes and not picking it up or late in showing it drying up With snow, it usually means upper level energy is moving in and pockets of lift/dynamics are doing what they do. Upper level energy often pummels new weenie's brains because a blank radar = nothing happening at all for many hours. But there's plenty of available moisture in the column for precip. Just no mechanism to wring it out. Then energy moves overhead way up at 15k' or more snow starts seemingly out of nowhere. Like a miracle really. But if you understand 500mb vort and height panels it's not a miracle at all. It's expected. Not saying you should know this in any way shape or form because vast majority here dont. Tonight wont have a lot of that magic. Just remember this post during our next legit upper level system and make fun of weenies on the verge of suicide. If you want a visual, click through the 500mb vort panels on the nam and check out the closed circle over OH as it approaches and starts sending orange and yellow swirly things over our heads. The redder and oranger and swirlier, the more energy to work with. It's not nearly that simple to forecast but its a good way to understand what your seeing on radar. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
digital snow Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 I am just an amateur but the NAM nailed this. It also nailed our last storm in Jan 2019 when predicted 3-4 inches became 10-12. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Bob Chill said: With snow, it usually means upper level energy is moving in and pockets of lift/dynamics are doing what they do. Upper level energy often pummels new weenie's brains because a blank radar = nothing happening at all for many hours. But there's plenty of available moisture in the column for precip. Just no mechanism to wring it out. Then energy moves overhead way up at 15k' or more snow starts seemingly out of nowhere. Like a miracle really. But if you understand 500mb vort and height panels it's not a miracle at all. It's expected. Not saying you should know this in any way shape or form because vast majority here dont. Tonight wont have a lot of that magic. Just remember this post during our next legit upper level system and make fun of weenies on the verge of suicide. If you want a visual, click through the 500mb vort panels on the nam and check out the closed circle over OH as it approaches and starts sending orange and yellow swirly things over our heads. The redder and oranger and swirlier, the more energy to work with. It's not nearly that simple to forecast but its a good way to understand what your seeing on radar. I know what your saying but ive seen it in the summer time too. its raining at my house and radar shows blank. then 20 mins later it shows something to the east of me. or when im star gazing for the meteor showers forecast is for clear skys and clouds roll in but on the satellite no clouds. this happens with both the summer ones and the winter ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Being lazy ends up having some benefits. (Capitol Hill.) 16 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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