jayyy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, frd said: North Central NJ on that image from the ICON is a snow magnet when it comes to Miller Bs. Wasn't that a hot spot for Boxing Day too ? I grew up right over the border in Rockland county NY. 10 mins north of Bergen County NJ. NNJ into the lower Hudson valley into SW CT and coastal RI / MA always jack on these storms. Always. Someone in the higher elevations of NWNJ will see 30” I bet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 NE MD, Northern DE, getting it. Notice the difference here from Philly ( 17 inches ) to Wilmington , De ( 8.7 inches ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 6 minutes ago, frd said: North Central NJ on that image from the ICON is a snow magnet when it comes to Miller Bs. Wasn't that a hot spot for Boxing Day too ? I’m not up on my history since I haven’t been tracking snow for that long, but I do know where to find the answer! It appears you are correct. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, frd said: NE MD, Northern DE, getting it. Notice the difference here from Philly ( 17 inches ) to Wilmington , De ( 8.7 inches ) I’ll sign on for 8.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kgottwald Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 6 minutes ago, frd said: North Central NJ on that image from the ICON is a snow magnet when it comes to Miller Bs. Wasn't that a hot spot for Boxing Day too ? Remember December 30, 2000? DC was supposed to get 4 - 8 inches from that storm. We got CLEAR SKIES, while Northwestern NJ got bombed with 25 inches. Here in Vienna, VA, the moderate snow stopped around 9 a.m., and it's been nothing but light or very light snow since. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Mount Holly, some cool wording. They always do an exceptional job in the AFD. In response to the the deepening surface low and increasing cold air advection, the wintry mix along I-95 will quickly change back over to snow Monday morning, and the rain/snow line will push back toward the coast throughout the day. The strongest winds and heaviest snow rates are not forecast to align (strongest winds likely occurring in rain and mixing), therefore precluding the need for a Blizzard Warning. A change over to all snow is expected on the back side of the storm, even all the way to the coast, as the system begins departing into Monday night. The exact placement and strength of the low will dictate exactly where the heaviest snow falls. The complexity of this system lies in details of the system transitioning from an overruning precip regime to a mesoscale banding (frontogenetic forcing) and wrap-around precip regime early Monday. The latest 12Z guidance suite has continued trending the f-gen banding potential a bit northward, which suggests the greatest potential for this to occur across portions of northern New Jersey (north of I-195) and eastern Pennsylvania (Lehigh Valley and east/north). West of the f-gen forcing, some guidance suggests that a dry-slot will advect in around daybreak west of the Philly metro. The storm total snowfall forecast was updated to reflect these features and the mixing farther south/west. Generally 6-12" is forecast for around the Philly metro with less south/east and more to the north. The axis of f-gen can certainly change over the coming forecast updates. Snow totals in the banding may exceed the broadbrush ~18-24" storm total snowfall locally that is currently forecast in these areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMan1 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Good size aggregate flakes here in Crofton (AA County), though I fear such is a prelude to a mix coming soon from the SW (which the CC would imply). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Sleet has commenced Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 16 minutes ago, jayyy said: Developing off NC as we speak. Solid start. The key is what does it do from there and how quickly does it get its act together. Watch it’s movement next. ene very bad, nne OK. N-nne very good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, kgottwald said: Remember December 30, 2000? DC was supposed to get 4 - 8 inches from that storm. We got CLEAR SKIES, while Northwestern NJ got bombed with 25 inches. Here in Vienna, VA, the moderate snow stopped around 9 a.m., and it's been nothing but light or very light snow since. Very much so, The snow area missed me by miles. A crazy gradient from West to East. To say the least I was bummed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 https://ibb.co/R4hVNY5 Ton of convection popping up off the Carolinas. Coastal’s getting its act together Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Some nice Returns to Baltimore’s southwest unless it’s just sleet. Hopefully that delivers our additional inch or 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Nice afternoon for a fire 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 28/26, -SN, 5.0" 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, Baltimorewx said: Some nice Returns to Baltimore’s southwest unless it’s just sleet. Hopefully that delivers our additional inch or 2 It’s not sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crazy4Wx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Game time off the coast of NC...let’s see what she does. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Best rates since this morning. 4.5 total for the event so far. Would love to beat the 9 inches I got in December. Radar starting to blossom down around Harrisonburg. Nice to see that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 holding at 3.2 inches - hoping something decent re-organizes and gives better flakes again for awhile in Balt City. Been snizzle for about three hours now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Interesting little linear feature on radar running from like Woodstock, VA down to east of Waynesboro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
digital snow Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 It was a bust... so was the December storm, and the the one before that, and the one before that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Crazy4Wx said: Game time off the coast of NC...let’s see what she does. Yup. Lots of thunderstorms off the coastline. Last frame of the radar loop you can begin to see a little filling in NoVa and bridging of the two main areas of low pressure. It’s going to be wicked close. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Getting a bit of sleet now in Lake Ridge 31F Around 2.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ovechkin Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Down to 29. And as we lose degrees and sunlight the end is about here for this round. Makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 7 minutes ago, frd said: Very much so, The snow area missed me by miles. A crazy gradient from West to East. To say the least I was bummed. Worst ever. Just to the east was hit hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 27 with light snow in Smithsburg. 2.75" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/exper/change/change.html Check it out. Rapid pressure falls off the Carolina coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Microscopic flakes with the occasional decent one mixed in. Poor flake quality. Like WxMan said I am probably close to the mix line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 6-8mb pressure drop at the NC/VA border in the past 6 hours. Come on baby, keep going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Chris78 said: 27 with light snow in Smithsburg. 2.75" Pretty much the same obs here. NAM nest was pretty good very short term...even though it was overdone a bit. Lets see what this next batch does... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Medium radar returns down by Lorton are sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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