Ji Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, leesburg 04 said: Once again....acceptable you just lost 18 inches but okay 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: Radar Update. Hallucinations to begin tonight What exactly are radar hallucinations. Are they just the radar showing snow but it does not reach the ground? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, SnowenOutThere said: What exactly are radar hallucinations. Are they just the radar showing snow but it does not reach the ground? Nope. It's weenies dropping 500mbs of lsd and tripping out because colors and animation and stuff 5 13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, SnowenOutThere said: What exactly are radar hallucinations. Are they just the radar showing snow but it does not reach the ground? or extrapolating radar heading towards you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 If I lived in Houghton right now I'd be pissed. Based on that radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 RGEM is a step back. Went from 26" here to only 22. This hobby sucks 2 15 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: RGEM is a step back. Went from 26" here to only 22. This hobby sucks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: RGEM is a step back. Went from 26" here to only 22. This hobby sucks its not the amount...its the trend we are going and its the wrong direction 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 There is no way in hell I'm seeing 3 feet of snow in Dundalk. I'll take 6-8 inches of snow and smile. Anything else is a bonus. Thanks to you all for breaking down everything as always. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, Ji said: its not the amount...its the trend we are going and its the wrong direction Shake my head. 37 here with mostly sunny skies. Feels warmer without the wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, Ji said: its not the amount...its the trend we are going and its the wrong direction Would you rather go from 26 to 22 or 1 to 2? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 18z NAM is a total front end beat down. 5-8” most places. Little to no snow on the coastal. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: RGEM is a step back. Went from 26" here to only 22. This hobby sucks Two more trends like this and we’re risking 12” while 40 miles away is pure destruction. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Derecho! Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 4 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: or extrapolating radar heading towards you Actually began with tropical weenies imagining hurricanes making un-forecast turns towards them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 26 minutes ago, Ji said: i hate psu That’s all of Baltimore proper my dude. A ton of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dukeblue219 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, Derecho! said: Actually began with tropical weenies imagining hurricanes making un-forecast turns towards them. Wobble-watching on the 1 minute refresh GOES-16 is a whole other level of crazy. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 3 inch thump on the GFS. Not nearly as nice as the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 The certain thing about this storm is we're likely getting 3-5" from the first half of it. There is a lot less confidence in the second half of the storm which will make or break it. This is the part I am pretty nervous about. These coastal tucks are pretty hard to pull off, especially with a Miller B in an amplifying flow. The jet is only going to stay favorably oriented for so long before it arcs too much. If the low escapes to the northeast this will be a fairly large bust. We will be waiting for 12 hrs for a deform band that is just 6 hrs of on and off flurries. I'm not expecting it to be that bad, but I am still leaning conservatively with the second part of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 2 hours ago, Bob Chill said: You know the drill. You know the rules. You know the most probable outcome for your yard. Wx doesn't give AF about your feelings and neither do I Omg... You're alive! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, ers-wxman1 said: 18z NAM is a total front end beat down. 5-8” most places. Little to no snow on the coastal. I kind of liked that NAM run, even before the smarter people chimed in. The WAA part is uncomplicated, and even if the NAM is a little juiced it certainly won’t be out to lunch. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 32 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I'm usually not that into the whole absurd digital snow thing...but in this case I've gotta save this image: A snow map with a 35" bullseye over Baltimore City is hilariously epic!! Hahaha That's legendary right there! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 12 minutes ago, Ji said: you just lost 18 inches but okay You really should stop showing off your inability to read a map 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, clskinsfan said: 3 inch thump on the GFS. Not nearly as nice as the NAM. Whatever you and I are getting on the initial WAA thump is what we're getting from this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 18z Icon...looks like it took a step back on both the front end and the coastal. Real challenge this system has been. Tough to get any model to stay consistent for more than a couple runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 The GFS sucks 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, EastCoast NPZ said: Whatever you and I are getting on the initial WAA thump is what we're getting from this storm. Probably. And most everyone is going to hate this GFS run south of PSU I think. Nasty dryslot after a minimal thump. Northern MD gets crushed though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 GFS has the low farther west pretty close to Ocean City midday Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: 3 inch thump on the GFS. Not nearly as nice as the NAM. Now let's see if that translates to a better CCB, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 18z Icon...looks like it took a step back on both the front end and the coastal. Real challenge this system has been. Tough to get any model to stay consistent for more than a couple runs. That's why you gotta run with the rgem lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Source for this nice radar . Thanks App Store: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/weather-hi-def-radar/id458225159 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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