North Balti Zen Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: You're having wind? I'm not outside so I can't quite see from the window, but...it doesn't seem that windy on my end. The occasional gusts are here now. Blowing snow off of tree limbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Baltimorewx said: uh, isn’t most of the precip gonna be done after 10pm? No. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Been drizzling in Charlottesville despite what the radar shows. Don’t think it’s making things any more slick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imbris Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 1/4" near Downtown Silver Spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Solid SN, this band means business. Accumulating fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Baltimorewx said: uh, isn’t most of the precip gonna be done after 10pm? From the warm air advection, probably. But everyone is still hoping on the coastal to deliver some love and it's still possible, especially up here in the Baltimore area. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, North Balti Zen said: No. Well...do we really know? Thought the WAA was until tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Visibility down to 0.5”mi or so, so legit mod snow. Keep this up for a few more hours and 4-5” will be easy. Took a drive to get my daughter and side roads all covered. Even main roads a little slushy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 10 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Been snowing since 7:30 varying intensity the whole time. Snow! This. loving it! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherShak Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Snow picking up again. Going for second Jebwalk of the day in celebration. Also noticing clouds moving from the east now. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 13 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Again and I’ll die on this hill, we got plenty of suppression. I'm def busting your chops but only because it's going down the bad way. I read a fraction of the analysis posts last week but on Tues I was surprised how different you and I were thinkng when I tuned in to lurk. I kept looking at the setup and thinking congrats pa/nj/nyc and consoling my yard's feelings. I remember looking at a euro run (dont remember what day) and there was literally no snow in the areas I figured the jackpot was headed for. It intrigued me very much but at the same time I was still pretty sure that the crush zone would gravitate to where it always does. Your analysis is always sound and solid like 100% of the time. I just didnt believe for a second that NMD/PA/NJ were going to get fringed. Opposing forces always seem to let up in the short range. I was really hoping we'd get to the short range with CPA still north of the super heavies that pump eastward off the ocean NW of the low center. The second the drift towards that idea started I dropped the idea of 12+ for my yard and set the win bar at 6" (ignoring my mental hard drove of memories). 6" is a solid # for any nina hybrid in DC metro. Especially when the multi year struggle is real. It just another example of how climo is often more powerful than NWP supercomputers 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: From the warm air advection, probably. But everyone is still hoping on the coastal to deliver some love and it's still possible, especially up here in the Baltimore area. Nam doesn't show much...more like the usual Miller B hole and some light snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: This. loving it! I have more than double my total from last winter. Hard to complain when we have sucked for 2 years. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Still crappy rates. Just flurries basically. Haven’t been able to get the rates to pick back up since about 1-130. Hope they get going again soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Time for some sidewalk clearing Gonna leave the cars alone because if we get ice later would rather clear off a crusty 3” snowpack than glare ice or 0.5” glacier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: It just another example of how climo is often more powerful than NWP supercomputers This was probably the lesson I pulled from this...all my apparently obnoxious questions did get me more info to remember for later...Not just NWP, but climo in expectations...makes sense. If it ain't worked before, take any NWP with a huge grain of salt. But had I not asked, wouldn't have known. But maybe I can't ask anymore, I guess... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, losetoa6 said: Deform lookin band Tuesday on the 3k . That's 2 days away ......off and on snow for like 50+ hours. Pretty unique setup Got a pic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Demeter Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 More of this please. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NovaWahoo Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 30 degrees. 2 1/2 inches. driveway and neighbor's driveway clear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Per Ian, we got about 2.5" on the ground here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Radar continues to be so spotty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 4 minutes ago, CAPE said: I have more than double my total from last winter. Hard to complain when we have sucked for 2 years. Yup, 2.5" up here..biggest in 2 years, so I can't complain much. We all want more and it sucks to see Philly-NYC get pounded, but....Miller B. We'll deal with it and be just fine. It's snowing! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Looks like the WAA game is over for me on the shore, snowed from 9 to 330, had some nice heavy snow at times, total accumulation just over 3". Good luck to everyone else! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Radar continues to be so spotty. bring on next weekend's storm! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Visibility down to 0.5”mi or so, so legit mod snow. Keep this up for a few more hours and 4-5” will be easy. Took a drive to get my daughter and side roads all covered. Even main roads a little slushy. Snow growth here in southern Howard County is still quite poor, with small single crystals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 4 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Well...do we really know? Thought the WAA was until tonight? 3 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Nam doesn't show much...more like the usual Miller B hole and some light snow It's time to just look at the radar or the really short term models. The NAM is probably right, but it's not really the most useful tool right now. Whatever the WAA was 'supposed' to do means diddly squat now. The radar shows that it's passing us and we're going to have to get some pretty decent redevelopment on the back end to cash in significantly (at least here in DC, you're definitely in a better spot). Our best chance at a bunch more is with the coastal (for which you're also in a better spot). Most of your posts are looking for details and forecasts that just aren't possible at this point. You're going to have to learn from experience how these things tend to work--which in this case is that these Miller Bs indeed do tend to jump us. Things have not been going our way so far, but this is East Coast winter weather, anything can happen. I remember the second Feb 2010 blizzard came out of absolutely nowhere. If the coastal's precip shield is wider than expected, if the Low stalls farther south and west, etc. etc. Just have to wait and see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, heavy_wx said: Snow growth here in southern Howard County is still quite poor, with small single crystals. has been minimal in frederick as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Raining here... hopefully ending soon so some snow can stay on the ground for looking at while working. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, heavy_wx said: Snow growth here in southern Howard County is still quite poor, with small single crystals. Yup, it’s never been good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 32.9 and light drizzle. Temp down .5 degree in last hour, still calm winds. Snow receding steadily, but still good ground cover. Went for a short drive, generally seems to be a bit more snow north, a bit less south of my location. Roads wet and clear. My street has been 'plowed' 6 times--the snow was off on the first 2 passes. Watched one plow literally plow off the sand/salt dropped by the previous guy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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