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Jan 31st - 33rd Storm Obs and Disco like it's 1979


Bob Chill
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5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Ugh that better band is over me and still just teeny flakes 

Had a mini version of that here. Flakes are taking their time falling I suppose. Best rates/flakes (not impressive but notably different) happened after the band on radar was moving out. 

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Just now, Bob Chill said:

Had a mini version of that here. Flakes are taking their time falling I suppose. Best rates/flakes (not impressive but notably different) happened after the band on radar was moving out. 

Yeah, they just became non-microscopic. When the bigger flakes have happened today, it’s a respectable 0.5”/hr or so. 

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1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Oh yeah? So Baltimore City still in the running for the ccb? Thought the NAM killed that idea, lol

Man, you run yourself ragged with specifics. Look at the time stamp on the delayed band and consider many model runs are still in front of you. That "band" will change locations and intensity every six hours. The only thing you should be worrying about is whether it stays within 50-75 miles of you or turtle heads back up to PA where the most probable climo location is. 

I understand your need for specifics. I really do. But we're like years away from NWP to be able to pinpoint this kind of stuff that far out in time. If it's still in existence with a reasonable proxity in 24-36 hours, then you can sweat all over the 30 pixels on the map that matter to you. 

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Been a fun day - neighborhood kids sledding and parents enjoying beverages - and I’ve barely measured since mid-morning. My daughter’s math lesson can wait. :lol:

Would love a little something to top things off tomorrow, but if it doesn’t happen I’ll just set my sights on next weekend’s MECS. :yikes:

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I'm enjoying the snow day, but don't like hearing rain/sleet outside my window while it's showing blue on radar.  I did take the new Australian Shepherd pup out for a Jebwalk in the snow and he is loving it.  It seems like we have been stuck at around 2" for the past several hours. The roads are cleared pretty well in my neighborhood, so it is definitely less than expected.  I agree with Bob Chill about the Miller B PTSD.  I really hoped models were onto something, but I 'm not holding my breath for part 2 of the storm in my neck of the woods (Fairfax).  But I am optimistic for the rest of February.  

 

Ringo snow.jpg

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1 minute ago, Bob Chill said:

Man, you run yourself ragged with specifics. Look at the time stamp on the delayed band and consider many model runs are still in front of you. That "band" will change locations and intensity every six hours. The only thing you should be worrying about is whether it stays within 50-75 miles of you or turtle heads back up to PA where the most probable climo location is. 

I understand your need for specifics. I really do. But we're like years away from NWP to be able to pinpoint this kind of stuff that far out in time. If it's still in existence with a reasonable proxity in 24-36 hours, then you can sweat all over the 30 pixels on the map that matter to you. 

Wha? I just wanna know what to expect/not expect, that's all...not sure why you're condescending. Now, what I didn't know was what you said about the proximity--50-70 miles of here...so it can go anywhere in that zone? I gotcha...so that's the possibility. See I wasn't sure how far or how close ya had to be to it (because I'm still learning)

I had assumed since the NAM was showing what it did, that getting more than an inch or two from the coastal was kinda off the table, so what the globals showed was a tad surprising. But if the possibility is still there, great. All the more reason 6-10" was a good call, lol

 

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Just now, Maestrobjwa said:

Wha? I just wanna know what to expect/not expect, that's all...not sure why you're condescending. Now, what I didn't know was what you said about the proximity--50-70 miles of here...so it can go anywhere in that zone? I gotcha...so that's the possibility. See I wasn't sure how far or how close ya had to be to it (because I'm still learning)

I had assumed since the NAM was showing what it did, that getting more than an inch or two from the coastal was kinda off the table, so what the globals showed was a tad surprising. But if the possibility is still there, great. All the more reason 6-10" was a good call, lol

 

He's telling you to stop having expectations in this set-up and stop trying to know exactly what's gonna happen. Seriously. Stop. Just enjoy what is falling now and see if we can catch some of the bands over the next 48 hours. We have a chance at that. No guarantees. 

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