birdsofprey02 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Hard to read the room, but I guess it depends on where your back yard is and where you set the bar. What does the timing look like on energy transfer? Overnight tonight? Are there any indications of good bad or ugly so far with obs ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, North Balti Zen said: 9:30 am ---- .5" 11:41 am ---- 1.1" really beautiful out. Just got back from a walk. The pup was in heaven. Looks like a snowstorm now. Beautiful out there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Gettin' snowier also 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 3 minutes ago, frd said: Just starting here. Very little at the moment. Northern Delaware should start filling in shortly. I havent been looking at models much so far yoday but that westward shift of the mix line down by RIC tells me easterly fetch is strenghtening with the coast. Experience tells me that this should fill in the dryslot and/or expand the shield westward over the next hour or so 12 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 nam/gfs/cmc all show better lift moving in around 2-3pm. it can be seen on the 850 fgen maps. hopefully that translates to better rates. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 I’m still holding out for some major backfilling on this overrunning as the low organizes off the coast. And then we’ll still get a shot at the CCB. Let’s just see what happens and enjoy the day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Bob Chill said: I havent been looking at models much so far yoday but that westward shift of the mix line down by RIC tells me easterly fetch is strenghtening with the coast. Experience tells me that this should fill in the dryslot and/or expand the shield westward over the next hour or so Pivot!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Don’t say that...if the coastal craps out it’s not so bad for south of me. They get 4-8” from the WAA but almost all my snow has to be from the corral. I’m getting fringed by the WAA Anyone trying to bank much on the coastal south of I-70 was definitely in prayer mode. The RGEM runs were fun in a cosmic way and it was great to joke around for a time, but unless other guidance started showing something similar, I just remained skeptical and cautionary, waiting to see if it kept it up and others joined in. I thought the NAMs, the NSSL, the HRRR this morning, the ARW, the NMM, and the HREF would start to come around to the globals but they have shown the exact opposite. It would be a brutal beat for the local NWS offices, and that’s my main reason I feel down. If you haven’t worked in a NWS office, you don’t realize the amount of trust you lose busting a forecast like this and you get berated from all different directions and have to re-earn trust again. It would suck and I would feel for my colleagues. People are stupid and suck and don’t understand weather and it makes the matter worse. I’m also still recovering from a back injury. I’m much better than a week ago, but I’m not 100%. I am irritated of how this year started and I have other personal stuff with family I’m not gonna talk about. It’s a tough time for me and seeing my friends here get pasted would make me happy. Hopefully everyone enjoys the snow today. I know I’d be out driving around in it, having an absolute blast. It’s such a joy for me and I miss it and I miss home. . 6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 3 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: Sheesh the rain/snow line is creeping up pretty fast. Huh? It’s down south of Richmond lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 @Lowershoresadness is still reporting snow so that’s good news as winds increase from the East. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Might be time for another walk 15 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Also I’m telling y’all. These Miller B’s are just way too complicated for the models to handle to the last detail. This is going to be a LONG storm with MANY surprises. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, MillvilleWx said: Anyone trying to bank much on the coastal south of I-70 was definitely in prayer mode. The RGEM runs were fun in a cosmic way and it was great to joke around for a time, but unless other guidance started showing something similar, I just remained skeptical and cautionary, waiting to see if it kept it up and others joined in. I thought the NAMs, the NSSL, the HRRR this morning, the ARW, the NMM, and the HREF would start to come around to the globals but they have shown the exact opposite. It would be a brutal beat for the local NWS offices, and that’s my main reason I feel down. If you haven’t worked in a NWS office, you don’t realize the amount of trust you lose busting a forecast like this and you get berated from all different directions and have to re-earn trust again. It would suck and I would feel for my colleagues. People are stupid and suck and don’t understand weather and it makes the matter worse. I’m also still recovering from a back injury. I’m much better than a week ago, but I’m not 100%. I am irritated of how this year started and I have other personal stuff with family I’m not gonna talk about. It’s a tough time for me and seeing my friends here get pasted would make me happy. Hopefully everyone enjoys the snow today. I know I’d be out driving around in it, having an absolute blast. It’s such a joy for me and I miss it and I miss home. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, MillvilleWx said: Anyone trying to bank much on the coastal south of I-70 was definitely in prayer mode. The RGEM runs were fun in a cosmic way and it was great to joke around for a time, but unless other guidance started showing something similar, I just remained skeptical and cautionary, waiting to see if it kept it up and others joined in. I thought the NAMs, the NSSL, the HRRR this morning, the ARW, the NMM, and the HREF would start to come around to the globals but they have shown the exact opposite. It would be a brutal beat for the local NWS offices, and that’s my main reason I feel down. If you haven’t worked in a NWS office, you don’t realize the amount of trust you lose busting a forecast like this and you get berated from all different directions and have to re-earn trust again. It would suck and I would feel for my colleagues. People are stupid and suck and don’t understand weather and it makes the matter worse. I’m also still recovering from a back injury. I’m much better than a week ago, but I’m not 100%. I am irritated of how this year started and I have other personal stuff with family I’m not gonna talk about. It’s a tough time for me and seeing my friends here get pasted would make me happy. Hopefully everyone enjoys the snow today. I know I’d be out driving around in it, having an absolute blast. It’s such a joy for me and I miss it and I miss home. . Hang in there bud. I think we’re in for some surprises. This has just gotten started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Suddenly the sky just opened up and I've got the best rates of the day. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 A little over 1.5” here with .75mi visibility Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 CMC mutilates Eastern PA. Geez. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, frd said: If things really do go this way, will be the 1 out of 20 that a Miller B does not screw us. Has support, so I am moving the snow blower to the front of the garage. Wait. 12z Euro is gonna be HUGE. If it stays the course or improves, I would move it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Very pretty out. 30. Pixie dust falling 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, clskinsfan said: CMC mutilates Eastern PA. Geez. how many inches in allentown/reading area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, CAPE said: Wait. 12z Euro is gonna be HUGE. If it stays the course or improves, I would move it. Ok, I will wait a bit. It has been rather insistent, so I am hopeful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 5 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Anyone trying to bank much on the coastal south of I-70 was definitely in prayer mode. The RGEM runs were fun in a cosmic way and it was great to joke around for a time, but unless other guidance started showing something similar, I just remained skeptical and cautionary, waiting to see if it kept it up and others joined in. I thought the NAMs, the NSSL, the HRRR this morning, the ARW, the NMM, and the HREF would start to come around to the globals but they have shown the exact opposite. It would be a brutal beat for the local NWS offices, and that’s my main reason I feel down. If you haven’t worked in a NWS office, you don’t realize the amount of trust you lose busting a forecast like this and you get berated from all different directions and have to re-earn trust again. It would suck and I would feel for my colleagues. People are stupid and suck and don’t understand weather and it makes the matter worse. I’m also still recovering from a back injury. I’m much better than a week ago, but I’m not 100%. I am irritated of how this year started and I have other personal stuff with family I’m not gonna talk about. It’s a tough time for me and seeing my friends here get pasted would make me happy. Hopefully everyone enjoys the snow today. I know I’d be out driving around in it, having an absolute blast. It’s such a joy for me and I miss it and I miss home. . Take care, please. All that stuff is more important then snow. PS: as long as it snows! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILIKERAKE Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Imgoinhungry said: how many inches in allentown/reading area? Alot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Suddenly the sky just opened up and I've got the best rates of the day. That has been the expectation with this as we head into the afternoon. After an hour of pixie dust here, back to some decent rates now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 6 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Might be time for another walk Cute girfriend dude! 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Visibility definitely dropping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Bob Chill said: Cute girfriend dude! You should see her at dinner time 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 It’s chips fall in place time. Nice moderate snow now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, leesburg 04 said: You should see her at dinner time WOOF! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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