aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, Always in Zugzwang said: Yeah, was just looking a that. Whatever it's worth, it shows ~2" in DC, with maybe 2-4" just north of there (MoCo/HoCo, etc.), and more heading toward the M/D line. This is a 24-h amount from 00Z tonight through 00Z tomorrow night. Acceptable in my eyes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, WxUSAF said: Not sure what you’re aiming for, but I definitely don’t hate it. Nice snow for DC and north tomorrow afternoon. I was just looking at the next 18 hours and it has the dry slot. Does look nice for tomorrow still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Can tell the column has moistened up and we’re getting better lift now, because even when rates let up a bit, we’re not going back to really tiny flakes. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 We've gotten lucky out here on this one so far. Moisture training us all morning. Over 7" so far. Looks like it cuts off quickly just south of here, hope it keeps coming during the day. Nice surprise so far. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Banding starting to form across northern MD. I know a lot of people are disappointed so far with rates, but some of the models showed this gradual increase in rates yesterday. yeah, models didn't have the goods up here until after noon. no disappointment here 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 hour ago, gopper said: Not sure about main roads, but side roads are instant coverage. Coming down pretty good now, so I would think some main roads are covered, but they usually do a good job keeping 83 pretty clear. Drive safe! Hershey open now? Rides and everything? Did Hershey lodge and chocolate world for my daughters birthday. Not too busy. Roads in PA were not great, MD highways are good. Nice snow falling here in Lutherville with a temp of 27 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Up 860ft at Observatory Hill. -SN and gorgeous. Might stay here all day. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 GFS looks nice for this evening. 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 6 minutes ago, high risk said: I was very pleased with the GFS too, but the GFS para has the same general shape of the QPF field but cuts down the amounts between DC and the MD/PA by at least 1/2. Actually they look very similar to me now that I look closely? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Both drop a solid 0.5” or more of liquid as snow before any mix this evening, so that’s nice to see. Difference is in amounts tomorrow. Guess we’ll see what the King decrees later. Yeah, I didn't explain myself well, but I was referring to tomorrow - big differences in rates for Howard County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Reading the room here it sounds like we still have hope. Awesome. I turned off the models and computer and I’m going build a snowman with my kiddo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, nw baltimore wx said: Banding starting to form across northern MD. I know a lot of people are disappointed so far with rates, but some of the models showed this gradual increase in rates yesterday. Rgem was really the only model that showed a giant wall of snow (going from cloudy skies to 1” per hour rates within minutes) Most other models showed 3-6” from the WAA occurring over a 12+ hour period w/ the most snowfall falling in the higher elevations of SWVA.... this is pretty much in line with what’s happening on the ground. Problem is people call it a “WAA thump” and expect heavy snow. It was never going to be a thump. Our biggest task today will be checking out the pressure fall maps off the east coast to can get an idea of where this transfer will begin to happen. Literally 50 miles south of the GFS and we are in a much different ball game for part 2 area wide. 12z GFS actually, to me, leaves the door open for improvement by tomorrow. We are so close to a 12+ snowstorm area wide with that look, it just all comes together a hair too late 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Need rates. 31/27 Not just a hobby for me. I'm a landscaper so this effects snow removal for me. Snow started around 7:30. Quickly stuck to everything. Had a little dry spell around 9:30. Roads and even side roads clear now and rates having a hard time overcoming. Snow will not accumulate on roads with a temp of 31 and light/moderate rates. Would be a big bust for snow removal companies in AA county if this continues. All guidance has the heavies coming in later this afternoon. So i'm still cautiously optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, WxUSAF said: Actually they look very similar to me now that I look closely? I'm looking at the 24h QPF totals between 12z Monday and 12z Tuesday. GFS para looks considerably drier to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Could this band of snow like not weaken right before the heaviest part gets here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingJWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Light snow now, looks like I beat the December storm total at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, high risk said: I'm looking at the 24h QPF totals between 12z Monday and 12z Tuesday. GFS para looks considerably drier to me. Huh, yeah I see that now, but total precip through Wednesday morning is very similar. Haven’t looked close enough yet to see where para makes it back up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, JakkelWx said: That counts what we are getting now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, leesburg 04 said: That counts what we are getting now? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 14 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: The gfs gives me another .75 of QPF. I will take that in a heartbeat. It is lightyears better than what the meso's are showing. Am I the only one in awe of the disparity there? GFS insists we I-81 folks get 8-14 inches, and the NAM’s are a fraction of that. I’d like to think the GFS has a better idea as it hasn’t budged in a number of runs now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 18 minutes ago, CAPE said: 12z GFS looks pretty damn good. Yes it does look pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 7am - 1.0” 9am - 2.0” 11am - 2.4” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
megals12 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 inches in Merrifield, VA with light snow. Trying to remain thankful for the beauty and being able to watch the daytime snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Round Hill WX Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Deck Pic said: 27/25, SN, 3.4" Deck Pic! You're in a good spot...that band has set up nicely over you and is model to sit for awhile. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Huh, yeah I see that now, but total precip through Wednesday morning is very similar. Haven’t looked close enough yet to see where para makes it back up. It's heavier during the 00-03z or so window this evening - could be a sneaky period of moderate snow (or sleet, per the NAM nest) here before a change to light sleet or rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Martinsburg looks to be in a good spot currently. I'm just missing out on that band in my back yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 GFS is actually painful to look at when Philly and NYC are actually buried. That was supposed to be us. 2+ feet. We gotta catch a break at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 hour ago, MillvilleWx said: Might be logging off for the rest of the event. I have a ton of friends who work at Mount Holly and CTP. If the NAM's and the latest Hi Res are right, they are going to get absolutely hammered by the public. It would be a terrible time to score a coup for the NAM. If my map busts, oh well. If theirs does, they take a beating. What a massive kick in the groin if this model suite is right. Don’t say that...if the coastal craps out it’s not so bad for south of me. They get 4-8” from the WAA but almost all my snow has to be from the corral. I’m getting fringed by the WAA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 These rates stink so far. I can’t even get solid road coverage 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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