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Jan 31st - 33rd Storm Obs and Disco like it's 1979


Bob Chill
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water vapor shows that slither of drier air pretty well, but it's been slowly filling in. that might coincide with better radar returns as we get through midday. nothing really surprising about this storm so far. it was always a bit north for central md, but it's also reasonable to think the ccb could nudge further southwest.  there's certainly time for that if the coastal forms further south or deepens quicker than expected.

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Just now, MDweatherman said:

Hey there! God I hope so! My dreams of a good snowblower snow seem less and less every minute here.

its early. it was always going to be midday or so before we go into good returns up here. plus we get in on the action tomorrow with the coastal. i am sure youll put the snowblower to use :) 

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2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Not sure what you’re aiming for, but I definitely don’t hate it. Nice snow for DC and north tomorrow afternoon.

      I was very pleased with the GFS too, but the GFS para has the same general shape of the QPF field but cuts down the amounts between DC and the MD/PA by at least 1/2.

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Just now, CAPE said:

1612364400-NVRvZLZYjiU.png

GFS jumped on board the Euro and Icon train for you and @JakkelWx with the parting shot on Tuesday. Hope that works out for you all. 
 

Non-NAM 12z guidance all seems to suggest a non-bust, if perhaps lower end of forecast ranges for most in the metro corridor. 

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Just came back after about 1.5 hours with my 2 year old. No matter what we get that made it worth it, he loved it. First real snow.

Regarding the dry spot on the radar, we're in it in Gainesville and still have flakes coming down, but lighter than before. Measured about 2.5 so far.

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2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Not sure what you’re aiming for, but I definitely don’t hate it. Nice snow for DC and north tomorrow afternoon.

Yeah, was just looking a that.  Whatever it's worth, it shows ~2" in DC, with maybe 2-4" just north of there (MoCo/HoCo, etc.), and more heading toward the M/D line.  This is a 24-h amount from 00Z tonight through 00Z tomorrow night.

snku_024h.us_ma.png

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56 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:


Can’t believe you are complaining with two feet on the ground. Some people /s

THIS! He thinks he has it bad with 2 feet. I'm right by Dulles and somehow only have 2.4" as of 10am w/ flurries. Perhaps extreme substance right by the epic snow-band? :P

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2 minutes ago, high risk said:

      I was very pleased with the GFS too, but the GFS para has the same general shape of the QPF field but cuts down the amounts between DC and the MD/PA by at least 1/2.

Both drop a solid 0.5” or more of liquid as snow before any mix this evening, so that’s nice to see. Difference is in amounts tomorrow. Guess we’ll see what the King decrees later.

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