Miss Pixee Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Snowing more lightly, a mix of large/small flakes. Temp at 32. About 1/1/2 inches. Everything covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Snowing... decently I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 I doubted this thing all week but finally bought in yesterday and believed we were getting 6 inches plus. The joke's on me. I forgot to use the Mid-Atlantic Miller Bust Formula -- take your predicted range, and divide the lower number by half. For example predicted 6-10 you're getting 3. Now I will not believe in any system no matter what the models show. Bring on spring. About 1.5" and barely snowing, sky brightening. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfpackwxDC Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 31/29 and 2 inches of snow in western Arlington. County truck came by, plow up and dropped salt to give us a clear strip in the middle. I'm starting to think we might not make it to 4 inches... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Flake size and intensity has increased. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Round Hill WX Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 9 minutes ago, wxinVA said: About pig jowel deep and lightly snowing here. Don't tell him I ate his tasty cousin this morning. 28/28 and 2.75" in Round Hill. A great Sunday morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, BlizzardNole said: I doubted this thing all week but finally bought in yesterday and believed we were getting 6 inches plus. The joke's on me. I forgot to use the Mid-Atlantic Miller Bust Formula -- take your predicted range, and divide the lower number by half. For example predicted 6-10 you're getting 3. Now I will not believe in any system no matter what the models show. Bring on spring. About 1.5" and barely snowing, sky brightening. We're pretty close to living in the same place. I'm thinking, seriously, that we get more snow from our December snow than we get with this one. 3.5" is the target. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 That dry slot is coming in awfully fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Fat flakes real nice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Flake size picking up. Family says 2” on Arlington, still somewhere around 5” in CHO.Hiking the UVA back woods. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Don’t worry guys - all we need is the coastal to pop way further south than progged, bomb out, and for all models to be wrong. What could possibly go wrong? For Baltimore metro and points NNE, I haven’t quite lost all hope on the coastal yet. Won’t take much to get solid banding into NE sections of the CWA. But man... it’s looking bleak for DC, most of Maryland, and VA for anything too substantial from part 2. unreal. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSharp Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Still waiting for my first flakes here north of the DE state line in PA. That dryslot is concerning for DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Peanuts Xmas Special snow rates. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, jayyy said: Don’t worry guys - all we need is the coastal to pop way further south than progged, bomb out, and for all models to be wrong. What could possibly go wrong? Exactly! Wasn't the formula for this that the less we got from Part 1, the better our chances for a big Part 2? Right? Anyone? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just under 2” on the ground with 0.50 mile visibility. Up to 29 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
haudidoody Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Still just flurries here in Fairfax and under 2 inches... off to Costco and Wegmans to do some shopping. Hope I can make it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, osfan24 said: Exactly! Wasn't the formula for this that the less we got from Part 1, the better our chances for a big Part 2? Right? Anyone? Trying to convince myself the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ka60 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Clarksburg, 10:00 AM 2.3" SNOW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, jayyy said: Don’t worry guys - all we need is the coastal to pop way further south than progged, bomb out, and for all models to be wrong. What could possibly go wrong? If you really think about it and be honest with yourself, this event has evolved (or devolved) in a very typical and common fashion. I for one am the opposite of surprised. Once guidance centered the jack up in NJ/PA it fit the mold perfectly. This is an overplayed re-run and exaclty why I was "hoping" I would at least crack 6" if things take a turn. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 ICON a bit further E and gets me under a CCB as the low is slowly departing like a snail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 RGEM has the area of backside snow roughly in line with the euro for Tuesday. It’ll be awesome if that happens for whoever gets under it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 It's just a snowy day how much.. who cares anymore...it's snow! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, osfan24 said: Exactly! Wasn't the formula for this that the less we got from Part 1, the better our chances for a big Part 2? Right? Anyone? I’m sure someone with more knowledge can easily explain how both parts can end up screwing us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PCT_ATC Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 whats up with that HUGE dry slot to the south west? Its a little early for that to be happening already? Is the transfer to the coastal happening a little earlier than forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, Herb@MAWS said: Peanuts Xmas Special snow rates. If anything the novelty of it all justifies the fail. I didn't want to live through another Jan 2016. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 6 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: That dry slot is coming in awfully fast i highly suggest you stop fretting about radar and models and enjoy whats falling. so much better that way. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Bob Chill said: If you really think about it and be honest with yourself, this event has evolved (or devolved) in a very typical and common fashion. I for one am the opposite of surprised. Once guidance centered the jack up in NJ/PA it fit the mold perfectly. This is an overplayed re-run and exaclty why I was "hoping" I would at least crack 6" if things take a turn. I don't think the RGEM is a "terrible" model - but when it was the only one showing the banding arcing all the way back for the DC-Balt corridor I knew it was probably going to cave. That's when I tempered my expectations and buckled in for the WAA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 If the 3K NAM is right we’re gonna be hurting tomorrow. Just a disastrous run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, jayyy said: I’m sure someone with more knowledge can easily explain how both parts can end up screwing us I just don't get how the coastal low is going to develop so far south and we totally whiff. It's in a good spot for us to get crushed and similar to previous storms that crushed us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Kmlwx said: I don't think the RGEM is a "terrible" model - but when it was the only one showing the banding arcing all the way back for the DC-Balt corridor I knew it was probably going to cave. That's when I tempered my expectations and buckled in for the WAA. Mechanics of a NS transfer are often hostile here for climo reasons and it's hard to beat that. The handoff kills the waa and if the handoff/re-development pushes the max north of us it's something my yard rarely recovers from. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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