WestCentrlVA Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Well woke up to 6 inches on the ground and still snowing. Starting to mix with sleet at 29 degrees yikes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 The NAM's still want absolutely nothing to do with the coastal for the area up through Mon 21z. Nam Nest is a massive FU to SE PA too and all the fun is north of the turnpike. The 12km NAM is ramping up the CCB to the north, but it'll be way too late for here unless we see a Euro-like vort piece rotate down later in the run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 13 minutes ago, CAPE said: Snowing here now. If the mesos are correct, our best stuff is coming a bit later on. Yeah early afternoon is advertised to be the heaviest rates 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopper Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Dabuckeyes said: Are roads covering there? Driving back from Hershey and snow is just starting here. 83 can get sloppy fast Not sure about main roads, but side roads are instant coverage. Coming down pretty good now, so I would think some main roads are covered, but they usually do a good job keeping 83 pretty clear. Drive safe! Hershey open now? Rides and everything? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Sorry ya’ll, can’t delete my accidental triple post on mobile. 4.25” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Chuck Bell on NBC 4 just said he sees the dry slot in West Virginia, and he is "worried" that is heading to DC area and "will cut down on snow totals" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Light snow .75” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1.2” 30/27 light snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeff B Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Nice gentle snow falling. Came on quickly about 30 minutes ago. Roads instant white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ka60 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 6 minutes ago, BlizzardNole said: Ha! I should have set my bar at 6 cm instead of 6 inches. It's starting to look like that split where south of us does better with the thump and the coastal misses us north. I'd be surprised to see more than 3" total now. In Clarksburg we have over 1.5" already approaching 2"! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, MillvilleWx said: The NAM's still want absolutely nothing to do with the coastal for the area up through Mon 21z. Nam Nest is a massive FU to SE PA too and all the fun is north of the turnpike. The 12km NAM is ramping up the CCB to the north, but it'll be way too late for here unless we see a Euro-like vort piece rotate down later in the run. Even the RGEM/HRDPS are decently NE of the area basing off the earlier runs. I'm sure we'll get light stuff Monday but I think this is the main show for a lot of us (the today stuff). It's gorgeous out there so I'm certainly not complaining. Looking over at the long term thread it seems we may not be done either. Pretty Sunday! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: Even the RGEM/HRDPS are decently NE of the area basing off the earlier runs. I'm sure we'll get light stuff Monday but I think this is the main show for a lot of us (the today stuff). It's gorgeous out there so I'm certainly not complaining. Looking over at the long term thread it seems we may not be done either. Pretty Sunday! Yup. Take what you can get and hope. I'm glad y'all are enjoying some snow today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Getting larger, more aggregated snow now corresponding to higher reflectivity (>20 dBZ) and ZDR closer to 0 dB. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 15 minutes ago, WVclimo said: 12Z NAM 12k with a QPF max from Cumberland to Martinsburg through hour 18. 0.75”+ liquid equivalent. 3k NAM agrees with this same snowfall axis. Has areas of western Allegany County Md nearing 18” on the ground by tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 5 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: The NAM's still want absolutely nothing to do with the coastal for the area up through Mon 21z. Nam Nest is a massive FU to SE PA too and all the fun is north of the turnpike. The 12km NAM is ramping up the CCB to the north, but it'll be way too late for here unless we see a Euro-like vort piece rotate down later in the run. Interesting location ( bottom image ) , not sure about that, but we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, SnowtoRain said: Yeah early afternoon is advertised to be the heaviest rates I suspect it will becoming down hardest as the warmer air aloft is approaching later, then the sleet mixes in. I hope we get dry slotted with just some drizzle when the warmer air comes in at the surface as the coastal is getting going. If we are to get some decent snow on the backside it would be nice if some of what falls today can survive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, MillvilleWx said: The NAM's still want absolutely nothing to do with the coastal for the area up through Mon 21z. Nam Nest is a massive FU to SE PA too and all the fun is north of the turnpike. The 12km NAM is ramping up the CCB to the north, but it'll be way too late for here unless we see a Euro-like vort piece rotate down later in the run. As much as we try to discredit the nam I got to give it some credit. I believe it was the first to show the CCB developing to far north and now most other models show that to some extent. It was also the first to show the north movement of the storm back in December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, frd said: Interesting location , not sure about that, but we will see. If that ends up being the location of the 7H low, I wouldn't even bother with tomorrow. That's way too north for everyone here. Flakes will fly, but wouldn't amount to anything. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ovechkin Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 I’m sorry. This is simply really wimpy. Even under the darker blues its hust heavier pixie dust flakes. WAA is usually much more impressive. Considering what this was showing 24 hours ago and will do to PHL to NYC... one big meh. guess I’m the Debbie downer for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Neighborhood fox out for a stroll in the snow 12 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TL97 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 4 minutes ago, real said: Chuck Bell on NBC 4 just said he sees the dry slot in West Virginia, and he is "worried" that is heading to DC area and "will cut down on snow totals" Seems to me most of the short term models say the moment starts coming north and so we avoid the WV dryslot. Anyway, 1.5" here and think 4" is a good target for DC area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, ovechkin said: I’m sorry. This is simply really wimpy. Even under the darker blues its hust heavier pixie dust flakes. WAA is usually much more impressive. Considering what this was showing 24 hours ago and will do to PHL to NYC... one big meh. guess I’m the Debbie downer for the day. You must have a microclimate. It's been pretty good so far here in Colesville. You've been pretty down on this event the entire time it seems...not just today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, MillvilleWx said: If that ends up being the location of the 7H low, I wouldn't even bother with tomorrow. That's way too north for everyone here. Flakes will fly, but wouldn't amount to anything. I will toss it Getting ready for the snow to arrive here shortly . Cloud deck lowering Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Time for a Jeb walk on my back 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Last 4 runs the NAM has trying to catch up. By tomorrow it might have it 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Ravens94 said: Last 4 runs the NAM has trying to figure it out but its just terrible at at. The problem is that the exact surface low location doesn’t matter too much for us. The target is still Long Island/NYC/Northern NJ. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Should we be concerned about this slot of dry air approaching from the west and moving into our area, or will it fill in before it gets closer to us. Also I think Richmond might have more snow than us. Either way in Western Fairfax all roads are snowy and around 1.5-2 inches of snow has fallen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Negnao Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 A few flakes sporadically falling in Potomac. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 0.7” for the first snowboard measurement. Snow falling for about 1hr 45mins. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miss Pixee Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, Ravens94 said: Last 4 runs the NAM has trying to catch up. By tomorrow it might have it Like two titans cracking heads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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