Deck Pic Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, Deck Pic said: Congrats Baltimore. Hang that nose a little lower, like some good old cave stalactite! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: SOLD I'm not even looking at the panels. Lol. Saw matt's post and the replay button was pressed in my memory banks. 6-8" storm works just fine. I'd like the purple dingleberry on the snowmap matt posted to oooze down our way but good enough as is 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 I said this earlier but this reminds me of PDII but not quite as juiced and slightly north. We were insanely cold during the overrunning and got SLAMMED. Then we went up past 32 with sleet and a little rain even right near the end as the deform pulled north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, caviman2201 said: Deform is better than 18Z for sure... that L just hangs around forever With 1/6" per hr rates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 11 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: FWIW. Probably not a lot. Looks a lot like the NAM/HRRR, though. Epic DC screw job. Probably verifies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Doesn't this seem like an incredibly weak precip depiction for a sub-990 L? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 6-10 through the subforum. Book it and enjoy it. I am done with the Euro for 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Amped said: With 1/6" per hr rates Always the glass half full kinda guy, are ya. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Really our best 6hr total in this storm is like 2". It's a pixie dust marathon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, caviman2201 said: Doesn't this seem like an incredibly weak precip depiction for a sub-990 L? That is Wednesday morning/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kleimax Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, caviman2201 said: Doesn't this seem like an incredibly weak precip depiction for a sub-990 L? More of a location thing but yet I think there could be some 30" lollis in PA/NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, clskinsfan said: That is Wednesday morning/ Tuesday night 7pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, caviman2201 said: Doesn't this seem like an incredibly weak precip depiction for a sub-990 L? Storm blew its load and occluded by that panel. All the good stuff happens during the deepening phase. By hr 72 it's a tired old man ready for bed. Kinda like me right now 2 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSG Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Ripping fatties in Charlottesville. It took a while to saturate the low levels but this first band is legit 30/21 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 A lot of guidance is trending towards pinwheeling the low around on Tuesday and swinging snow back through the area north of DC. Have to see if that is real...and if we can get it to happen maybe a bit further south. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: A lot of guidance is trending towards pinwheeling the low around on Tuesday and swinging snow back through the area north of DC. Have to see if that is real...and if we can get it to happen maybe a bit further south. Yeah this trend is real. And some of the crappier short terms have us in the deforms already. I'll take 4-8" with the opportunity for upside any day here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: A lot of guidance is trending towards pinwheeling the low around on Tuesday and swinging snow back through the area north of DC. Have to see if that is real...and if we can get it to happen maybe a bit further south. Yeah in Baltimore the best 6 hr period is 18z tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Looks like white rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 "Storm blew its load and occluded by that panel. All the good stuff happens during the deepening phase. By hr 72 it's a tired old man ready for bed." This is signature material... Weather related comment though is it seems like the difference betweeen 4-6 and something more is whether that retrograde is real... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 11 minutes ago, SnowDreamer said: Epic DC screw job. Probably verifies That would probably be a "I'm taking a Bob Chill break from this hobby" result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 3 minutes ago, Amped said: Yeah in Baltimore the best 6 hr period is 18z tuesday yea that stall and wrapping banding across northern MD for days is great and all...and sometimes it doesn't take much QPF to rack up totals in those bands...fluff...but its risky relying on that...some of that is still 60 hours away and if you take out that last band that wraps through MD really doesn't get a whole lot from the coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 28/18....I think I'm on the cusp of some flurries/pixie dust to start things off. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: yea that stall and wrapping banding across northern MD for days is great and all...and sometimes it doesn't take much QPF to rack up totals in those bands...fluff...but its risky relying on that...some of that is still 60 hours away and if you take out that last band that wraps through MD really doesn't get a whole lot from the coastal. so... assuming its right, what happened? what took us from elated to feeling robbed in 12h? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: 28/18....I think I'm on the cusp of some flurries/pixie dust to start things off. We are really close. I dont know if I am gonna make it though. Need to sleep. But I want to stay up for first flakes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 To any cliff jumpers up there, it's not over yet. I'm rooting for y'all to get deformed (not really, I hate you all and want to move back to NoVa but houses are too damn expensive and I can make the same money in Richmond for a lot cheaper, but I'm contemplating taking a pay cut to have better snow chances.). 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Coming down good under the yellows. Hoping to get to an 1" before the first band cuts off. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, NovaTarHeel said: To any cliff jumpers up there, it's not over yet. I'm rooting for y'all to get deformed (not really, I hate you all and want to move back to NoVa but houses are too damn expensive and I can make the same money in Richmond for a lot cheaper, but I'm contemplating taking a pay cut to have better snow chances.). You, sir, get my vote for realest post of the evening, narrowly edging out Bob with the "blown load" comment a few minutes ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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