psuhoffman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Rgem still looks better then the nams at 24 hrs. Can already tell it isn’t blasting that dry slot as far north. Too soon on the ccb yet. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEblizzard88 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 49 minutes ago, finatic jason said: Former NE Baltimore City(35 years born and raised).....relocated to FL a few years ago. Still enjoy following and watching. 58 here lol. In-laws were supposed to leave tomorrow to drive down from Kingsville but delaying their trip until after the storm. Rooting for Y’all to catch a good one.I’ll be following Obs from the boat tomorrow I’m in Kingsville as well - born and raised. Hoping this will be a good one!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: When 7” of snow in 24 hours is a disaster or a Miller B screw job, I need to retire from the playing field. I have never complained about the waa. Because that is most likely our storm. I want it as juiced as possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Temp and dp rising slow but steady. Up to 28/20dp from 26/14 a couple hours ago. RH up to 71%. Radar rapidly filling in just SW of Roanoke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 Not sure about the extreme dryslot and significantly north trend on the NAMs but they aren't budging with the general idea and it's similar to a number of past events. I certainly dont want it to happen but if it is, get it out of the way tonight and let every model do it. The consolation prize would be some extra juice on the front. Not mad at that at all. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: When 7” of snow in 24 hours is a disaster or a Miller B screw job, I need to retire from the playing field. Agreed. Will take what the NAM is showing any day. 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NovaWahoo Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 29/19. Temp is ticking up a bit, but so is the dewpoint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hank Scorpio Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 hour ago, caviman2201 said: Microclimates are always interesting. I remember when I was commuting attending UMBC but living at home with my folks in Mt. Airy. I'd leave school and it would be raining and 36 and as I drove out Rt. 70 it would get progressively more wintery as I drove. I always loved that. Nothing comes close to the microclimates in San Fran though. Even within Eastern Loudoun, there are little micro climates. Very consistently, going from 400ft on belmont Ridge to the airport at 300ft, there's a difference. Not so much noticeable right after the snow stops, but definitely noticeable after a few days once the snow starts to melt. Very common for snow to hang on in the shadows at 400ft while it's about gone at 300ft, 5 miles away, a week after the storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Welp, 00z RGEM went north with its CCB and its not nearly as deep as 18z/12z 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhatStorm Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 28/14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 A little later change over but.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 RGEM is NE with the CCB but still wraps good snows down through dc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Ehh rgem isn’t the NAM but it shifted the ccb northeast quite a bit. Still decent DC northeast but not close to the last few and the trend is troubling. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Not bad at all vastly different then NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 21 minutes ago, stormtracker said: You're gonna hate the RGEM in about half hour 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 Don't know about you guys but I need reasons for suppression worry to come back STAT 3 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 No precip panels yet. But the thump looks decent on the RGEM as well. And the northern folks are still in on the ccb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 My temp/dew actually went up, from 28/19 a few hours ago to 30/21 currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
finatic jason Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 13 minutes ago, MDweatherman said: I’m in Kingsville as well - born and raised. Hoping this will be a good one!! You guys are in a good spot for decent dumping. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 18 minutes ago, osfan24 said: What implication would this have? Stronger ridge would lead to a more amplified ULL and probably would support the more tucked in solutions. But again, this is purely anecdotal for now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Ehh rgem isn’t the NAM but it shifted the ccb northeast quite a bit. Still decent DC northeast but not close to the last few and the trend is troubling. Wow the most snowy model caving to the least snowy model 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: No precip panels yet. But the thump looks decent on the RGEM as well. And the northern folks are still in on the ccb. This is all I'm focused on. The CCB dream is probably dead down here. We need to start off with a bang 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Icon a lil drier on the front. Shaved off .1 nova/dc and more Baltimore-north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Don't know about you guys but I need reasons for suppression worry to come back STAT Welcome back lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Don't know about you guys but I need reasons for suppression worry to come back STAT I know you’re kidding but that wouldn’t help. That’s the last thing we need. That would squash the WAA wave and still wouldn’t help with the coastal. Might even make it phase and amplify slower and end up OTS for everyone. Our problems lie in the typical miller b transfer problems. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Ji said: 7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Ehh rgem isn’t the NAM but it shifted the ccb northeast quite a bit. Still decent DC northeast but not close to the last few and the trend is troubling. Wow the most snowy model caving to the least snowy model It’s over Ji. Just another 4-6” snow out this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 30/6.3 @800ft here in W. Loudoun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 4-6 with the waa on the RGEM. Looks solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Thankfully we have the thump...although I'm a little unclear on how much comes with that: is that an area-wide 4-6" still? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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