Rhode Islander in Balto Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 4 minutes ago, Steve25 said: I got 27 in Parkville, but to be fair I'm using online sources. Sounds like you may have your own temperature gauge. In my back yard! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, Mshaffer526 said: I always hear "useless at this range", but it keying on Lehigh Valley east into NNJ is hardly out of line with other modeling. Thoughts? I’d rather it was on our side. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Gonna do my best to make the NOVA people sad they wanted me to leave. Gotta will an opposite jinx into existence. CHO gained 3" on the WAA from 18z. 10" just to my north. Make it happen. Thumppin Baby! Almost 8" around FXBG good stuff. Juicy...... 28/13 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, MN Transplant said: I’d rather it was on our side. That is some crazy divergence from the consensus secondary track and capture location. Not even close. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 The hell happened to the HRRR? Did it have too much JWB? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Rhode Islander in Balto said: In my back yard! Definitely not going to argue with that! Not sure why the reading I got was 2 degrees cooler. Cool to have another Parkville person in here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, Mshaffer526 said: I would never ask for local amounts Just curious to hear a Met's perspective on the 48 hour HRRR. Sometimes hard to tell which ones are *really* useless at long range and which judgments are weenie-induced. It's a very short term model and honestly struggles beyond 6 hours and only a few run to 48 hrs. Might be right but one of the last models I would use beyond 18 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 3km nam starts dry. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2021013100/nam3km_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_15.png 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 The NAM looks like it is slightly more negatively tilted this run and heights are slightly lower out in front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Awesome thump on the NAM. And then welcome to the dryslot from hell baby. Dryslots to Philly this run. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 When it starts it starts 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 NAM has been super consistent. Can’t discount it, as much as we’d like to. WAA looks dope though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 NAM is always fine under 48 hours after 48 is when it should be taken lightly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 29 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: @stormtracker 18z was better then 12z Unless you are in Augusta County! Like Bob Chill is saying, this is an imby hobby. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, ryanconway63 said: NAM is always fine under 48 hours after 48 is when it should be taken lightly Well if thats the case we are in trouble. At 39 The dryslot is in Philly and the 850 line is on the Mason Dixon line. 42 the 850's crash to a line from DC to Woodstock. But there is very little precip. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NovaWahoo Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 28/16. Humidity is at 61% and rising. Salt down on steps. Snowblower assembled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhode Islander in Balto Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 6 minutes ago, Steve25 said: Definitely not going to argue with that! Not sure why the reading I got was 2 degrees cooler. Cool to have another Parkville person in here! I’m below the beltway by about a mile on the city line, so sometimes it’s a bit warmer here than surrounding Parkville. My station link is in my profile. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 28 61% here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Congrats Long Island. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Right or wrong (probably wrong) the NAM is chasing the convection and taking the secondary way too far OTS. It’s improving slightly each run with that but not enough. You can see the slp ride up the line of convection that fires out over the gulf steam vs tucking in along the coastal front baroclinic zone. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 High end advisory to warning level snows on the front end of the NAM, but that’s all she wrote with the coastal heading north. CCB deform band will be in southern New England on this run. Lucky we get some light wrap around snow and that will be all. No tuck. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 I hate the nam. 1 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopper Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Right or wrong (probably wrong) the NAM is chasing the convection and taking the secondary way too far OTS. It’s improving slightly each run with that but not enough. You can see the slp ride up the line of convection that fires out over the gulf steam vs tucking in along the coastal front baroclinic zone. Is this what the HRRR did as well? And to a lesser degree the GFS? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dukeblue219 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Silver Spring temp and dp slowly rising this evening: 26.4/15.7 at 7:45 27.1/16.6 at 8:15 28.4/18.2 at 9:20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Ji said: I hate the nam. Who cares? Almost time to get RGEM'd. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Ji said: I hate the nam. cause it is awful or it may be right!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 I guess people can say the NAM is basically alone on that line of thought, I think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 What time does the RGEM start rolling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 This past Tuesday, the 12k NAM was showing the area getting a 2-4". The RGEM? .5-1". RGEM nailed it. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Ji said: I hate the nam. A good namming is harder to come by these days lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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