Ephesians2 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 34/17 in Lynchburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, jayyy said: It develops just too late. Like... a mere 50 miles. Most of the good stuff is thrown to our north because of it. We are SO. SO close to having the euro jump on the RGEM train (albeit less QPF) RGEM tucks all the way down almost to Norfolk. It is not close to doing that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Ooh eeh ooh ah ah ting tang walla walla bing bang. 17 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 There's some fine detail in the euro run that is causing the disconnect and I'm not going to bother looking for it. We'll see yet another wobble in 6 hours from some other fine detail and on and on. Run looked great to me. I'm still in the deform. Need to stay there 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Some nice late back end action here with this. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, Amped said: RGEM tucks all the way down almost to Norfolk. It is not close to doing that. Yeah I was just coming to post that. At 1 pm, the RGEM is basically east of the mouth of the bay. The Euro is sitting off of Rehoboth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, JakkelWx said: Ooh eeh ooh ah ah ting tang walla walla bing bang. I LOVE that animation !!!!!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Ouch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, CAPE said: All in all ends up about the same as 12z. Looks to be split about evenly with WAA and CCB for DC. Where do I sign? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 One thing is certain, next time I move, it to either central PA or Northern NJ 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 5 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: Ooh eeh ooh ah ah ting tang walla walla bing bang. acceptable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 21 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: HRRR continues to look thumpy for the small Cville/Staunton crowd. Yessir! NW of Staunton here at 1540’. Need as much waa love as we can get, since the coastal will give us snow tv and a couple inches at most over many hours. My biggest dilemma is that most will fall before daylight down here. I might not sleep! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 That’s like the fourth or fifth euro run in a row that has the stripe of heavier precipitation right over me. And that’s mostly the deform band. I’ll take it. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Love the thump from the Euro. Give me the easy snow every time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 God I hate bringing up this storm but there was a time not long ago where the euro amd everything else lined up a great hit but in real time the upper low wobbled SE and slp ended up tucked and more than a little south of prog'd. This storm's result was a heartbreaker but we're talking a real time shift at hour 0 that the euro missed. It's a perpetual cycle of worry parsing it. A trend of getting the waa totals slashed AND losing the ccb piece to the north is worth worrying about tho. I'm not seeing it yet anywhere 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 3 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: Ooh eeh ooh ah ah ting tang walla walla bing bang. Look at the snow totals count up by the hour once the deform part of the storm begins. It's snowing like a tenth of an inch of snow for hours on end. That ain't gonna get it done. I'm sure it has something to do with the resolution, but like was mentioned before, the low needs to tuck farther south to get the best deform. The Euro is probably about 100-150 miles north of the RGEM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 4 minutes ago, CAPE said: 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: That’s like the fourth or fifth euro run in a row that has the stripe of heavier precipitation right over me. And that’s mostly the deform band. I’ll take it. This is the way 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 5 minutes ago, Ji said: 6 minutes ago, CAPE said: Ouch 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Little quick obs note, the SLP primary appears to already be weakening on mesoanalysis. Was down to a 998 contour but now at 1000. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, leesburg 04 said: Of course you're gonna troll with those emoticons now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Temps dropping fast... I've gone down 5 degrees in an hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eaglesrck63 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 North East, MD 22 degrees. 14 degrees DP. 70% RH. Dropped 4 degrees in last hour 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, leesburg 04 said: 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just about 25 degrees with a DP of 9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 21 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Agreed seems like we would do better based on low position which seems to be trending our way It’s occluding by that point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 All I know Is I love Leesburg and as I'm looking for a new place to live later this year or next it's going to be in Western Loudoun somewhere but for this storm, at least so far with these models....I'm glad I'm in Sykesville. Who knows how it ultimately works out but right now I'm a big fan of the lighter shade of pink. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Man, Baltimore sure does look like a decent spot for this one. Euro steadfast with that area of heavier QPF from DC northeast. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 22 minutes ago, Amped said: Improved for the NW crew. About the same everywhere else. At this point the NW crew really has nothing to fret over. Short of waa being drier and the coastal shitting the bed at last minute, we will do well up here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now