jayyy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 27 union bridge 31 Ellicott city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 18z ggem Yeah, that’s 100mm snow gradient west burbs of Philly. 4 feet? Lol overdone but highlights the ccbs potential 4 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, caviman2201 said: The air is crazy dry right now... We may deal with a lot of virga but temps should plummet once we get echoes overhead I think LWX mentioned it in one of their AFDs, going to take a little bit for the air to saturate with it being so dry, especially further north you go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, Interstate said: I would check your temp again. Even the Naval Academy is at 33 degrees. I just dropped to 36 but I think it's accurate. Bwi latest ob is 35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
300 square feet Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 32/15 in upper NW DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, Wentzadelphia said: 18z ggem Yeah, that’s 100mm snow gradient west burbs of Philly. My parents are up in Collegeville NW of Philly. I think they get hit pretty well with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Interesting to see the hrrr not dry slotting much for D.C. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NovaWahoo Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Temp 28 Dew 13. Longtime account holder and lurker, occasional poster as NovaHoo. Couldn't get access to the old account. And this is the first time in years that's been a real problem. Let's go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, HighStakes said: And they can often over perform. Yea, no doubt. The key ingredient is no wasting qpf with warm ground or dicey mids/crappy snow growth. One wrench that could bug a few people if it happens is if sw of us get raked and overperform. That doesnt extrapolate well because weakening dynamics after the birth of the coastal can sometimes hit the dimmer switch. I have a pretty good feeling part 1 wont have any drastic hiccups in the wrong direction. I'm thinking 5" is the most likely amount for my yard at this point. Column is great at the start so ratios may be better than 10:1 instead of less when it's warmer. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Primary is in southern Missouri and appears to be moving due east with not much latitude gain. Edit: Almost due east. It can't be due east with not much latitude gain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: My parents are up in Collegeville NW of Philly. I think they get hit pretty well with this one. 1.5”+ of QPF for Baltimore more points NE. WOW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rickymdwx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 7 minutes ago, caviman2201 said: How are you right on the other side of the Patapsco from me and 6 degrees colder... I'm at 37/13 in Glen Burnie. Weird edgewood is in southern harford county 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Due east you say? Well that sounds promising.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, JakkelWx said: Primary is in southern Missouri and appears to be moving due east with not much latitude gain. She's a beaut, Clark! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 SLP appears to be moving almost due East. A HINGE of a NE component to the movement. Surface looks great so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, rickymdwx said: edgewood is in southern harford county Woops I was thinking Edgemere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 28/14 here NW of Vienna. Bone dry outside. Let's hope the HRRR is onto something with the stall Monday. This could be epic... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Southeastern forum reporting that band traversing into VA at the moment means business. Hope that’s a good omen for things to come for everyone in the forum here! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, caviman2201 said: She's a beaut, Clark! I don’t know you and you don’t know me, but we thought the same thing. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Probably just noise, but clicking between the end of the 22z and 21z HRRR's show the low trending further south and weaker. Something to watch going forward maybe? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Snow is going to come in like a wall from SW to NE tomorrow morning. Don’t think it takes more than 10 mins in any location for snow to begin sticking. The radar in far E KY and E TN looks great. Should see that wall hit DC by 8am 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just dropped to 25 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Temperatures falling faster than what the mesos had. I see this as a good sign 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, caviman2201 said: Woops I was thinking Edgemere Geography is hard 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 7 minutes ago, mappy said: I think LWX mentioned it in one of their AFDs, going to take a little bit for the air to saturate with it being so dry, especially further north you go This is true. Luckily, the storm is juiced and waa typicslly saturates the column without too much loss . Models take that into account so it's not a big concern. Not in the same universe as a clipper coming over the apps. Radar loop looks like my yard gets hit solid but if my yard sneezed all my snow would be gone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 LWX seems to think 3-5am start for most of MD DC and NoVA 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, JakkelWx said: Temperatures falling faster than what the mesos had. I see this as a good sign Baro up to 30.33. Did they have that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Soil is already pretty much 32 so that’s good. 2 minutes ago, Thanatos_I_Am said: Probably just noise, but clicking between the end of the 22z and 21z HRRR's show the low trending further south and weaker. Something to watch going forward maybe? I did notice the slight south, but wasn’t paying attention to the strength. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 26/12 My thump better not get eaten by dry air. I am all in on the front end. Back end is lookin 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, JakkelWx said: Temperatures falling faster than what the mesos had. I see this as a good sign Can’t be a bad sign.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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