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Jan 31st - 33rd Storm Obs and Disco like it's 1979


Bob Chill
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2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I’m hopeful when that band gets here is when the steady heavy starts here. Got a quick .75” with that nice band an hour ago but it keeps varying and going back to light snow. That band rolling out of York PA now coincides with the arrival of the best deep moisture feed at the mid levels around the deepening (finally phased at all levels) low. The stuff we’ve been in so far had to deal with the pockets of dry air left over from being in the extended SW flow ahead of the stalled h7 before it made the transfer and phased. Shame we didn’t get the euro idea from 3 days ago where the mid and upper lows just amplified right through with no stall and jump. The secondary would have been captured further south and we would be getting what SE PA is. 

If it makes it to you intact, you will not be disappointed.

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There's a bit of 85H frontogen pivoting through NE MD right now as the 850mb low has strengthened in the last 3 hrs. The 700mb moisture transport is wrapped to the I-70 corridor with obviously deeper mid-level RH across the the northern tier. There's an area of orographic enhancement out west with some modest convergence happening along the Catoctin front and the hills out near 81. That snow will likely continue for several hours until the low pivots NE and we lose the moisture transport within the boundary layer. I think 12+" is all but a certainty for the northern reaches of Frederick and Washington counties. 

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Just now, MillvilleWx said:

There's a bit of 85H frontogen pivoting through NE MD right now as the 850mb low has strengthened in the last 3 hrs. The 700mb moisture transport is wrapped to the I-70 corridor with obviously deeper mid-level RH across the the northern tier. There's an area of orographic enhancement out west with some modest convergence happening along the Catoctin front and the hills out near 81. That snow will likely continue for several hours until the low pivots NE and we lose the moisture transport within the boundary layer. I think 12+" is all but a certainty for the northern reaches of Frederick and Washington counties. 

Spot on. My son in emmitsburg said they are getting annihilated up there. 

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2 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

There's a bit of 85H frontogen pivoting through NE MD right now as the 850mb low has strengthened in the last 3 hrs. The 700mb moisture transport is wrapped to the I-70 corridor with obviously deeper mid-level RH across the the northern tier. There's an area of orographic enhancement out west with some modest convergence happening along the Catoctin front and the hills out near 81. That snow will likely continue for several hours until the low pivots NE and we lose the moisture transport within the boundary layer. I think 12+" is all but a certainty for the northern reaches of Frederick and Washington counties. 

Already over 12” in Emmitsburg and I know Cascade is up around 16”!! Hagerstown is over 12” as well.

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3 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

There's a bit of 85H frontogen pivoting through NE MD right now as the 850mb low has strengthened in the last 3 hrs. The 700mb moisture transport is wrapped to the I-70 corridor with obviously deeper mid-level RH across the the northern tier. There's an area of orographic enhancement out west with some modest convergence happening along the Catoctin front and the hills out near 81. That snow will likely continue for several hours until the low pivots NE and we lose the moisture transport within the boundary layer. I think 12+" is all but a certainty for the northern reaches of Frederick and Washington counties. 

HGR (the airport) is measuring in at 14" right now. 

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4 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

There's a bit of 85H frontogen pivoting through NE MD right now as the 850mb low has strengthened in the last 3 hrs. The 700mb moisture transport is wrapped to the I-70 corridor with obviously deeper mid-level RH across the the northern tier. There's an area of orographic enhancement out west with some modest convergence happening along the Catoctin front and the hills out near 81. That snow will likely continue for several hours until the low pivots NE and we lose the moisture transport within the boundary layer. I think 12+" is all but a certainty for the northern reaches of Frederick and Washington counties. 

Several 12 - 16 reports in some earlier pages in northern Frederick County. Might see someone pop a 20" number towards Ft. Ritchie or Sabillasville. 

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Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

Several 12 - 16 reports in some earlier pages in northern Frederick County. Might see someone pop a 20" number towards Ft. Ritchie or Sabillasville. 

My guess is that area is poised for a bit more than that...I would bet there is some 2'+ numbers above 1600' by the time it settles down.

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