ILIKERAKE Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 GFS gives me another foot of snow.. don't tease me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Best coastal panel. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 27 minutes ago, Ruin said: So I have to ask when the weather service calls for heavy snow is it the size of the flakes? or is it the rate in which it falls? or can it be both? Intensity is typically tied to visibility, with heavy snow being visibility of less than a quarter mile. I think of heavy snow as about 1 inch per hour. Not necessarily flake size as sometimes you can have large wet flakes but spaced way apart. Get this -- NYC could see rates of 2-4 inches at times. Man to see that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 This storm has been all over the place...can’t be easy for forecasters/Mets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, high risk said: 00z GFS is trying to sucker me back in..... Wish it was the NAM but even that showed improvements. Baltimore is damn close to something halfway special though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 im surprised the precip field isnt farther northwest since its getting tucked in more. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, nj2va said: This storm has been all over the place...can’t be easy for forecasters/Mets. It indeed cannot. We know from Millville just how gut-wrenchingly hard it is and how it impacts them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 GFS says I see more from the coastal than the WAA. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 36 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Latest trends look promising for Baltimore on north especially...for a few inches through Tues Guidance is coming in more tucked and south with the coastal low Forcing is going north...where the closed upper level tracks...north of it is where the forcing occurs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 For just barely northeast of Baltimore City my expectations from this storm from a few days ago werr 2-5 inches from Sunday. Got 3.5, so good to go there. I did say 3-7 for the coastal impact. Feel like I might be able to scrape the low end of that range, but confidence is low. Some model guidance is keeping the hope alive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, nj2va said: GFS says I see more from the coastal than the WAA. If that could drop about 20 miles, I'd appreciate it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 A close up of my Holly bushes today- Merry Christmas 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, BlizzardNole said: Intensity is typically tied to visibility, with heavy snow being visibility of less than a quarter mile. I think of heavy snow as about 1 inch per hour. Not necessarily flake size as sometimes you can have large wet flakes but spaced way apart. Get this -- NYC could see rates of 2-4 inches at times. Man to see that. Oh thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Holy GFS..... wow. Another 10”?’ Jesus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 IFFFFFF the gfs had a clue and were correct, tomorrow afternoon thru evening would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, Ruin said: im surprised the precip field isnt farther northwest since its getting tucked in more. This is exactly how I feel. Without any further trending of the low, simply with a more robust precip shield we could see something halfway decent tomorrow. The models just don’t have a handle on this at all. Should be very interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Come on yall.... 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 minute ago, jayyy said: Holy GFS..... wow. Another 10”?’ Jesus I’ll take the under for the whole sub-forum. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, jayyy said: Holy GFS..... wow. Another 10”?’ Jesus Isnt Union Bridge by Frederick? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: A close up of my Holly bushes today- Merry Christmas Thank you. Just thank you. We need more content like this right now. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILIKERAKE Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, clskinsfan said: Isnt Union Bridge by Frederick? Frederick people have a monopoly on snow in this area. Let Sparrows Point and the bay have some for a change 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJB Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Isnt Union Bridge by Frederick? 20 miles NE. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Round Hill WX Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 3 hours ago, feloniousq said: How about the model run last night that had both you and me with 9.5”, 6” coming from the WAA? Any time a WSW fails to verify, it’s a bust, period Below is last nights 0z EURO you reference valid up until 0z tonight. It absolutely nailed my area so I don’t know what you’re referring to. Also, you originally posted a EURO from 6! days ago. Why you’re moving the goalposts from 6 days ago to last nights run is interesting. You’re still wrong but I’ll leave you to learn why. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, MJB said: 20 miles NE. Thanks. I thought I had been through there before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 14 minutes ago, ThePhotoGuy said: lol Are you f’n kidding me? Like it’s almost anger inducing at some point. Even now after all this it says I’m going to get 6” more NW of DC. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, SnowDreamer said: Thank you. Just thank you. We need more content like this right now. How about one more- this one's zoomed out. 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 This thread has gone to hell, but the GFS para puts the brakes on the Baltimore snow party. It still wants to bring some accumulating snow to most of central MD and hits the MD/PA border nicely, but it's not doing what the ops GFS is. Looking closely, the GFS precip field is wacky with a big max on the Jersey Shore and reduced totals for the NYC metro area- GFS para looks more reasonable and consistent. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Seriously guys. Stop. I know how it is when tempers flare...I just had a fight with a troll white knighter 2 nights ago...I moved it to banter. But I'm the laziest moderator here and yall are making me mad because I have to moderate. I'm moving the crap posts to banter. STOP. NOW. Seriously. I'll even add a please in there. If you want to fight, ok...go to banter. People in here trying to enjoy the Miller B screwjob and yall in here fighting. Relax, calm down. Also, gotta remind yall, sending threatening PMs is prohibited. If you want to be around for the next fail next weekend, simmah down. 8 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 CMC clobbers Wilmington like the GFS. I suspect this is the convective blob throwing things off at the last second. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 CMC just dropped 30 on Wilmington. Seems legit. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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