SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 LOL don't look at the GFS. Do yourself a favor just go outside right now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, osfan24 said: I never understand why people outright dismiss the NAM. You can be skeptical of it, but all guidance should at least be considered and analyzed, not just tossed. Even the ICON. Maybe. Its been awesome. But its ultimate test will be when it tries to show snow over us when nothing else is. Let's see if it leads the way then.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, CAPE said: It's moving. Have an inch there yet? Just under. Most snow on the ground since 2018. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, osfan24 said: I never understand why people outright dismiss the NAM. You can be skeptical of it, but all guidance should at least be considered and analyzed, not just tossed. Even the ICON. Maybe. Yup. @ers-wxman1 talks about this all the time. NAM can be the first to sniff out a short term trend, but gets dismissed. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 HRRR gives DC metro about 0.3" liquid from 11 am to this evening. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherShak Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Jebwalking with our rescue pup. His first time in the snow. . 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Still snowing despite what radar says. Light stuff, probably 2 miles of visibility? Would love to crawl my way to 6”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, SnowtoRain said: Just under. Most snow on the ground since 2018. Yeah this will be the biggest event since March of 18 for sure. And it will only take an inch to do it. lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Yup. @ers-wxman1 talks about this all the time. NAM can be the first to sniff out a short term trend, but gets dismissed. I learned my lesson on Boxing Day... never dismiss the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toolsheds Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 49 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Can’t believe you are complaining with two feet on the ground. Some people /s Stonehenge! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 6 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Will never laugh at the NAM again. This will be 2 storms this winter where it won. Dryslot is coming. And it was the first model to sniff it out. The Nam does over do qpf totals so the joking about a "namming" is fairly legit but it is extremely useful for trend based forecasting. With that said it was by itself this time so could not buy into it fully even if it ends up being the best forecast. It dismays me to see Red Taggers cast it off or start sentences with "Good thing its not going to be right because its the Nam..." 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Best rates here so far in part of Balt City (not too far from NW Balt's area) - looks like a snow globe. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just finished the 2nd round of "shoveling" - super easy with how light and fluffy it is. It picked up for a time while I was out there but it's mostly just pixie dust now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1.1” on the snowboard. Been getting good conglomerates for the last 30mins or so, even if still not heavy rates 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 It does look like we are going to dry slot in DC pretty soon. Gonna go out and enjoy this last batch and hope we get something this afternoon. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, North Balti Zen said: Best rates here so far in part of Balt City (not too far from NW Balt's area) - looks like a snow globe. Gorgeous outside. Dark skies and moderate snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillbilly Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 So far, not much to report from Forest Hill (north central Harco). 28 deg, dusting, pixie flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 water vapor shows that slither of drier air pretty well, but it's been slowly filling in. that might coincide with better radar returns as we get through midday. nothing really surprising about this storm so far. it was always a bit north for central md, but it's also reasonable to think the ccb could nudge further southwest. there's certainly time for that if the coastal forms further south or deepens quicker than expected. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 The 12z GFS isn't awful. It gives us some snow tomorrow. It's still not enough to get big totals, but it should be wintry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, DCTeacherman said: It does look like we are going to dry slot in DC pretty soon. Gonna go out and enjoy this last batch and hope we get something this afternoon. Dry slot Already? Yeesh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Switching back over to some light snow from sleet, don’t hear the pings... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 8 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: LOL don't look at the GFS. Do yourself a favor just go outside right now. Not sure what you’re aiming for, but I definitely don’t hate it. Nice snow for DC and north tomorrow afternoon. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEblizzard88 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Best rates here so far in part of Balt City (not too far from NW Balt's area) - looks like a snow globe. Northeast Balto county hardly anything but flurries since 9. dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Been very light here so far . Maybe 1/2" or so same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AACOUNTYMD Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 about 1.5 inches in Crownsville. . . took about 2.5 hours to get to this point. . .slow and steady wins the race? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, BristowWx said: Dry slot Already? Yeesh Yeah I mean that area west of DC doesn’t look like it’s in a hurry to fill in. Hopefully it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 12z GFS looks pretty damn good. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, WxUSAF said: Not sure what you’re aiming for, but I definitely don’t hate it. Nice snow for DC and north tomorrow afternoon. Yes, I'll take it in a second. Would make for a nice day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, MDweatherman said: Northeast Balto county hardly anything but flurries since 9. dusting. I have a feeling you’re going to make up for what you don’t get today in a two hour band later tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, MDweatherman said: Northeast Balto county hardly anything but flurries since 9. dusting. hello fellow hereford zoner! should pick up for us as the day goes on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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