Happy_Valley Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 27.2/24.4 - 1-1/2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 If anyone is curious, the 12z HRRR and Nam Nest are already too light on snowfall compared to the current obs. Might catch up later, but it's too light right now even using Kuchera. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricanegiants Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 30 minutes ago, dukeblue219 said: Why am I sitting here analyzing HRRR dry slots instead of enjoying the snow while it falls? Completely understand. It’s this addictive hobby where it can be pouring snow IMBY for 12 hours and I need somebody to tell me to stop staring at coastal models for tomorrow. Or even worse—long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 9 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Mini band #2 setting in. Should crack 2.5cms with this one. My new strategy when my yard is obviously not getting jacked is switching to metric. Coping mechanism. Working brilliantly right now. Should easily crack 5cms before noon. Ha! I should have set my bar at 6 cm instead of 6 inches. It's starting to look like that split where south of us does better with the thump and the coastal misses us north. I'd be surprised to see more than 3" total now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 @JakkelWx 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1.75 inches here most snow of the season. I see the back edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Flakes are getting bigger here in Tuckahoe... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Steady light snow has finally begun here. 29. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, CAPE said: @JakkelWx 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopper Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 3 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: If anyone is curious, the 12z HRRR and Nam Nest are already too light on snowfall compared to the current obs. Might catch up later, but it's too light right now even using Kuchera. Over achiever incoming!! steady moderate snow in Towson Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Lightened up a little but some better flakes mixing in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, gopper said: Over achiever incoming!! steady moderate snow in Towson Are roads covering there? Driving back from Hershey and snow is just starting here. 83 can get sloppy fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCentrlVA Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Well woke up to 6 inches on the ground and still snowing. Starting to mix with sleet at 29 degrees yikes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 The NAM's still want absolutely nothing to do with the coastal for the area up through Mon 21z. Nam Nest is a massive FU to SE PA too and all the fun is north of the turnpike. The 12km NAM is ramping up the CCB to the north, but it'll be way too late for here unless we see a Euro-like vort piece rotate down later in the run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 13 minutes ago, CAPE said: Snowing here now. If the mesos are correct, our best stuff is coming a bit later on. Yeah early afternoon is advertised to be the heaviest rates 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopper Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Dabuckeyes said: Are roads covering there? Driving back from Hershey and snow is just starting here. 83 can get sloppy fast Not sure about main roads, but side roads are instant coverage. Coming down pretty good now, so I would think some main roads are covered, but they usually do a good job keeping 83 pretty clear. Drive safe! Hershey open now? Rides and everything? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Sorry ya’ll, can’t delete my accidental triple post on mobile. 4.25” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Chuck Bell on NBC 4 just said he sees the dry slot in West Virginia, and he is "worried" that is heading to DC area and "will cut down on snow totals" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Light snow .75” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1.2” 30/27 light snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeff B Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Nice gentle snow falling. Came on quickly about 30 minutes ago. Roads instant white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ka60 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 6 minutes ago, BlizzardNole said: Ha! I should have set my bar at 6 cm instead of 6 inches. It's starting to look like that split where south of us does better with the thump and the coastal misses us north. I'd be surprised to see more than 3" total now. In Clarksburg we have over 1.5" already approaching 2"! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, MillvilleWx said: The NAM's still want absolutely nothing to do with the coastal for the area up through Mon 21z. Nam Nest is a massive FU to SE PA too and all the fun is north of the turnpike. The 12km NAM is ramping up the CCB to the north, but it'll be way too late for here unless we see a Euro-like vort piece rotate down later in the run. Even the RGEM/HRDPS are decently NE of the area basing off the earlier runs. I'm sure we'll get light stuff Monday but I think this is the main show for a lot of us (the today stuff). It's gorgeous out there so I'm certainly not complaining. Looking over at the long term thread it seems we may not be done either. Pretty Sunday! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: Even the RGEM/HRDPS are decently NE of the area basing off the earlier runs. I'm sure we'll get light stuff Monday but I think this is the main show for a lot of us (the today stuff). It's gorgeous out there so I'm certainly not complaining. Looking over at the long term thread it seems we may not be done either. Pretty Sunday! Yup. Take what you can get and hope. I'm glad y'all are enjoying some snow today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Getting larger, more aggregated snow now corresponding to higher reflectivity (>20 dBZ) and ZDR closer to 0 dB. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 15 minutes ago, WVclimo said: 12Z NAM 12k with a QPF max from Cumberland to Martinsburg through hour 18. 0.75”+ liquid equivalent. 3k NAM agrees with this same snowfall axis. Has areas of western Allegany County Md nearing 18” on the ground by tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 5 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: The NAM's still want absolutely nothing to do with the coastal for the area up through Mon 21z. Nam Nest is a massive FU to SE PA too and all the fun is north of the turnpike. The 12km NAM is ramping up the CCB to the north, but it'll be way too late for here unless we see a Euro-like vort piece rotate down later in the run. Interesting location ( bottom image ) , not sure about that, but we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, SnowtoRain said: Yeah early afternoon is advertised to be the heaviest rates I suspect it will becoming down hardest as the warmer air aloft is approaching later, then the sleet mixes in. I hope we get dry slotted with just some drizzle when the warmer air comes in at the surface as the coastal is getting going. If we are to get some decent snow on the backside it would be nice if some of what falls today can survive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, MillvilleWx said: The NAM's still want absolutely nothing to do with the coastal for the area up through Mon 21z. Nam Nest is a massive FU to SE PA too and all the fun is north of the turnpike. The 12km NAM is ramping up the CCB to the north, but it'll be way too late for here unless we see a Euro-like vort piece rotate down later in the run. As much as we try to discredit the nam I got to give it some credit. I believe it was the first to show the CCB developing to far north and now most other models show that to some extent. It was also the first to show the north movement of the storm back in December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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