Kleimax Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 On 1/31/2021 at 6:13 AM, caviman2201 said: Doesn't this seem like an incredibly weak precip depiction for a sub-990 L? Expand More of a location thing but yet I think there could be some 30" lollis in PA/NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 On 1/31/2021 at 6:14 AM, clskinsfan said: That is Wednesday morning/ Expand Tuesday night 7pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 On 1/31/2021 at 6:13 AM, caviman2201 said: Doesn't this seem like an incredibly weak precip depiction for a sub-990 L? Expand Storm blew its load and occluded by that panel. All the good stuff happens during the deepening phase. By hr 72 it's a tired old man ready for bed. Kinda like me right now 2 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSG Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Ripping fatties in Charlottesville. It took a while to saturate the low levels but this first band is legit 30/21 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 A lot of guidance is trending towards pinwheeling the low around on Tuesday and swinging snow back through the area north of DC. Have to see if that is real...and if we can get it to happen maybe a bit further south. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 On 1/31/2021 at 6:17 AM, psuhoffman said: A lot of guidance is trending towards pinwheeling the low around on Tuesday and swinging snow back through the area north of DC. Have to see if that is real...and if we can get it to happen maybe a bit further south. Expand Yeah this trend is real. And some of the crappier short terms have us in the deforms already. I'll take 4-8" with the opportunity for upside any day here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 On 1/31/2021 at 6:17 AM, psuhoffman said: A lot of guidance is trending towards pinwheeling the low around on Tuesday and swinging snow back through the area north of DC. Have to see if that is real...and if we can get it to happen maybe a bit further south. Expand Yeah in Baltimore the best 6 hr period is 18z tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 On 1/31/2021 at 6:20 AM, NorthArlington101 said: Expand Looks like white rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 "Storm blew its load and occluded by that panel. All the good stuff happens during the deepening phase. By hr 72 it's a tired old man ready for bed." This is signature material... Weather related comment though is it seems like the difference betweeen 4-6 and something more is whether that retrograde is real... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 On 1/31/2021 at 6:13 AM, SnowDreamer said: Epic DC screw job. Probably verifies Expand That would probably be a "I'm taking a Bob Chill break from this hobby" result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 On 1/31/2021 at 6:20 AM, Amped said: Yeah in Baltimore the best 6 hr period is 18z tuesday Expand yea that stall and wrapping banding across northern MD for days is great and all...and sometimes it doesn't take much QPF to rack up totals in those bands...fluff...but its risky relying on that...some of that is still 60 hours away and if you take out that last band that wraps through MD really doesn't get a whole lot from the coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 On 1/31/2021 at 6:26 AM, psuhoffman said: yea that stall and wrapping banding across northern MD for days is great and all...and sometimes it doesn't take much QPF to rack up totals in those bands...fluff...but its risky relying on that...some of that is still 60 hours away and if you take out that last band that wraps through MD really doesn't get a whole lot from the coastal. Expand so... assuming its right, what happened? what took us from elated to feeling robbed in 12h? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 On 1/31/2021 at 6:29 AM, Deck Pic said: 28/18....I think I'm on the cusp of some flurries/pixie dust to start things off. Expand We are really close. I dont know if I am gonna make it though. Need to sleep. But I want to stay up for first flakes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 To any cliff jumpers up there, it's not over yet. I'm rooting for y'all to get deformed (not really, I hate you all and want to move back to NoVa but houses are too damn expensive and I can make the same money in Richmond for a lot cheaper, but I'm contemplating taking a pay cut to have better snow chances.). 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Coming down good under the yellows. Hoping to get to an 1" before the first band cuts off. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 On 1/31/2021 at 6:35 AM, NovaTarHeel said: To any cliff jumpers up there, it's not over yet. I'm rooting for y'all to get deformed (not really, I hate you all and want to move back to NoVa but houses are too damn expensive and I can make the same money in Richmond for a lot cheaper, but I'm contemplating taking a pay cut to have better snow chances.). Expand You, sir, get my vote for realest post of the evening, narrowly edging out Bob with the "blown load" comment a few minutes ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 On 1/31/2021 at 6:36 AM, NorthArlington101 said: Coming down good under the yellows. Hoping to get to an 1" before the first band cuts off.You’re in Arlington va??. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Map is looking good, snow is just moving northeast. This is gonna be good! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 On 1/31/2021 at 6:39 AM, DCAlexandria said: You’re in Arlington va?? Expand Nah, my name sucks and is confusing. I'm in Charlottesville, sorry. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 On 1/31/2021 at 6:39 AM, DCAlexandria said: You’re in Arlington va?? . Expand Down in CHO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Greens upon DC now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 On 1/31/2021 at 6:35 AM, NovaTarHeel said: To any cliff jumpers up there, it's not over yet. I'm rooting for y'all to get deformed (not really, I hate you all and want to move back to NoVa but houses are too damn expensive and I can make the same money in Richmond for a lot cheaper, but I'm contemplating taking a pay cut to have better snow chances.). Expand I am rooting for everyone in the Mid Atlantic to be DEFORMED and for the deform trowal to stall out for days. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 NAVGEM and JMA ccb DC north. Really odd that most of the globals and the 2 Canadian meso's get some CCB down here...while all the NCEP run meso models, HRRR/NAMs/ARW/NMM all are not even close and stall the low much further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Is NoVA aril getting 5-7 tomorrow or are we screwed now?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 On 1/31/2021 at 6:48 AM, DCAlexandria said: Is NoVA aril getting 5-7 tomorrow or are we screwed now? . Expand You are screwed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 On 1/31/2021 at 6:49 AM, ravensrule said: You are screwed. What’s your cal for fairfax?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 There’s yellows south of me, and north of me, and I look outside and see... nothing. Not even a flake. I think I accidentally got too close and breathed in some dust from the blinds 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 On 1/31/2021 at 6:48 AM, DCAlexandria said: Is NoVA aril getting 5-7 tomorrow or are we screwed now? . Expand Analyze the models and make a determination Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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