jayyy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 My buddy in Lexington KY said that there was barely any virga before the sky began puking. Radar looks fantastic for WAA tomorrow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, caviman2201 said: Microclimates are always interesting. I remember when I was commuting attending UMBC but living at home with my folks in Mt. Airy. I'd leave school and it would be raining and 36 and as I drove out Rt. 70 it would get progressively more wintery as I drove. I always loved that. Did you take any classes with Jeff Halverson? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 @Weather Will is slacking cue yeoman with “looks like climo”. 6” one isn’t too shabby either keep in mine ensemble members are low resolution and 10-1 so they are going to underestimate snow totals (when you actually do get it lol) if it’s a cold storm or you get under the ccb 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, wolfpackwxDC said: Far western corner of Arlington and we are at 27.7/18.5. What's interesting is that we bottomed out at 26.6/17.5 about an hour ago. No wind for the last 3. We are 300 feet ish above and 8 miles away from DCA, so it's always interesting to see how much we can differ. I’m about 4 miles NW of you and have about 150’ elevation. It is 4 degrees warmer here. Looks like we set up an inversion, which also tracks because the air quality got worse in the last few hours too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Negnao Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, pazzo83 said: There was actually some research done showing that upper NW was part of the city with a much weaker UHI. Wish we could have an official reporting site up there near the zoo or rock creek park that would have less river and urban heat influence. Like Central Park in nyc. Seems it would be a more accurate measurement for snowfall at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Woooo - temps still dropping nicely. union bridge weather station - 2.5 miles south of me: 21.4 Temp 16.7 DP Winds from the NE Pressure: 30.01 Elevation: 473 ft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfpackwxDC Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: This mountain top of Cleveland Park does wonders. In all seriousness, it kinda does. I've been at work in marginal events down in SE near Nat's stadium and it's snowing for like hours with no stickage. I get on on the subway and get home and it's a winter wonderland. Always amazed by it. 100% agree with this. Have notice the same thing in Arlington. Last winter when we had our one and only event (I think? it happened during the late afternoon and the government let everyone out early, but that sounds like every event around here...) we were living in Courthouse and I needed to drive to our house near East falls Church. Courthouse had bare ground but by the time I got to East falls Church there was a coating everywhere. Elevation! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcwx20015 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 7 minutes ago, stormtracker said: This mountain top of Cleveland Park does wonders. In all seriousness, it kinda does. I've been at work in marginal events down in SE near Nat's stadium and it's snowing for like hours with no stickage. I get on on the subway and get home and it's a winter wonderland. Always amazed by it. I live up the street from you in Chevy Chase DC and work near 14th and U and the difference between the 2 is often quite marked with only 4 miles difference. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Did you take any classes with Jeff Halverson? I think so... GES 110 i believe 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 @clskinsfan and @psuhoffman , you guys ready for that 15:1 ratio snowfall tomorrow AM? Have a good feeling about the ratios to start. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 It’ll be good if we all just pretend that the 00z HRRR doesn’t exist. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, dcwx20015 said: I live up the street from you in Chevy Chase DC and work near 14th and U and the difference between the 2 is often quite marked with only 4 miles difference. Yeah, on the other side of the park I notice it ascending from columbia heights up to carter baron on 16th. I work in Columbia heights and sometimes there won’t be any stickage but then you get up there and all of a sudden it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhode Islander in Balto Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 28.9 / 16.8 in Parkville on the city/county line. Temps actually up about a half a degree in the past hour, dews climbing. Nice to see some other NE Baltimore folks in here! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, MN Transplant said: It’ll be good if we all just pretend that the 00z HRRR doesn’t exist. As luck would have it, I have never believed it existed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlingtonforest Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 32/11 in Central Arlington Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Been away most of the day, just had a quick model question. Is the RGEM the only model showing major accumulations(12+) near Baltimore region? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 90% chance of 6”? I’ll take it. Looks like 9 EPS members are RGEM-like insofar as mega totals centered on DC-PHL corridor. Lots of others still with double digits for the same area, but max elsewhere. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, Rhode Islander in Balto said: 28.9 / 16.8 in Parkville on the city/county line. Temps actually up about a half a degree in the past hour, dews climbing. Nice to see some other NE Baltimore folks in here! I got 27 in Parkville, but to be fair I'm using online sources. Sounds like you may have your own temperature gauge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Steve25 said: Been away most of the day, just had a quick model question. Is the RGEM the only model showing major accumulations(12+) near Baltimore region? No. Euro, GFS around 12+ too. CMC for sure as well. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, Steve25 said: Been away most of the day, just had a quick model question. Is the RGEM the only model showing major accumulations(12+) near Baltimore region? Euro and GFS have some big totals near Baltimore. It just matters exactly what part, because the difference is huge based on how far south the band sinks and where it sinks south. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=regional-eastcoast-02-24-0-100-1&checked=radar-map&colorbar=undefined 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
finatic jason Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 4 minutes ago, Rhode Islander in Balto said: 28.9 / 16.8 in Parkville on the city/county line. Temps actually up about a half a degree in the past hour, dews climbing. Nice to see some other NE Baltimore folks in here! Former NE Baltimore City(35 years born and raised).....relocated to FL a few years ago. Still enjoy following and watching. 58 here lol. In-laws were supposed to leave tomorrow to drive down from Kingsville but delaying their trip until after the storm. Rooting for Y’all to catch a good one.I’ll be following Obs from the boat tomorrow :) 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mshaffer526 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 6 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: It’ll be good if we all just pretend that the 00z HRRR doesn’t exist. I always hear "useless at this range", but it keying on Lehigh Valley east into NNJ is hardly out of line with other modeling. Thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 5 minutes ago, wolfpackwxDC said: 100% agree with this. Have notice the same thing in Arlington. Last winter when we had our one and only event (I think? it happened during the late afternoon and the government let everyone out early, but that sounds like every event around here...) we were living in Courthouse and I needed to drive to our house near East falls Church. Courthouse had bare ground but by the time I got to East falls Church there was a coating everywhere. Elevation! Same. Taking the VRE from the city to Burke can be night and day in marginal setups, whether during or just after. Being at 325’ or so and a few miles west of the fall line can make a really noticeable difference. Ticked up a degree in Burke - now at 28 - but it doesn’t really matter. No concerns at all with the WAA piece. It only once the transfer begins that I’ll have to worry about snizzle. Of course, after that I’ll have to worry about whether I’ll get in the southern tip of the CCB. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Mshaffer526 said: I always hear "useless at this range", but it keying on Lehigh Valley east into NNJ is hardly out of line with other modeling. Thoughts? @MN Transplant: How much for Gap, PA? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 It feels weird that it is 26.8 degrees and not for 46 degree before a snowstorm in Anne Arundel. When I was leaving Annapolis earlier, I was surprised how clear the sky was and how you could clearly see the stars. Foxes, Deer, & raccoons were out in force tonight. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 28/19 here in WV 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 8 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: There was actually some research done showing that upper NW was part of the city with a much weaker UHI. Upper NW climo is closer to mine than downtown by the river imho. I remember many storms where tracker and matt would be surprisingly different. Lots of trees and an extra 300' up changes the game. Which is great for tracker but man, sometimes matt's obs make me feel pretty sad for him. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Gonna do my best to make the NOVA people sad they wanted me to leave. Gotta will an opposite jinx into existence. CHO gained 3" on the WAA from 18z. 10" just to my north. Make it happen. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mshaffer526 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, mattie g said: @MN Transplant: How much for Gap, PA? I would never ask for local amounts Just curious to hear a Met's perspective on the 48 hour HRRR. Sometimes hard to tell which ones are *really* useless at long range and which judgments are weenie-induced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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