Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 You know the drill. You know the rules. You know the most probable outcome for your yard. Wx doesn't give AF about your feelings and neither do I 14 4 22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I love the new IDGAF Bob Chill persona 6 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 62/42 Jan sun and cars are legit 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 37/14 Let's do this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 36 with high clouds streaming in in Montclair Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 This tweet from @griteater shows what I was saying in the other thread well. We get perfect fetch off the ocean around 18-23z Monday, but then it moves north and our snow gets lighter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 38/14 downtown. bright sunshine! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: This tweet from @griteater shows what I was saying in the other thread well. We get perfect fetch off the ocean around 18-23z Monday, but then it moves north and our snow gets lighter Great share. The deform is just a big wildcard overall that we’re going to need to hone in on. But I did like the post someone made related to 2/10/10. Primary coming in south of where that trekked through the OV and transferred. If we see the low sit and spin off the Delmarva like many are showing (euro now included), people are going to put up numbers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Too soon? Hey, it’s been 2 years...temp 36, just so I don’t get in trouble... 6 4 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 8 minutes ago, H2O said: 62/42 Jan sun and cars are legit Are you going to report your rain obs in this thread? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Remaining model disco and mesos go in here too right, up to game time? 36 with a dew point of 9 in my part of Balt City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 65/10 with winds gusting to 40 mph 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, DDweatherman said: Great share. The deform is just a big wildcard overall that we’re going to need to hone in on. But I did like the post someone made related to 2/10/10. Primary coming in south of where that trekked through the OV and transferred. If we see the low sit and spin off the Delmarva like many are showing (euro now included), people are going to put up numbers. I've been avoiding posting this but if my yard is going to get plastered it needs to be a carbon copy of 2010. I do see some similarities, and just like that storm, the deform ended up surprising a lot of people. There's no reason (yet) to discount that outcome. That said, the differences between this storm and that one argue for areas N-NE of our sub to get plastered and not us. All I ask is to be within the CCB guidance envelope sunday night. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Treyfish Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 37/10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 16 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: I love the new IDGAF Bob Chill persona The older I get the less I care. It's liberating. Obligatory ob: 35 and bluebird skies. 3 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 6 minutes ago, snowfan said: Are you going to report your rain obs in this thread? Thinking of joining the S VA thread for storm obs. Will be closer to their reports Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Oh and 38° and house smells of microwave pizza and pears 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Whatd the euro do up here? Sorry craft day with the kiddo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 33 Sykesville 36 Leesburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 @Bob Chill I'm actually don't 100% know the most likely outcome for my yard...lol I mean I'm assuming I'm in a pretty decent spot for the CCB...maybe being right on the fringe of said plastering, perhaps? Has the bay ever played a role in the moisture for this kind of setup? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, mappy said: Whatd the euro do up here? Sorry craft day with the kiddo Held. 14+ up your way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, North Balti Zen said: Held. 14+ up your way. Thanks friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWC Split Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 36/16 sunshine at 2:25 pm in Haymarket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fourseasons Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 26 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: I love the new IDGAF Bob Chill persona He has two 16-year-olds. I'm a twin. I understand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Euro did up the waa thump out this way a little bit. Up to .4 qpf. Figure 5 inches. Anything else after that for my area would be gravy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 25 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: This tweet from @griteater shows what I was saying in the other thread well. We get perfect fetch off the ocean around 18-23z Monday, but then it moves north and our snow gets lighter That’s ok let’s put down 10” in a deathband in those 5 hours then WGAF what happens after. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
digital snow Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 35/10 Centreville VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 WSW finally for Howard County. 32° with blue skies and scattered high clouds to the south and SW. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 @Bob Chill it will sting some of the capture is late and the ccb misses. But note as this amps up so has the WAA the last few runs. So even without getting crushed by the CCB the DC area is still looking at a 6-10” snowstorm and that’s if they mostly get screwed which is probably about what it would have been if we got a more suppressed weaker solution. So imo 6-10” with the potential to get 20” if we get lucky with the ccb is better then a suppressed weaker wave where we get maybe 6-12 but there is no hecs upside. But I think some let their perception be effected by the “who gets the most” game. They feel better about 8” if they are the Jack v a 10” storm where somewhere else got 30”. I get it. Envy is a real thing lol. But I always will take my chances on a more amped up storm with bigger upside. These kinds of setups don’t come along that often why be conservative. Our snow climo sucks and it mostly boom or bust so let’s go for boom every chance we get imo. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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