Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 RAP much lower on snow totals due to 850 warm nose being more aggressive. Compare previous runs valid 21z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 4 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: If you want a good pay site, I think weathertap is probably still a solid one. O/T but it's too bad the NWS radar page update was fumbled so badly. We really could've had a nice page if they had just tapped in design experts in the private sector or just asked COD or other good pages from academia to share code to roughly mirror the good stuff they have. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Is the “NWS only provides data and not public weather products” policy still is effect? I thought I read somewhere there is an actual law or statute saying the NWS can’t do things like make their own mobile app even! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 5 minutes ago, Thundersnow12 said: So many models so many runs. Bound to find a clunker if you search Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Is the “NWS only provides data and not public weather products” policy still is effect? I thought I read somewhere there is an actual law or statute saying the NWS can’t do things like make their own mobile app even!We're not even supporting mobile.weather.gov anymore lol. It's silly that we can't have a free app, we're not competing with anyone and it wouldn't be hard to develop. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, RCNYILWX said: We're not even supporting mobile.weather.gov anymore lol. It's silly that we can't have a free app, we're not competing with anyone and it wouldn't be hard to develop. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk We don’t need an app when we have the guy writing the AFD! ;-) Great write up last night. Get some sleep and thanks for all the updates. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, RCNYILWX said: we're not competing with anyone and it wouldn't be hard to develop. And unfortunately that’s why there will never be one. we’re fortunate to have you here 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Lots of drifting on N-S roads already due to wind picking up in DKB.Sent from my moto x4 using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Classic government “to the cheapest bidder” style debacle. I can’t even get the damn map to load regardless of what device I am on. unrelated, but riding my 10.8” MBY call. In this case it wasn't even to cheapest bidder, we had a team that was working on it for years I believe. They were ready to roll out, had a comment/suggestion period where they were supposed to incorporate feedback from within the NWS, and from every comment I saw on an extensive employees facebook group post and also talking to the radar focal point at my office, they took literally none of the suggestions. If they had just gotten someone from academia with good web design experience, may have a much better page done over a weekend lol. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 35 minutes ago, DaveNay said: <RANT> Why do all of the online national and regional radar options suck balls? I just want to put radar on a full screen monitor in my office and watch today' progression in motion. wunderground.com: Stops updating after about 5 minutes weather.gov: Doesn't seem to work at all weather.cod.edu: No full screen mode, doesn't seem to depict precip type. </RANT> Someone on here posted a link to this website, which is what I use (it's a NOAA site, BTW): https://mrms.nssl.noaa.gov/qvs/product_viewer/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 16 minutes ago, Thundersnow12 said: Oh wow. This is so worrying. Can you post the same GIF of the Euro, GFS, NAM, RGEM, SREF, and UKMET? I bet they show the same right??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, mimillman said: Oh wow. This is so worrying. Can you post the same GIF of the Euro, GFS, NAM, RGEM, SREF, and UKMET? I bet they show the same right??? We are fine. Dry/warm outlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 will be interesting if this can push us up to 15" snow depth. Only 23 years in history have we had a 15" snow depth in the winter, most recently 2010-2011 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 The RAP might not be terribly far off at 850 mb. My guess is it's probably holding onto >0C too long with north and eastward extent. Main issue though is the QPF, very clear dry outlier in the 00z-06z timeframe when our heaviest snow is forecast. We find that the RAP is best for trends up to 6 hours out, so it can certainly help with diagnosing the effects of the warm nose on p-type. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I was half serious with that RAP gif, half trolling my guys Joe and Alek but yeah it's something to watch heading into this afternoon. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Y’all are getting snow in Chicago already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 12z ukie precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I'll take it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 hour ago, Frog Town said: 6" in Toledo final call. Wild card for busting low is rare lake enhancement that the models have been hinting at. DTX has Detroit south to the border in an advisory for 2-6" for tonight/tomorrow. To me it looks like a long drawn out event because we will have the initial band of snow tmrw morning before it disintegrates then on Monday the eastern counties will have deform snow. We will definitely miss the brunt of the storm although our snow will likely be sugary/powdery and not wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fyrfyter Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Winds have shifted to the SE here. Just waiting on the warm air. If it goes too far North of us, it’s going to cut down on those higher totals in West/Central Ohio. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 Seems like all systems go here. If there are any ptype issues at onset, I would expect it to last for minutes and not hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Owensnow Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 10 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: DTX has Detroit south to the border in an advisory for 2-6" for tonight/tomorrow. To me it looks like a long drawn out event because we will have the initial band of snow tmrw morning before it disintegrates then on Monday the eastern counties will have deform snow. We will definitely miss the brunt of the storm although our snow will likely be sugary/powdery and not wet. The SREF mean plumes have DTW at 6.3 inches South of there it’s 7-8 with many members showing above that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 40 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: We are fine. Dry/warm outlier. It was sarcasm haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 17 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: DTX has Detroit south to the border in an advisory for 2-6" for tonight/tomorrow. To me it looks like a long drawn out event because we will have the initial band of snow tmrw morning before it disintegrates then on Monday the eastern counties will have deform snow. We will definitely miss the brunt of the storm although our snow will likely be sugary/powdery and not wet. Repeat of every event this winter. Grinder. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 5 minutes ago, Owensnow said: The SREF mean plumes have DTW at 6.3 inches South of there it’s 7-8 with many members showing above that. Welcome,I see you are new here. Are you closer to Detroit or Windsor? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Been awhile since I can remember seeing pink on that color scale for that area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Owensnow Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 15 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: Welcome,I see you are new here. Are you closer to Detroit or Windsor? North shore of Lake Erie here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Indy: A few interesting observations at 15Z...temperatures throughout the mid Mississippi Valley and into western Illinois are generally running a few degrees lower than the bulk of the CAMs had progged for mid morning. This supports the concern many mets shared over the last 24 hours or so that overall model guidance was attempting to advect temperatures that were too warm too far north by late today. Even now...the HRRR for example tries to bring temps near 40 up to or just north of the I-70 corridor by 21Z which seemed far too overzealous to begin with and in light of the current temp trends looks that much more unrealistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Idk who he is. But he’s all in lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 13 minutes ago, CoachLB said: Idk who he is. But he’s all in lol. That be me lol. I'm just going by model guidance. I'm absolutely shocked that NWS hasn't issued warnings.. blows my mind. The only reason to not is if theyre only going by their gut and not the models. Hell even iln map has 12-18 in coshocton county. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fyrfyter Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 14 minutes ago, CoachLB said: Idk who he is. But he’s all in lol. Too much Whiskey. Must be clouding his thoughts. There’s no way SW OH sees that big of a difference over a few counties. This isn’t one of those types of events. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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