February/March 2021 - Frigid or Flop? Pattern/Longterm Forecast Thread.

[tnweathernut]

7 minutes ago, Matthew70 said:

So the temps being shown on forecast are conservative.  It also shows it’s a quick shot of really cold air then right back up to 50 and cold rains. Lol.  Gotta love it!  

Follow the ensembles right now, not so much the OP runs.  I can tell you, in general.........  the 12z GEFS looks like a thing of beauty when looking for cold shots and a flow conducive for precip opportunity.  Just have to time one up.  We may get multiple chances.

[Holston_River_Rambler]

Oh LAWD, what's the Euro about to do??? 

 

[PowellVolz]

Follow the ensembles right now, not so much the OP runs.  I can tell you, in general.........  the 12z GEFS looks like a thing of beauty when looking for cold shots and a flow conducive for precip opportunity.  Just have to time one up.  We may get multiple chances.

As of now the next two weeks looks as good as you could hope for.


.

[Holston_River_Rambler]

[tnweathernut]

Looks great at 500, the trough going negative over the southern apps with plenty of cold pouring in!

[PowellVolz]

Oh LAWD, what's the Euro about to do??? 
 

That’s a lot of energy


.

[Dsty2001]

This is the way

[Carvers Gap]

Not sure if the snow or the cold after the snow is more impressive.  My house pipes just shivered.

[Wurbus]

Euro after that storm. BRRRRR!!!

 

[tnweathernut]

3 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

That’s a lot of energy


.

Also, number 2 is about to head into southern California.  

[Holston_River_Rambler]

I think it's going to hit us with the big overrunning storm again, too. 

[Carvers Gap]

Sorry, should have led with this...Anything interesting on the 12z Euro today?  

[Dsty2001]

I'll be honest, I could do without the super hard cold.  I remember dealing with those when I lived up north and 1 degree temps with any wind sucksssss

[Jed33]

Wow, the other runs today were good, but this Euro run....this needs to go into the Hall of Fame! My goodness!

[Holston_River_Rambler]

 

 

 

[Holston_River_Rambler]

Only though hour 204. I couldn't wait for it to load any longer

[Stovepipe]

[Vol4Life]

5 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

 

 

 

So it is still snowing at that point?!?

[Holston_River_Rambler]

Just now, Vol4Life said:

So it is still snowing at that point?!?

yeah. here's the full run. 

 

 

 

[Kentucky]

[Holston_River_Rambler]

@Stovepipe I see some dollops along I-40..... 

[bluegrassweather71]

Normally I would laugh at the EURO snowfall map. However, given everything that's happened in the last year, and frankly , it would not surprise me. 

[Dsty2001]

Hnnngggggggg *grabs chest*

[Carvers Gap]

I like my map better.  240 with Kuchera...

[McMinnWx]

There's no way that 12Z Euro verifies...right?

[Carvers Gap]

If that verifies, I may retire....or just die from shoveling first.

[Holston_River_Rambler]

Just now, Carvers Gap said:

I like my map better.  240 with Kuchera...

Me too! Lol! 

[tnweathernut]

Just now, McMinnWx said:

There's no way that 12Z Euro verifies...right?

Not likely, but the first system is within the realm of being believable and is supported by the GEFS.  Also, pattern recognition says something similar (snow on snow) is possible.  LOTS of time to strike out, hit a homerun, or anything in between.

[Stovepipe]

I should stock up on firewood.

[Dsty2001]

If that verified the state of Tennessee would be shut down for a week