BornAgain13 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: UK still looks pretty solid and cold here along the foothills The UK actually trended back south a little with the heavier snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I would take the UK and call it a day... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: I would take the UK and call it a day... For sure. Would be nice if you Euro trended a bit south here at the last minute 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Euro looks pretty similar to previous runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I'm down to 20.8. May make a run at the teens. Can't hurt 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I'm down to 20.8. May make a run at the teens. Can't hurt Bottomed out at 20 and will fight to stay frozen in 12 hours. Lol . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 4 hours ago, wncsnow said: I'm down to 20.8. May make a run at the teens. Can't hurt Man you ain’t kidding! 18.5/14.5 outside. Laying the groundwork! I will say first “fears” are present in my mind wrt seeing some of the models coming in drier with qpf distribution but overall with WSW of 4-8” for my county can’t complain. I’m going to be watching the temp today to see how warm we get. Forecasted high of 40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmoon Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I Know What You Mean @strongwxnc I'm at 21 this morning just a little south of you. For once could we actually meet winter weather advisory criteria when we're under a winter weather advisory for our area. If we could squeeze out a 1/2 Inch of snow out of this one before changing over to rain I would call it a win for our area with our luck this year. Always hopeful. Hope everybody else can hold on to snow longer before the changeover. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmoon Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 @Buddy1987 I bet you don't get out of the upper 30's up your way today. Laying the groundwork is right. Good luck. Hope you can hang on to the snow longer and not changeover. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 13.2 this morning. Whatever falls tonight/tomorrow is immediate stickage. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 WPC short range discussion - https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=qpfhsd mentions faster onset Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 RAH issued a winter weather advisory for Raleigh North and West. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I’ll take an 1” please GSP as of 650am “Although there has been a trend towards an earlier onset time and ending time which could increase winter weather impacts somewhat. Thermal profiles indicate that sleet/freezing rain will be the primary precip types overnight into early Sunday before becoming rain by noon or so from the Blue Ridge mountains/escarpment northeast to the northwest NC piedmont. Further north within the deeper cold pool there will likely be a more prolonged period of sleet/snow which will transition to sleet/freezing rain later Sunday morning before becoming mostly rain during the afternoon. QPF around a half of an inch should support 2-5 inches of sleet/snow for the northern mountains/foothills with up to an inch, locally higher from the southern escarpment into southern NC foothills. Icing could be a greater impact as up to a tenth of an inch of freezing rain could be somewhat commonplace along the end of the wedge or from the southern escarpment northeast to the northwest NC Piedmont. We will probably see localized totals of two tenths of an inch.” . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthWake33 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Surprised to wake up and see a winter weather advisory for Wake County. Calling for up to half inch of snow and light ice glaze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, SouthWake33 said: Surprised to wake up and see a winter weather advisory for Wake County. Calling for up to half inch of snow and light ice glaze. Yeah this is still a blown opportunity though. We needed a Miller A with ground now cold and everything primed. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Yeah this is still a blown opportunity though. We needed a Miller A with ground now cold and everything primed.Preach sir. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Still at my overnight min in Colfax @19.6. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
norcarolinian Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 7 minutes ago, tarheelwx said: Colfax @19.6. Same just up the road in Oak Ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Does anyone have a link to the current 2 meter WBZ line? ..... It will be helpful as we go into this tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Winter Storm Warnings are up here , saying 1-3" of snow and up to 0.20" of ZR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlover Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Majority of us probably see 33-35 and rain. Good luck to the Mountain Folk! Hopefully they can hold onto snow and avoid a major ice storm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said: Winter Storm Warnings are up here , saying 1-3" of snow and up to 0.20" of ZR What is the warning criteria for snow and freezing rain in you area? Those totals seem a little low for a warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 5 minutes ago, CAD_Wedge_NC said: What is the warning criteria for snow and freezing rain in you area? Those totals seem a little low for a warning. I'm pretty sure it's 4" here for just snow , but with the combination of the heavy snow at the beginning changing to a long duration of ICE , I guess that's why they did a warning, more so because of the significant ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 12z nam shifted a good bit southeast with SLP and associated WAA. Faster onset of precip as well. Could very well help areas that are going to be borderline Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, Buddy1987 said: 12z nam shifted a good bit southeast with SLP and associated WAA. Faster onset of precip as well. Could very well help areas that are going to be borderline Also the HP is a tick stronger too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Hoping since are are now within 24 hrs of the event that the models start catching on to the dry air and stronger CAD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 12z nam shifted a good bit southeast with SLP and associated WAA. Faster onset of precip as well. Could very well help areas that are going to be borderline Will be what we are watching today. Possible faster onset as mentioned by at least GSP . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Not sure what model/models WeatherUnderground uses for their hourly forecast but they don’t have Hickory getting below 34 tonight. Little concerning on how we’ll get any ZR accrual with that. I know it’s an app but the models are clearly not impressed with surface temps in this area and the temp forecasts are typically pretty spot on. These borderline events never pan out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCentrlVA Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 13 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Hoping since are are now within 24 hrs of the event that the models start catching on to the dry air and stronger CAD Its been a long time since I posted ladies and gentlemen. Hopefully we all have some good surprises with this storm. I'm just south of you @BornAgain13 in Franklin County VA. Thank you all for the updates and the educational info. Let it snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, WestCentrlVA said: Its been a long time since I posted ladies and gentlemen. Hopefully we all have some good surprises with this storm. I'm just south of you @BornAgain13 in Franklin County VA. Thank you all for the updates and the educational info. Let it snow! You are actually just south of me. Bornagain I believe is closer to like Stuart area. I’m up in Salem and my brother in law lives in Boones Mill. Should get some nice precip snd rates out of this. Have fun with it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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