Berlin1926 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 What is happening? LOL. Sleet/snow fest in southern Person County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Ended up with a solid coating from that finger of Snow. Temperature at 31.1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Ended up with a solid coating from that finger of Snow. Temperature at 31.1 Yea temps really took a tumble after that snow. 28.6/27 here now. I wonder if skies do open up just a tick like blue ridge alluded to down his way and we can shave 1-2 degrees off this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCentrlVA Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 I'm curious if anyone knows why HRRR has so much change from run to run on totals? For example 0z looks juicy but 1z and 3z not so much but you look at the 3kNam and its a decent hit depending on location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Temp steady at 33, the dusting from earlier is gone. Looking like 33 and rain overnight. Weather apps have done a great job nailing the temps here. NWS forecasts aren’t looking good for NW Piedmont. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, AirNelson39 said: Temp steady at 33, the dusting from earlier is gone. Looking like 33 and rain overnight. Weather apps have done a great job nailing the temps here. NWS forecasts aren’t looking good for NW Piedmont. Different world here just 45 mins to your west in McDowell. Hovering below 30 with an inch+ still on the ground 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonah Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Started snowing in Lynchburg a little bit ago. Sticking to everything at my apartment except for the asphalt for now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Not sure if we got snow, sleet or rain, the ground is damp and it was 36* when the precip was falling. It is tough to tell in these LED streetlamps. I miss the old orange color ones, easier to tell. But we were on the southern end of the band of precip that moved through anyway so it wasnt going to amount to anything here Off to shut eye land 36/26 OVC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Different world here just 45 mins to your west in McDowell. Hovering below 30 with an inch+ still on the ground Pretty jealous right now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 21 minutes ago, AirNelson39 said: Temp steady at 33, the dusting from earlier is gone. Looking like 33 and rain overnight. Weather apps have done a great job nailing the temps here. NWS forecasts aren’t looking good for NW Piedmont. 32.0/31 here now. It's iffy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, AirNelson39 said: Pretty jealous right now! I was really hoping the entire foothills would get 2-4, maybe tonight will surprise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 I’ve now seen a couple Mets mention that overall, things are looking colder than what the models are initializing at. They’re saying more snow and sleet may be in store than frz rain, so let’s see. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 From NWS GSP: Quote .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 1045 PM EST: Guidance still on track for a sfc low now over the mid-MS Valley to pass by as a Miller B-type low pressure system tonight and to our east Sunday. Forcing and deep moisture ramp up quickly near midnight with precip spreading across the area before daybreak. Forecast soundings and partial thickness values still suggest a typical, messy Miller B p-type forecast for this system. Temps aloft wet bulb down below freezing before a warm nose kicks in and strengthens late tonight into Sunday. An in situ wedge should form as precip falls, bringing temps down to near or below freezing across the Winter Storm Warning and Winter Wx Advisory area. In light of the earlier WAA-driven precip band that traversed the area, which threw temp/dewpoint trends a little out of whack wrt the forecast, revised those trends overnight per recent meso model output. The most remarkable overall change is generally warmer temps and dewpoints roughly along and just north of I-85, which had the effect of minimizing wintry precip in that area. QPF trended down slightly as well. That said, a pocket of cooler air possibly associated with the wedge has settled in over the mountains; meso models that have picked up on that still show some warming/moistening with onset of precip in the next 2-3 hrs. Since it is an in situ wedge, the cold temps will not be locked in and will warm around the edges through the morning with all areas above freezing by afternoon. Precip still expected to start as snow and sleet in the colder air then slowly change to freezing rain and rain as the warm nose strengthens and cold pool erodes. No changes warranted to the existing headlines; could possibly have dropped part of the Advisory for lower accums due to the warmer temps, but some isolated issues may result from the light amounts during the transition period overnight. Precip should become all rain by early afternoon. Sunday`s highs will show a typical Cold Air Damming pattern with 30s to low 40s common outside of the mountains and along the Blue Ridge escarpment. Highs will rise to the lower 50s going westward to the lower valleys near the TN border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonah Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 29.7 at the closest station. Parking lot starting to cave but this first band is just about over here. Maybe 0.5-1" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davenc Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 hours ago, FLweather said: Not trolling. This is not a proper miller b storm. Anybody with enough common sense without a met tag can tell that this setup is not favorable. We take what we can get outside of the mountains! Noone is wishcasting. Might we just enjoy this storm without you interfering? We always hope until the clouds break in these parts. Thanks for your insight! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAsnowfan Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 0.9" from the first band here in Bedford. Just flurries falling now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davenc Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Concord obs Temp has dropped to 33' DP is 32' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCentrlVA Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Man this storm is just beautiful on radar. Jeez stretches from the Gulf of Mexico to Hudson Bay Canada. Wowza... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Snow coming down good... will be interesting to see at what point it changes to IP/ZR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Moderate snow, picked up another .5 or so. 31 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Heavy snow band moving through right now.... temp at 31.6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kc4wsd Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Currently 32.3/32.1 in Eden with light snow falling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Snowing hard!Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1" total here so far. Absolutely ripping it out there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 2" here now. A little sleet beginning to mix in... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davenc Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Concord TEMP 35' DP 32 Pouring rain to beat the band! So painful to think about the few tweaks that could have turned this into a 12-16" snowstorm. So close, yet so far away from it! Still time for a good snowstorm.... 38-40days still to work with! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just woke up here. Looked on my nest camera to see what happened overnight. Could see the driveway start caving for good around 330ish. Eyeballing it out there have about 4” and counting. Very nice and scenic. Getting ready for first cup of coffee and will report back. 29.1 outside 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 34 and raining. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, lilj4425 said: 34 and raining. LOL. That sucks! You guys are gonna get yours sooner than later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 The misery of cold rain is here in Raleigh. I hate this crap. Give me a miller A. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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