yoda Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Looks like the 00z GFS is retrograding SW from 66 to 72? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: I hope we can get DC into the double digits. I’m thinking the single digits will be a stretch 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 GFS brings back the Shenandoah Valley screw job. Did I ever mention how much I hate Miller B's. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 GFS still juicy and still warm for the cities. 83 corridor from md line to Harrisburg the sweet spot for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 16 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: We were just worrying about suppression 12 hrs ago...lol Like psu said, there is definitely a limit to how far north things get. That confluence is definitely there...but just weak enough to help, hopefully. 12 hours ago that vort over New England was trending south. It has since relaxed some. But in a way suppressed is still an issue just not in an easily apparent way. But the fail option is to see the WAA wave suppressed...then have the coastal develop too late like the NAM. That ends up looking like the problem was a north trend because the coastal wraps snow back in to our north but in reality suppression initially helped that happen. We need a storm to develop a healthy circulation and amp up quicker down here compared to the other northeast cities further up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TL97 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 GFS would be good if it was cooler, it pours here in DC (nearly an inch of rain). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 DC to Loudoun walking the line now it seems for best precip and snows. Hope it slides SW just a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Thinking we just need an earlier transfer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, snowfan said: GFS still juicy and still warm for the cities. 83 corridor from md line to Harrisburg the sweet spot for snow. But look at that qpf! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Beautiful. GFS gives me my foot of snow, doesn't stop snowing til Tuesday afternoon. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 00z CMC looking good 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Gfs is still a notch too far north imo for the 95 corridor (to alleviate dry slot and coastal transfer concerns) and has been essentially all week, but it’s close enough and there’s a snowstorm incoming. Gotta think that by tomorrow there’ll be more of a consensus of where the best banding will appear. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, yoda said: 00z CMC looking good Tell me why I checked... I didn’t sleep last night. Might as well sleep now so I can stay up tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 5 minutes ago, yoda said: 00z CMC looking good hours 64 to 78 look nice on the CCB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, yoda said: hours 67 to 78 look nice on the CCB LOL where are you seeing this? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: LOL where are you seeing this? Im trying to figure out where also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: Im trying to figure out where also Allentown 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I think @yoda is seeing it here: https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 5 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: LOL where are you seeing this? 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Im trying to figure out where also CMC precip type map https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 CMC is close to 8° colder at the surface compared to the gfs at 0z Monday. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 44 minutes ago, frd said: OMG Classic look of a B Dc does good. Baltimore better. NE MD to Philly spectacular Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 00z CMC tucks off OCMD. As @psuhoffman states, it's great. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: 00z CMC tucks off OCMD. As @psuhoffman states, it's great. CMC tucks us long time this run. 5 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
budice2002 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, Amped said: CMC tucks us long time this run. Can we someone post cmc maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, Amped said: CMC tucks us long time this run. It's the best case scenario, especially for DC/I-66 and points south. There definitely has been a northward tick with the 00z runs. Hopefully it's just a blip and when the Euro comes out it'll hold serve. The 00z suite is the first set of models that has all of the energy well onshore and sample by the RAOB network so we should see the guidance get a better handle on things quickly. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 20 minutes ago, ErinInTheSky said: Beautiful. GFS gives me my foot of snow, doesn't stop snowing til Tuesday afternoon. A little late here on this question, but any indication how that snow is "distributed" between the initial WAA and CCB parts? Just curious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, Always in Zugzwang said: A little late here on this question, but any indication how that snow is "distributed" between the initial WAA and CCB parts? Just curious. This is a win for everyone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, Always in Zugzwang said: A little late here on this question, but any indication how that snow is "distributed" between the initial WAA and CCB parts? Just curious. In DC, about 5” are from the WAA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 25 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: 12 hours ago that vort over New England was trending south. It has since relaxed some. But in a way suppressed is still an issue just not in an easily apparent way. But the fail option is to see the WAA wave suppressed...then have the coastal develop too late like the NAM. That ends up looking like the problem was a north trend because the coastal wraps snow back in to our north but in reality suppression initially helped that happen. We need a storm to develop a healthy circulation and amp up quicker down here compared to the other northeast cities further up the coast. So...are you saying that we can benefit from even more relaxation of that vort over NE? So in a way it's like the opposite...suppression issues show up as "north" and not south? In other words, a further relaxation of that vort would produce a more of a "south"--in a good way--solution? *head spinning* 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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