WxUSAF Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, Bob Chill said: It's a grey area and we all have our own rating system. To me, true miller A's run the southern stream and turn the corner. They often run into the TN valley and transfer but imo they are still pure miller As. Any northern stream storm is a hybrid or miller B. This one is more of a hybrid than a miller B but we all think our own way Yeah I think of true Miller Bs being northern stream short waves. This is a Miller B hybrid IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Better WAA so far at least for DC through 7p Sunday. 5” OTG vs 3” at 12z. EZF almost 8” by 7p Sunday. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 WAA thump-7p Sun 5 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Not sure if already posted, but LWX just expanded the watch back to Cumberland. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Not sure if already posted, but LWX just expanded the watch back to Cumberland. They expanded back to Garrett County (now covered by LWX instead of PIT). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, nj2va said: They expanded back to Garrett County (they now cover LWX instead of PIT). Yes, they also have Cecil now so that 1 office has all of 95 in MD for easier warn on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Baby step 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 59 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Sup peeps. I'm new here. How much for Rockville? Either3-5 or 8-12 if part two sets in How did you find out about this weather board?????? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batmanbrad Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 48 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Looks like slushy dusting then rain Welcome back friend! Or to borrow from ELP... Welcome back my Chill friend to the show that never ends... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I wonder if the WAA snow ends up overperforming. I feel like we've seen that happen before and given the trajectory of the heavier snow to our southwest, you wonder if that pushes in early and rolls our way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Full tuck at 1am 6 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, Deck Pic said: I think more like a toddler step with wraparound...the 12z scooted out rather abruptly Could do without the mix threat. Been good with solid cold column 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Would there be any benefit to having freezing rain fall on top of snow? I guess it would make a crust of sorts, but would that do anything once it’s fallen? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Was expecting a better CCB. Thought the big one was coming, but it seemed like another baby step to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Gunna be higher QPF for most than 12Z, esp DC. will post comparison when it's done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Maps please. Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, Deck Pic said: I mean 8-12" for most of the region. with some higher amounts in the typical areas.....step up from 12z for sure....I'm sure someone will post WB kuchera maps shortly./.. only because you asked 8 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catoctin wx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 only because you askedSugarloaf mountain snow hole? . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, osfan24 said: I wonder if the WWA snow ends up overperforming. I feel like we've seen that happen before and given the trajectory of the heavier snow to our southwest, you wonder if that pushes in early and rolls our way. The prob we run into here (and it's very normal) is the waa piece will die off overhead during the transfer. That's why the big totals are almost always down by CHO and ROA etc. Loses some of the punch even tho sw of us gets clobbered. There was a storm that none of us should ever talk about ever again but it was an extreme case of the shutoff basically right overhead even though radar looked sick for hours leading in 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 QPF vs 12Z big bump for immediate DC and NOVA, tick N 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Much better run for DC. Doubled the snowfall from 12z. It’s the rare region wide storm that gets RIC all the way to the M/D line. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 ECM max res 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 12 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: It's a grey area and we all have our own rating system. To me, true miller A's run the southern stream and turn the corner. They often run into the TN valley and transfer but imo they are still pure miller As. Any northern stream storm is a hybrid or miller B. This one is more of a hybrid than a miller B but we all think our own way I’m happy to hear you say that because I don’t remember many Miller B’s that have worked out well IMBY. And so glad to hear from you! The last good storm we had was the Bob Chill storm - 2 long years ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: I think more like a toddler step with wraparound...the 12z scooted out rather abruptly Agree it ended very well. Trough was less positively tilted. Low started to get going further west and tucked a bit more which had the desired effect on the deform zone across our area. I’m happy with it. It was a very acceptable run but left some room for improvements. I do think we see a full tuck like other guidance on tonight’s run. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: only because you asked It’s the Megaopolis storm from Kocin’s book. DC to Boston 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, catoctin wx said: Sugarloaf mountain snow hole? . A bunch of maps have been showing snow holes right over my house. It is odd. Due to lower elevation in Frederick proper? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: The prob we run into here (and it's very normal) is the waa piece will die off overhead during the transfer. That's why the big totals are almost always down by CHO and ROA etc. Loses some of the punch even tho sw of us gets clobbered. There was a storm that none of us should ever talk about ever again but it was an extreme case of the shutoff basically right overhead even though radar looked sick for hours leading in You are back and answered my burning question already. Why EZF max and NE from there in my yard less. You can see the fade from SW to NE. Vacation is over Bob...back to work sir! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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